Shortest win price
On The Cusp (9)
2.70
Toowoomba's 9:24 pm Maiden Plate over 1100m shapes as a genuine puzzle on soft ground. On The Cusp sits shortest in the market, followed by Vickers Vimy and Portnova, with Troy Boy fourth. The track is playing soft five with showers present. On The Cusp has early form—two trials and a pair of starts at Toowoomba itself—but has yet to hit the line in anger, posting a rating of 100 from the form guide. Vickers Vimy, a $55k purchase, is a first-starter off an impressive trial win at Deagon, rated 87, and looks primed. Troy Boy has shown consistency across five starts without the breakthrough, most recently fading at Toowoomba over 870m on heavy ground. The speed setup suggests Mishani Honour and Troy Boy will lead, with On The Cusp and Serene Legacy off the pace.
Vickers Vimy commands attention here. The gelding arrives with a solid trial victory and sits drawn to get a conservative run in barrier 1 under Nozi Tomizawa. David Vandyke's record suggests this is a trainer doing the business with his runners, though the combo has run cold of late. On The Cusp shapes as the day's puzzle. It boasts an impressive recent trial at the track and maps perfectly off the pace, but the form suggests it hasn't worked out yet after two Toowoomba starts. Troy Boy, under Ryan Wiggins for Kristie Clark-Peoples, is where the value might sit. The jockey and trainer combo are outperforming expectations by 150 per cent, and while his strike-rate sits at just 10 per cent, he drew barrier 2 and ran a strong third here last time on heavier ground—just five lengths from the winner.
Make Me Shine presents as the bolter. Trained by Pat W Webster—a stable firing at 11 per cent with 100 runners—it holds early speed, a genuine advantage at Toowoomba. From barrier 9 it faces a task, but its recent form line reads 2-5-5-4, suggesting consistency. Portnova comes off a break and warmed up in trials; its trainer is running at 34 per cent strike-rate and holds positive form momentum. The risks are plain: this is a maiden field where nothing has broken through, and the soft track will test acceleration. On The Cusp and Vickers Vimy sit favourites for sound reason, but Troy Boy at the odds offers the edge.
Shortest win price
On The Cusp (9)
2.70
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Midfield
Firststart
Offpace
Leader
Make Me Shine · Positive
Profitable Trainer
Stable runners going at 11% POT in L100 Runners
Mishani Honour · Negative
Gave ground LS
Faded towards the finish last time out
Troy Boy · Negative
Trainer Career
Trainer Career S/R is 10%
Vickers Vimy · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Career
1: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
76
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Ipswich
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 11% POT in L100 Runners
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Fronting up for second campaign (19-weeks). Failed to stamp himself on the race at Ipswich debut 3 Jul. Learnt plenty there. More a minor money chance here.
ILB
Resuming after break. Odds of $10.00 and moved ahead of some to finish 5th last time at Ipswich and having second career run. Will need everything to go right.
RP
Far from disgraced, finishing fifth, on his debut over this trip at Ipswich at 9-1 in July; returns from a layoff; now knows what is expected of him; a possible player.
RSIS
Back from a break. Was 9/1 and showed some merit late when 5th last start at Ipswich and having second race start.
Career
6: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Doomben
1: 0-0-0
Track Gold Coast
1: 0-0-0
Track Ipswich
1: 0-0-0
Distance 800m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
4: 0-0-0
Going Good
6: 0-0-1
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Sent out $101 when unable to threaten at Doomben. Hope for exotics only.
ILB
Started at $101.00 and faded away to finish 9th last time at Doomben. Will be positive in the run early. Rather have another day.
RP
Six-race maiden though does have a third place to his name; ninth of ten beaten 7l at Doomben over 6f (maiden) last week; a few rivals look in good form so makes little appeal.
RSIS
Was 100/1 and couldn't maintain the pace when 9th last run at Doomben. Will be positive in the run early.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Offpace
AAP
Honest performance without menacing winner at Barcaldine at second appearance. Switching to 1100m. This looks a deeper race.
ILB
Competitive effort when 2nd last start at Barcaldine. Been in the money each start this campaign.
RSIS
Competitive effort when 2nd last time at Barcaldine. Been in the top three each attempt recently.
Career
5: 0-1-1
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-0-1
Track Warwick
2: 0-1-0
Track Ipswich
1: 0-0-0
Distance 800m
3: 0-1-0
Distance 870m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
1: 0-1-0
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 10%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 150%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 21%
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
Wet To Dry
Negative
Coming from a wet to dry (Heavy 8 to Good 4) track may prove difficult
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Just missed at Warwick 10 Oct. Slogged away behind the dominant winner this venue. Drawn to get a conservative run. Commands attention here.
ILB
Did well to finish 3rd beaten by more than 5L last run here and has a good draw. Has some claims.
RP
Stepped up on his last two starts; just over 5l third here over 4½f (maiden) three weeks ago.
RSIS
Good performance to run into 3rd last run here and will try to take advantage of the draw. Ryan Wiggins and Kristie Clark-Peoples have a good working relationship. Betting is the best guide.
Rating · IRD
88
Speed map
Firststart
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
On Debut
Positive
First race start
AAP
Trials (1:1-0-0). $55k purchase. Out of a placed mare. Indicated some ability with solid trial victory. Nice gate. Forward type and primed to run a big race.
ILB
Debutant 3yo by Better Than Ready for trainer David Vandyke and drawn well. Success in a barrier trial at Deagon on Oct 30th. Watch for a sign in the market.
RP
Related to 6f winner Kenny The Baker; from a powerful stable; already gelded; can give it a good shot as some good aspects to his profile.
RSIS
First appearance at the races 3yo by Better Than Ready for David Vandyke and will be aiming for a soft run from the draw. Watch early betting.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Midfield
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start
AAP
Ridden back and never a factor at Gatton second-up. Usually gets back. Others with more appeal.
ILB
Backs up quickly. Odds of $18.00 and clearly outclassed when 7th last run at Gatton but stepping back up in trip.
RSIS
Backs up quickly. Was 17/1 and unsatisfactory performance when 7th last start at Gatton but going back up in trip.
Career
1: 0-1-0
Rating · IRD
88
Speed map
Firststart
First-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Charleville
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-1-0
Going Soft
1: 0-1-0
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -29% POT in their L100 Races
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 12% POT in L100 Runners
Raceday Experience
Positive
Wiser for debut run
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Highly encouraging debut performance at Charleville 3 Nov when supported. Solid opening effort though this is a different kettle of fish.
ILB
In the money when 2nd last run at Charleville and having second race start. Large claim helps. Gets a chance against these.
RP
Just held on her debut (5f, Charleville) at 7-4 11 days ago; progress needed on this second career run.
RSIS
Ran 2nd last run at Charleville and was on debut last time. Large claim helps. Has a good chance.
Rating · IRD
73
Speed map
Firststart
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Still Learning
Negative
No race experience
Wet To Dry
Negative
Coming from a wet to dry (Heavy 8 to Good 4) track may prove difficult
AAP
Trials (4:0-0-1). Latest trial was reasonable but strikes a tough race. Hard to dive into on debut.
ILB
Initial appearance 3yo by The Mission for trainer Beau Gorman. Interesting to see the tongue tie go on for the first time. Market as guide.
RP
First start under rules for this three-year-old daughter of The Mission; must be respected.
RSIS
Beau Gorman 3yo by The Mission on debut. Interesting gear change of tongue strap on first time. Placed 3rd in a trial at Deagon on Oct 30th.
Career
2: 0-2-0
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
1: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Toowoomba
2: 0-2-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-2-0
Distance 870m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1050m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
1: 0-1-0
Going Soft
1: 0-1-0
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 11%
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Back for second campaign (15-weeks). In the minors on debut last campaign while warmed up with an impressive trial. Right in the mix again fresh.
ILB
Had a break from racing and returns to competition. Competed in a tight contest last run at this track. Won a trial at Toowoomba Inner Track on Oct 30th. Will show up at the business end.
RP
Beaten a short head when second in August; lightly raced with this just her third appearance; others more persuasive given the form of her last race isn't working out well.
RSIS
Had a break from racing and returns to competition. Missed by a narrow margin last run at this venue. Won a trial at Toowoomba Inner Track on Oct 30th. Tough competitor.
Career
2: 0-1-0
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
1: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Gold Coast
1: 0-1-0
Track Ipswich
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-1-0
Hot Trainer
Positive
Michael G Nolan in good form, out performing market 51%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 34% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 19%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Kicks off second campaign (19-weeks). In the minors at Gold Coast on debut last campaign while warmed up with 2 trials. Looking for more from this filly this time in.
ILB
First up from a break of 19 weeks and improved to place when 2nd beaten by just short of 2 1/2L first up last preparation at Gold Coast. Could feature here.
RP
Creditable fifth at Ipswich four months ago; lightly raced (this just her third race); has had some time off.
RSIS
Resuming and ran on when 2nd resuming last preparation at Gold Coast. Unplaced in multiple trials. Watch the betting.
Career
1: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
73
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Doomben
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 2731%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 5% POT in L100 Runners
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Kicks off second campaign (21-weeks). Unremarkable debut performance at Doomben at double-figure odds 17 Jun. Monitor betting.
ILB
Racing fresh after a break. Odds of $20.00 and faded to finish 7th last start at Doomben but fitter for debut run. Gets some weight taken off. Considering others.
RP
Held on her debut at Doomben in June seeming green; layoff to overcome; hard to see her getting off the mark second time up.
RSIS
First run back after a break. At 19/1 struggled with the pace when 7th last run at Doomben but fitter for debut run. Goes down in weight.
Career
5: 0-0-2
Rating · IRD
75
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Ipswich
1: 0-0-1
Track Toowoomba
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Distance 800m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1110m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 0-0-2
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 39% lower than Career Avg.
AAP
Ex Peter Robl. Trained here now. Started $51 when safely held in Maiden company at Doomben. Can make a positive start for new trainer.
ILB
Freshened up. Underwhelming when 7th last start at Doomben. Shows good early pace. First start for a new trainer.
RP
Out of the frame (beaten 4½l in seventh) at Doomben two months ago; stepped up on her last two starts; first start for new stable; others are preferred.
RSIS
Back from a let up. Uncompetitive when 7th last time at Doomben. Should muster plenty of early toe. Racing for a new trainer.
Rating · IRD
74
Speed map
Firststart
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Hot Jockey
Positive
Anthony Allen in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 20%
Watch Betting
Negative
If supported, follow in
Wet To Dry
Negative
Coming from a wet to dry (Heavy 8 to Good 4) track may prove difficult
AAP
Trials (1:0-0-1). Out of an unraced three-quarter-sister to G1 winner Laser Hawk. Solid performance when placed in only Deagon trial. Follow betting leads.
ILB
3yo by Jonker having initial appearance for trainer Brent Gray. Fitter for a trial at Deagon on Oct 30th. Betting is the best guide.
RP
First time on the track; sibling of Little Iffy (5½f winner); respected with signs of encouragement in profile.
RSIS
3yo first starter sired by Jonker for Brent Gray. Placed 3rd in a trial at Deagon on Oct 30th.