Shortest win price
In Circles (1)
2.60
Queanbeyan hosts the Carbids Super Mdn Hcp over 1460m on a good four surface under fine weather conditions, with the field set to jump at 4:50 pm AEDT. Looking at the early win market order, In Circles commands the attention as the shortest priced runner, followed closely by Banner Banner and On The Fly, with Burnt Fingers rounding out the leading quartet in the betting preference. This maiden handicap brings together a mixed bunch where the market has clearly gravitated towards a few specific form lines, though opinions will naturally vary on how the race tempo unfolds across the 1460m journey.
The market leader In Circles resumes here after joining the stable from Joseph Pride, carrying 59kg from barrier 11 under Coriah Keatings. This runner brings solid provincial form including a third at Hawkesbury two starts back over 1500m and a sixth at Goulburn, and maps well to find a prominent position as a designated leader. Meanwhile, On The Fly has been knocking on the door with consecutive runner-up finishes at Goulburn and Wagga, and from barrier 3 with Brodie Loy in the saddle, the stable combination boasts strong market expectations. Banner Banner also demands respect after working home into third at Hawkesbury over 1300m, showing enough fitness to make presence felt despite a tricky overall profile.
Further down the order, speed maps suggest In Circles and Lindos will look to dictate terms from the front, while runners like Banner Banner, Highland Lad and Burnt Fingers settle prominently on the pace. Burnt Fingers resumes after a fair fifth at Nowra over 1200m where it made some late ground, though it might be viewed more as a fringe place chance in this company. With several runners having questions to answer regarding their overall strike rates, the value may well sit with those map-suited contenders who can handle the Queanbeyan track layout and overcome their respective barriers when it matters most.
Shortest win price
In Circles (1)
2.60
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
In Circles · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -22% POT in their L100 Races
Flight Sergeant · Negative
Current SR
Rider’s recent POT is returning 39% lower than Career Avg.
Banner Banner · Negative
Trainer SR
Tommy Wong striking at just 7%
On The Fly · Negative
Trainer SR
Scott Collings striking at just 7%
Career
7: 0-2-3
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 0-1-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Goulburn
2: 0-1-0
Track Hawkesbury
2: 0-1-1
Track Newcastle
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1250m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
5: 0-2-2
Going Soft
2: 0-0-1
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -22% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 25%
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 35 days
Winkers On
Positive
Important gear change of winkers on
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Now 5 weeks between runs. Ex Joseph Pride in NSW. On pace, not beaten far in rain affected going at Goulburn when supported. Can make a positive start for new trainer.
ILB
Was $2.60 and well beaten when 6th last time at Goulburn. Has the talent to rebound quickly. Coming to a new trainer. Winkers go on for the first time. Strong winning hope.
RP
Has maintained her consistent level of form and seems to be improving based on last two runs; a disappointing result (went off second favourite) when beaten 2½l at Goulburn over 1m (handicap) last month; starts out for new trainer; must be high on list.
RSIS
Started 8/5 and looked outclassed when 6th last run at Goulburn. Expecting improvement. Coming to a new trainer. Interesting gear change of cheekpieces on first time. Terrific hope.
Career
6: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
73
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Kilmore
1: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham
1: 0-0-0
Track Gundagai
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1612m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1856m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-1
Going Soft
3: 0-0-0
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 39% lower than Career Avg.
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 5%
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 36%
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 48% in L100 rides
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Resuming (30-weeks). Just the one start last prep when finished well down the track at Gundagai. Check markets.
ILB
First run back from a 30 week spell. Was $26.00 and weakened under pressure when 10th last time at Gundagai. Entitled to be big odds.
RP
Was held in tenth on his first start for this trainer when back to 7f in April at Gundagai in a maiden; some promise; closest he has come to winning after six starts was a third; returns from a break today; facing a testing assignment and has some questions to answer.
RSIS
Racing fresh today after a 30 week break. Started at 25/1 and didn't threaten when 10th last run at Gundagai.
Career
10: 0-2-1
Rating · IRD
83
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
1: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Canberra
1: 0-0-0
Track Hawkesbury
6: 0-1-1
Track Kembla Grange
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
4: 0-1-1
Distance 1000m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1080m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
6: 0-1-1
Going Heavy
2: 0-1-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Trainer SR
Negative
Tommy Wong striking at just 7%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -45% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 23%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
No match but kept working home to finish among the placings at Hawkesbury. Very fit, can make his presence felt.
ILB
Put in a competitive run when placing 3rd beaten by 2L last run at Hawkesbury and drawn beautifully. Strong prospects in this race.
RP
Was on the premises (third, beaten just over 2l) over 6½f at Hawkesbury (handicap) last month; has raised his game the last twice but without a win after ten runs.
RSIS
Came on strongly to finish 3rd when beaten by 2L last time at Hawkesbury and gets the perfect stall. Serious contender.
Career
6: 0-2-1
Rating · IRD
83
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Canberra
1: 0-0-0
Track Goulburn
3: 0-1-1
Track Wagga
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-1-0
Going Good
3: 0-1-1
Going Soft
3: 0-1-0
Trainer SR
Negative
Scott Collings striking at just 7%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 62%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 32%
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Racing Strongly
Positive
Racing in great shape
AAP
Brave in defeat Country Boosted Mdn at Wagga when second-up. Breaks from a low barrier. Stripping fitter, primed to go one better.
ILB
Caught the eye when 2nd beaten by 1L last run at Wagga. Been in the money each start this preparation. Win will not surprise.
RP
Unfancied when going close last month at Wagga in a maiden; admirably consistent and has displayed improved form on last two starts; can be on the premises if building on promise shown last time.
RSIS
Managed to run 2nd beaten by 1L last run at Wagga. Has not missed the placings lately in 2 attempts. Should go close.
Career
13: 0-2-2
Rating · IRD
72
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Dubbo
1: 0-0-0
Track Newcastle
2: 0-2-0
Track Wyong
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1625m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1675m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1890m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
5: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
3: 0-2-0
Going Soft
5: 0-0-1
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 5%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 36%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 25%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
First-up (26-weeks). Ended last prep on a positive. First time around Queanbeyan. Watch betting.
ILB
Fresh from a 26 week spell. Faded at the finish when 3rd last run at Wyong. The wide gate shouldn't be a problem with plenty of early speed. Won't find this easy.
RP
Ran well enough to finish third at 100-1 over 1m at Wyong (handicap) in May; has taken a step forward the last twice but without a win after 13 runs; returns from a layoff.
RSIS
Racing fresh after a break of 26 weeks. Was in the hunt for a long way when 3rd beaten by 1 1/2L last time at Wyong.
Career
8: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
73
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
4: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Grafton
1: 0-0-0
Track Newcastle
1: 0-0-0
Track Coffs Harbour
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1175m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
4: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 24% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 25%
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Limited
Negative
Yet to break through after 8 starts
AAP
Settled back and passed a few late in the Mdn at Nowra off spell. Fringe place hope at best.
ILB
Started at $61.00 and hit the line well when 5th last start at Nowra. Sharp improvement needed.
RP
May still have more to offer with few miles on the clock; beaten just over 5l (fifth) over 6f at Nowra (handicap) nine days ago; this line-up contains some strong opposition so can be taken on.
RSIS
Started 60/1 and moved through the field into 5th last run at Nowra.
Career
4: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
72
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Goulburn
1: 0-0-0
Track Moruya
2: 0-0-0
Track Bombala
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1010m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Going Firm
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 93%
Hot Trainer
Positive
Greg Backhouse in good form, out performing market 50%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 33% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 22%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Backup
Positive
Racing again inside one week
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
On a quick back-up. Form spaced and boasts just a 4th from a handful of runs. Failed to threaten at Moruya. Hard to make a case.
ILB
On a short back up. Odds of $61.00 and ordinary performance when 6th last run at Moruya but suited by the weight drop. Gets back and needs luck. Needs to find a lot more.
RP
Beaten 8l when sixth of eight in a maiden at Moruya last week; lightly raced with this just his fifth appearance; big chance.
RSIS
Backs up quickly. Was 60/1 and only fair when 6th last time at Moruya but carrying less weight this time. Might have to make up considerable ground.
Career
10: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
72
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Kembla Grange
2: 0-0-0
Track Newcastle
2: 0-0-0
Track Albury
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1850m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
4: 0-0-0
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 3%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -53% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 65%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
Limited
Negative
Hasn’t featured at all in all career runs
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Resuming (29-weeks). Wasn't extended in latest Kembla Grange trial 7 Oct. Hope for exotics only.
ILB
First run back from a break of 29 weeks. Started $16.00 and struggled with the pace when 4th last run at Canberra. Unplaced in all races to date. Rough chance today.
RP
Held in fourth in April at Canberra in a conditions race; layoff to overcome; some claims.
RSIS
Resuming after a 29 week break. At 15/1 didn't attack the line when 4th last start at Canberra but has a positive stall. Will be dropping in distance.
Career
11: 0-0-2
Rating · IRD
73
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Canberra
5: 0-0-1
Track Forbes
1: 0-0-0
Track Gundagai
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1280m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1460m
2: 0-0-1
Going Good
5: 0-0-1
Going Soft
6: 0-0-1
Ready To Strike
Positive
Can be rewarded for recent consistent form
AAP
Secured third in a staggered finish this track over this trip. Last run fair but more depth to contend with here.
ILB
Attacked the line when 3rd beaten by more than 5L last run at the track.
RP
Has displayed improved form on last two starts but yet to win, defeats are stacking up; held when third beaten just over 5l in a maiden with Aquilino just behind last month upped to this distance; easy to oppose.
RSIS
Finished with intent when 3rd last start around here.
Career
8: 0-1-0
Rating · IRD
75
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Bathurst
1: 0-1-0
Track Moruya
2: 0-0-0
Track Sapphire Coast
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-0
Trainer SR
Negative
Theresa Bateup striking at just 3%
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -65% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 65%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 25%
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Went home tamely at Hawkesbury at $21. Not out of it.
ILB
Jumped at $21.00 and ran 7th last run at Hawkesbury. Should be rolling forward early from the wide gate. Facing a difficult task today.
RP
Appears to be on the upgrade judged on two most recent runs; beaten 6l when seventh of 12 last month at Hawkesbury in a maiden; this looks a decent race so not one to rely on.
RSIS
Started 20/1 and came in 7th last time at Hawkesbury. The wide stall shouldn't be a problem with plenty of early pace.
Career
38: 0-1-1
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Goulburn
3: 0-0-0
Track Nowra
18: 0-0-1
Track Queanbeyan
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1650m
4: 0-0-0
Distance 1405m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1435m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
18: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
4: 0-0-0
Going Soft
16: 0-0-1
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 1%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 68%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 72% Profit on Turnover
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 22%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Dist Drop
Negative
Distance decrease from last start
AAP
Unable to threaten in the small field at Nowra. Ordinary stats at the shorter trip. Battling and a noted non winner.
ILB
Odds of $81.00 and looked outclassed when 7th last start at Nowra and will be down in distance. Yet to break maiden status after 38 runs. Can't have.
RP
Yet to win in 38 starts and he has struggled to find his best form recently; finished tailed off in a conditions race (Nowra) upped to 1m3f nine days ago; a few rivals look in good form so others more persuasive.
RSIS
Started at 80/1 and weakened to finish 7th last start at Nowra and dropping in distance. Hasn't broken through maiden grade after 38 starts.
Career
21: 0-3-4
Rating · IRD
82
Speed map
Leader
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Wagga
1: 0-0-0
Track Randwick
1: 0-0-0
Track Moruya
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
5: 0-1-0
Distance 1020m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
13: 0-2-3
Going Heavy
1: 0-1-0
Going Soft
7: 0-0-1
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
AAP
Went close at Queanbeyan 11 Oct. Handy but couldn't deliver this track over this journey. Has a tricky draw and looks more a place prospect.
ILB
Jumped at $6.50 and couldn't maintain the pace when 5th last start here but gets a reduction in weight.
RP
Not far behind Justwatchher when fifth last month; proving a little expensive to follow; also engaged in race 2 at Queanbeyan.
RSIS
Was 11/2 and gave away some ground when 5th last start at this venue but will benefit with the weight drop.