Shortest win price
Ring Of Fire (4)
3.00
The Grid Property Group Benchmark 58 handicap over 2000 metres at Queanbeyan on a good four track shapes as a tactical race where gate position and early tempo will matter. Ring Of Fire is shortest in the market, followed by Hard Grunt and Delago Serg, with Sonho Dourado and Big Time Charlie next. The track should favour runners who can dictate or sit just off the pace, especially given the leaders group of Scorched Lane, Big Time Charlie, and Delago Serg. Ring Of Fire, drawn one, maps in the offpace lane and holds a genuine edge here — the data suggests this runner has outperformed market expectations by 21 per cent at Queanbeyan, and recent sectional work points to slower early splits, which should suit a runner who can find room into the straight. The claim from the book is compelling: a solid run in class one at Canberra last start, not beaten far at Canberra when in the market over this exact journey, and a third-up record of 1-1-0 from two attempts.
Hard Grunt sits next shortest and brings genuine claims. This jockey-trainer combo are outperforming market expectations by 45 per cent, and the gelding has early speed that reads as a real advantage on this circuit. A win at Bombala last time and a market run third at Tumut beforehand suggest the form is solid, even if the win-record across his career sits modest. Delago Serg rounds out the first-up movers at barrier three with Damon Budler aboard. The jockey is running 19 per cent better than career average in recent rides, and while the latest effort at Sapphire Coast was unspectacular after leading in a small field, the data concedes the run warrants forgiveness. That said, this runner is on a quick back-up and form-wise rates only 83 on the ratings card.
The major concern is the pace shape. Three runners are mapped as leaders, and if they scrimmage early, the offpace runners like Ring Of Fire should be advantaged into the straight. Will To Excel, a backmarker drawn six, brings strong credentials on paper — 74 career starts with eight wins and leading with class — but jockey Winona Costin is 21 per cent above market expected in her last 100 rides, and the trainer's recent return sits only 5 per cent, a real red flag for consistency. Scorched Lane, despite being a leader type drawn four with winkers off this start, has posted a mixed run line and the early sectional pace being taken off should work against his chances. The value angle sits with Ring Of Fire at a price the market has underrated relative to map position and last-start form at this track.
Shortest win price
Ring Of Fire (4)
3.00
Most career wins
Will To Excel
8-8-11 from 74 starts
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offmidfield
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
Scorched Lane · Positive
Fast Early
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Big Time Charlie · Negative
Early Sectionals
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Will To Excel · Negative
Trainer Recent
Camp struggling with S/R just 5%
Ring Of Fire · Positive
Maps Well
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 21%
Career
18: 1-5-3
Rating · IRD
85
Speed map
Leader
First-up
4: 0-2-0
Second-up
3: 1-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-1-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-1-0
Track Canberra
1: 0-0-0
Track Echuca
1: 0-1-0
Track Kembla Grange
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1550m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
7: 0-1-1
Going Good
13: 1-3-2
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
4: 0-2-1
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Winkers Off
Positive
Winkers coming off this start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Weight Rise
Negative
Carrying 5.5kg more than LS
AAP
On pace but found little at the business end at Wagga. Usually prominent and ready to tackle longer now. Warrants attention.
ILB
Started $6.50 and lost ground when 4th last run at Wagga and goes down in class. Should race on the speed. Hoping that the added weight won't hurt. Good chance of taking this out.
RP
You have to go back a fair way to find his only win; held in fourth over 1m at Wagga (conditions race) last month; has to prove this longer trip is what he wants and there are better alternatives here.
RSIS
Started 11/2 and was getting tired late when 4th last start at Wagga and goes down in class. Should be going forward early. Up in weight. Capable type.
Career
43: 6-5-2
Rating · IRD
84
Speed map
Leader
First-up
7: 0-1-0
Second-up
5: 0-0-0
Third-up
5: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
4: 1-0-1
Track Tuncurry
1: 0-0-0
Track Mudgee
1: 0-0-0
Track Sapphire Coast
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1280m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1750m
3: 2-0-0
Going Good
27: 4-3-2
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
15: 2-2-0
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Sent forward but flat-footed when things got serious this venue first run back. Building fitness. Capable of making an impact.
ILB
Started at $16.00 and couldn't maintain the pace when 6th last run at this track but have to respect the form at this trip. Should be going forward early. Could go close.
RP
Likes this combination of C&D; has proven competitive in a race of this nature; not disgraced when sixth of nine over 1m here (handicap) last month; could be hard to beat as does have winning form.
RSIS
Started 15/1 and folded up in the straight when 6th last run at this track but strong performer at this distance in the past. Displays good tactical pace. Has strong claims.
Career
74: 8-8-11
Rating · IRD
76
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
9: 1-2-0
Second-up
8: 1-0-0
Third-up
8: 1-0-1
Fourth-up
7: 1-0-3
Track Dubbo
5: 0-1-0
Track Wyong
1: 0-1-0
Track Sapphire Coast
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
6: 2-0-0
Distance 2100m
12: 2-2-3
Distance 2330m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
46: 7-4-4
Going Heavy
11: 0-3-4
Going Soft
16: 1-1-3
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 5%
Key Rider
Positive
Winona Costin 21% above market expected in L100 Rides
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 36%
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 22%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
First-up (26-weeks). Smart on his day and pitted against better company last prep. Generally competitive fresh while trialling quietly in preparation for return.
ILB
Fresh today after a break of 26 weeks. Picked up late ground when 2nd last run at Wyong and matched against less formidable competition. Going up in weight. Others are more appealing.
RP
Finished second when beaten 1l at Wyong over 1m2½f (handicap) dropped back in distance six months ago; has maintained his consistent level of form; layoff to overcome; should be on the premises as recent display was promising.
RSIS
Racing fresh after a break of 26 weeks. Was strong late when 2nd last time at Wyong and taking on a lower class of opponents.
Career
11: 1-4-2
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
3: 0-1-1
Second-up
2: 0-1-1
Third-up
2: 1-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-1-0
Track Wagga
6: 1-1-1
Track Sapphire Coast
1: 0-1-0
Track Canberra
3: 0-2-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1400m
4: 0-2-2
Distance 1600m
4: 1-1-0
Going Good
8: 1-1-2
Going Soft
3: 0-3-0
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 21%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Solid run Plate (C1) at Canberra 9 Oct. On pace, not beaten far at Canberra when in the market over this journey. Makes a strong case in this company.
ILB
Was $3.70 and couldn't stay in touch when 7th last run at Canberra. May see an upturn in form and drawn the rails. Putting up notable efforts this campaign. Has a very strong case to be winning.
RP
Useful at this level and running consistently; somewhat disappointing when finishing seventh (11-4) in a conditions race (Canberra) 18 days ago upped to this distance; no surprise to see him go well given that not many of these impressed last time out and shown he can win fairly recently.
RSIS
At 11/4 weakened to finish 7th last time at Canberra. Is capable of a resurgence and has minimal work to do from the draw. Looks like a winning chance.
Career
21: 2-2-5
Rating · IRD
83
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Canberra
4: 0-0-1
Track Goulburn
1: 0-0-0
Track Rosehill
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1310m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1425m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1460m
5: 0-0-1
Going Good
15: 2-1-3
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-1
Going Soft
4: 0-1-1
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 19% better than Career Avg.
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 6%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 36%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 46% Profit on Turnover
Key Jockey
Positive
Damon Budler winning at 22% POT in last 100 rides
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 21%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start
AAP
On a quick back-up. Only battled home after leading in the small field at Sapphire Coast. Has speed and can forgive latest.
ILB
Backs up quickly. Odds of $2.80 and faded away to finish 4th last run at Sapphire Coast. Has early speed and positions nicely. Looks like solid value.
RP
This is his level; respectable effort when fourth over 1m at Sapphire Coast (handicap) five days ago; has to be respected as shown he can get his head in front.
RSIS
On a short back up. Started 9/5 and tailed off to finish 4th last start at Sapphire Coast. Has good tactical pace and will be nicely positioned. Should run a competitive race.
Career
24: 2-1-6
Rating · IRD
76
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Kilmore
1: 0-0-0
Track Mornington
1: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2000m
4: 0-0-2
Distance 2025m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2435m
1: 0-0-0
Going Firm
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
17: 0-1-6
Going Soft
4: 1-0-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 45%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start
Form At Track
Positive
1 time winner here at Queanbeyan
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Knuckled down for third at Tumut when in the market. Goes into wider exotics.
ILB
Ran 3rd last time at Tumut and can find a nice position from the draw. Jockey Pierre Boudvillain and trainer Gratz Vella must be respected as a team. Hard to see this being good enough.
RP
Ran well to finish third (beaten 2½l) over 1m at Tumut (handicap) last month; has won here before.
RSIS
Honest race when 3rd last start at Tumut and has a good draw. Jockey Pierre Boudvillain and trainer Gratz Vella show promise as a duo.
Career
34: 1-5-9
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
4: 0-1-0
Second-up
3: 0-1-1
Third-up
3: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
3: 1-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-0-2
Track Bathurst
3: 0-1-1
Track Wagga
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1218m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1280m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1400m
7: 1-0-2
Going Heavy
3: 0-0-1
Going Soft
13: 0-0-4
Going Unknown
2: 0-1-1
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
AAP
On a short back-up. Failed to threaten at Kembla Grange at longer odds. Stamina on trial here but well into preparation and could give some cheek at odds.
ILB
On a quick turnaround. Average at best when 7th last time at Kembla Grange but racing over more ground. Carrying more weight than last time.
RP
Beaten 11l (seventh) at Kembla Grange over 7f (handicap) a week ago; not seen the winners' enclosure for a while now (last win in 2024) and good and bad recent runs found on his CV; record demonstrates how he often finds at least one too good so unlikely to trouble the principals; also engaged in race 1 at Queanbeyan.
RSIS
Backing up quickly for this race. Below par performance when 7th last run at Kembla Grange but going over extra ground. Will have to carry more weight.
Career
3: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Kembla Grange
1: 0-0-0
Track Randwick Kensington
1: 0-0-0
Track Illawarra Grange
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1150m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -34% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 22%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Failed to threaten at Kembla Grange second-up at healthy odds. Significantly up in distance and looks a safer place proposition.
ILB
Started at $31.00 and below expectations when 7th last run at Kembla Grange. Likely to get back in the run. Best to watch and see.
RP
Out of the frame when seventh over 1m at Kembla Grange (handicap) last month; this now her fourth attempt to get off the mark; runs for only the second time in a handicap; probably unlikely to trouble the principals.
RSIS
Odds of 30/1 and unimpressive effort when 7th last time at Kembla Grange. Gets back and needs luck.