Shortest win price
Good Prize (2)
3.00
The Crestwood at Queanbeyan at 4:15 pm AEDT is a Benchmark 82 handicap over 1600 metres on Good 4 track in fine conditions. Our Huntress is shortest in the market, with Good Prize and Pearler next in the order. The race is built for a leader to dominate, and Our Huntress has the map and the recent form to argue she's the one. But the value sits with Pearler, who won at this track over this distance only weeks ago and has chased multiple wins with a trainer in hot form.
Our Huntress maps beautifully from barrier 3 in the Leader lane and stepped out for her third run in a new stable with a solid rally into the placings at Canberra at 1400 metres. Her rating of 91 backs the argument that she shapes as the day's most progressive runner. The form reads that she can lead, stay handy, and have a major say. Good Prize sits Offmidfield from barrier 4 for Brodie Loy and trainer G P Vella but faces a tough ask on a long losing streak and a tamely run race at Canberra despite having all before him at the turn—the comment suggests fringe place hopes at best.
Pearler is the outlier punters may overlook. She's on a winning hat-trick, with two consecutive victories at Queanbeyan: a strong 60.5kg win on 11 October on Soft 6, then another at Benchmark 58 on Good 4. She holds strong winning form over this track and trip, and Gary Nickson's stable is outperforming the market by 46 per cent. The jockey–trainer combo with Molly Bourke is also running at 84 per cent above expectations. From barrier 2 in the Offpace lane, she sits worse than midfield here but has already proven she can overcome that and deliver. In a race where the favourite is priced tight on map advantage alone, Pearler's recent record and stable form offer genuine value.
Shortest win price
Good Prize (2)
3.00
Most career wins
Gwennybegg
15-10-3 from 88 starts
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offmidfield
Midfield
Offpace
Leader
Good Prize · Positive
Backup
Racing again inside one week
Burgundy Girl · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 63%
Our Huntress · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -22% POT in their L100 Races
Pearler · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 84%
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Leader
AAP
Experienced campaigner. Refused to shirk task in Balranald Cup. Strips in better shape and takes a 4kg claim here. Can challenge again.
ILB
Tidy effort when 3rd last run at Balranald. The large claim from Joshua Loy helps.
RP
A winner over C&D; ran well when beaten half a length over 7f at Balranald (handicap), bouncing back from some moderate efforts two weeks ago.
RSIS
Claimed a spot in the top three when 3rd last run at Balranald. Large claim helps.
Rating · IRD
90
Speed map
Offmidfield
Backup
Positive
Racing again inside one week
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
On a quick back-up. Long losing streak. Had all before him at turn and went home tamely at Canberra. Fringe place hope at best.
ILB
On a quick back up. Was $20.00 and disappointing effort when 7th last start at Canberra. Has the talent to rebound quickly and suited at this distance in the past. Good tough competitor that can be supported.
RP
A previous winner here; held when seventh of ten over 6½f at Canberra (handicap) last week; every chance as shown promise on occasion.
RSIS
Backs up quickly. Started at 19/1 and below standard effort when 7th last start at Canberra. Should improve from the last run and will be well suited at the distance. Should go very close.
Career
57: 8-3-11
Rating · IRD
91
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
8: 0-0-2
Second-up
7: 1-0-2
Third-up
6: 0-1-1
Fourth-up
6: 1-0-0
Track Randwick
1: 0-0-0
Track Sapphire Coast
3: 1-1-0
Track Cootamundra
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2000m
12: 4-0-2
Distance 2110m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 905m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
28: 4-1-3
Going Heavy
8: 2-1-0
Going Soft
18: 2-0-7
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 63%
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Form At Track
Positive
2 time winner here at Queanbeyan
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Experienced campaigner. Under a hold, only battled home at Canberra second-up. One for exotics.
ILB
Looked flat when 9th last start at Canberra. Should improve here. Jessica Brookes rates highly. Should get going late. Will be fighting out the finish.
RP
Has won previously at this course; struggled a bit since winning a handicap at Canberra in February; close up behind Good Prize when ninth (Canberra) last month; meeting some horses in good form and has some questions to answer.
RSIS
Basic showing when 9th last run at Canberra. Should improve from the last run. Good to see Jessica Brookes is jumping on. Expected to be flashing home. Has the ratings to win this.
Career
11: 2-4-3
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 0-2-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Eagle Farm
1: 1-0-0
Track Gold Coast
1: 0-0-0
Track Kembla Grange
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
3: 1-1-0
Distance 1250m
3: 0-1-1
Going Good
6: 0-3-2
Going Soft
5: 2-1-1
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -22% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 17%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Form Revival
Positive
Turning form around with last couple
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Steps out for third run new stable/region. Solid rally into the placings at Canberra following market easing. Leads, handy. Can have a major say.
ILB
Caught the eye when 3rd beaten by just over 3 1/2L last start at Canberra and displaying improvement over the past few runs. Will be positive in the run early. Good winning chance.
RP
Finished third of 11 at Canberra over 7f (conditions race) two weeks ago; must be respected.
RSIS
Good run when placing 3rd beaten by more than 3 1/2L last start at Canberra but challenged by more formidable competitors. Displays good tactical pace. Prime contender.
Career
14: 3-2-0
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
3: 1-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Bathurst
1: 1-0-0
Track Wyong
3: 1-1-0
Track Orange
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1350m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1400m
4: 1-1-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
8: 2-1-0
Going Heavy
2: 1-0-0
Going Soft
4: 0-1-0
Key Rider
Positive
Winona Costin 21% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are winning 28% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 22%
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Won (Bm66) Orange 8 Oct. Performance just fair at Kembla Grange at $8.50. Highly rated in this line-up.
ILB
Was $8.50 and didn't find the line when 7th last run at Kembla Grange and up against tougher rivals. Winona Costin takes the reins today.
RP
Career wins-runs record of 3-14; not beaten that far in seventh (just under 4l) over 7½f at Kembla Grange (handicap) last month; productive partnership with Winona Costin, who retakes the mount; can be on the premises.
RSIS
Started at 15/2 and faded to finish 7th last run at Kembla Grange and matched against a stronger field. Winona Costin rates highly aboard.
Career
24: 5-0-3
Rating · IRD
75
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
5: 0-0-2
Second-up
3: 1-0-0
Third-up
3: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-0
Track Goulburn
1: 0-0-0
Track Nowra
3: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
4: 4-0-0
Distance 900m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1250m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
12: 3-0-1
Going Heavy
4: 0-0-1
Going Soft
8: 2-0-1
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 84%
Hot Trainer
Positive
Gary Nickson in good form, out performing market 46%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 33% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 17%
Consecutive Wins
Positive
Has strung together a few races in a row
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
Track Stats
Positive
Excels at this track
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Chasing hat-trick. Solid 60.5kg winner at Queanbeyan 11 Oct. Strong winning performance after getting back worse than midfield this course over this trip. Again holds plenty of aces.
ILB
Bold effort when winning last time around here and have to respect the form at this distance. Keeping a perfect win record the last 2 attempts. Considerable improvement needed.
RP
Unbeaten at this course after four runs and bids to pull off a hat-trick; narrow success in a handicap last month; unlikely to achieve more than just a supporting role despite that win last time.
RSIS
Bold effort when winning last time at the track and have to respect the form at this distance. Undefeated last 2 runs and drawn nicely.
Career
53: 4-9-9
Rating · IRD
73
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
7: 0-1-2
Second-up
6: 0-0-1
Third-up
6: 1-1-1
Fourth-up
6: 1-2-0
Track Canberra
9: 0-2-2
Track Goulburn
9: 1-0-3
Track Gundagai
7: 1-1-0
Distance 1180m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
15: 0-2-4
Distance 1375m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
25: 1-4-3
Going Heavy
7: 2-1-3
Going Soft
19: 1-2-3
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -25% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 21%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Recaptured winning form with a strong victory this venue. First try over a mile and performances have been good here. Among the dangers again.
ILB
Was eating up the ground late to win last start at this venue and will appreciate a good draw. Competing at a higher grade. Prefer in something a lot easier.
RP
First success for some time over 7½f here (handicap) 15 days ago; despite that Queanbeyan success, hard to recommend.
RSIS
Rounded them up when winning last start here and drawn the rails. Rising in class. Showing improvement in recent outings.
Career
88: 15-10-3
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
9: 0-5-0
Second-up
8: 0-0-0
Third-up
6: 2-0-0
Fourth-up
6: 2-1-0
Track Hinnomunjie
3: 1-0-0
Track Tambo
1: 0-0-0
Track Queanbeyan
6: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
35: 8-1-0
Distance 1605m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1880m
1: 1-0-0
Going Firm
8: 1-0-0
Going Good
45: 5-7-1
Going Heavy
9: 2-1-1
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 44% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 9%
Jockey Booking
Positive
Emma Ly 42% above market expected in L100 Rides
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 23%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 33% Profit on Turnover
Key Jockey
Positive
Emma Ly winning at 28% POT in last 100 rides
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
AAP
Failed to threaten at Tumut second-up. Remains unplaced from 6 starts here. Must lift.
ILB
Below par performance when 7th last time at Tumut and rising in grade. Rather have another day.
RP
Missed the frame (beaten 9l into seventh) at Tumut last month; not really built on success in a handicap in March at Sapphire Coast; a few rivals look in good form so may be vulnerable.
RSIS
Below expectations when 7th last start at Tumut and racing in stronger company.