Canterbury (NSW) horses tips & previews

15 Nov, 2:45 am AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Canterbury (NSW), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Fri 13 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Fri, 13 NovCanterbury (NSW)Change

Race 1 — Schweppes Mdn Hcp 1100m · jumps Fri 13 Nov, 6:00 pm AEDT

Race preview

Canterbury plays host to the opening maiden handicap for three-year-old fillies at 6:00 pm AEDT, a 1100m assignment on Good ground with overcast conditions. Water City is shortest in the market, with From Me To You next, then Bella Tatiana and Posh Pommery completing the shorter-priced brigade. The race shapes as a puzzle: a pair of first-starters in Bella Tatiana and From Me To You will fight for early position, Miss Gambit projects to lead from barrier five, Water City sits offmidfield out of barrier one, and Posh Pommery is anchored back as a backmarker coming into just her second start. On the scorecard Water City rates the top gun at 100 IRD, carrying form from two placings at Hawkesbury, most recently a fast-finishing third at the distance on Good ground. She'Sagogo, further back at $12–$13, maps well here and has shown enough at her trial runs to warrant respect.

Water City's appeal sits in her finishing sectionals at Hawkesbury last start: she picked up strongly from the back half and is on the improve third-up. The concern is a nine per cent strike rate from trainer Ciaron Maher, a fact worth acknowledging when Water City remains shortest. From Me To You is a $700k purchase out of a Group 3-winning mare, but her trial efforts—a ninth at Rosehill on a softer track and only a placing at Randwick—hardly scream imminent breakthrough. Tim Clark rides, though he shifts to this filly for debut. Bella Tatiana carries the Price and Kent polish and impressed in barrier trials at both Warwick Farm and Rosehill, turning in encouraging efforts that catch the eye. The Price/Kent combination is in losing form by 100 per cent of POT across their last 100 races, a red flag that sits squarely against the $170k purchase on debut.

Posh Pommery returns for her second campaign after 20 weeks and shapes as a runner coming in strengthened. She fronted at Warwick Farm 24 June, safely contained in a two-year-old handicap, and has had two trials since to sharpen up. Kerrin McEvoy partners, though the McEvoy/Waller combination is operating at a cold minus-25 per cent POT recently. The case against Posh Pommery at her current price is twofold: inexperience second-up and recent form from that stable. For value, Bella Tatiana and Water City demand respect, but at shorter odds Water City's improved sectionals and third-up fitness edge the scales toward her favour—opinion that sits with the market's ordering.

Race notes

3YF MDN,3YF MDN HCP,3yo,Maiden
GOOD4
Overcast
6 runners

Shortest win price

Water City (4)

1.50

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Firststart

1Bella Tatiana
2From Me To You

Backmarker

3Posh Pommery

Offmidfield

4Water City

Midfield

7She'Sagogo

Leader

5Miss Gambit

Bella Tatiana · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
From Me To You · Negative
Rider
Negative rider change today
Posh Pommery · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -25% POT in their L100 Races
Water City · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Bella TatianaJ: Tom Sherry·T: M Price & M Kent Jnr258.5kg7 1 1$4.20$1.60

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed50%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Last starts

1Warwick Farm798m30 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-2.2
1Rosehill900m19 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-0.3
7Warwick Farm818m26 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(8)5.8L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 21%
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Still Learning
Negative
No race experience

Comments

AAP

Trials (4:2-0-1). $170k purchase. Half-sister to Listed winner Generosity. Carries the Price/Kent polish and turned in encouraging trial efforts. Tom Sherry stays aboard for debut. Consider.

ILB

3yo debutant by Russian Revolution for trainer Mick Price & Michael Kent (Jnr) and has a positive gate. Success in a trial at Rosehill Gardens on Oct 19th. Watch early betting.

Related to Grade 2 winner Generosity; stable gets plenty of debutant winners; sire gets his share of decent sorts; has to be feared with signs of encouragement in profile.

RSIS

Career debut 3yo by Russian Revolution for Mick Price & Michael Kent (Jnr) and can find a nice position from the draw.

2From Me To YouJ: Tim Clark·T: G Waterhouse & A Bott458.5kg9 3$5.00$1.95

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed50%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Last starts

3Randwick740m6 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)1L
9Rosehill900m22 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)9.2L

Insights

Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
On Debut
Positive
First race start

Comments

AAP

Trials (3:0-0-2). $700k purchase. Out of a Group 3-winning mare. Hasn't been all that far away at the trials. Tim Clark sticks for debut. Follow betting leads.

ILB

I Am Invincible 3yo on debut for Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott. Fitter for a trial at Royal Randwick on Oct 6th. Follow the money.

Yard has a good record with newcomers here; sire can produce useful types; related to 6½f winner Hakushu; one to consider with signs of encouragement in profile and the trainer is hot at the moment.

RSIS

Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott trained 3yo by I Am Invincible having first race appearance. Fitter for a trial at Royal Randwick on Oct 6th. Watch betting.

3Posh PommeryJ: Kerrin Mc Evoy·T: C J Waller358.5kg4 7 6 81: 0-0-0$23.00$4.60

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Warwick Farm
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

8Rosehill900m19 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)6.3L
6Warwick Farm1100m24 June 2026 · 2Y FILLIES HCP · GOOD45.3L
7Rosehill900m19 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)4L
4Warwick Farm791m9 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)7.1L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -25% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 6% POT in L100 Runners
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Raceday Experience
Positive
Wiser for debut run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Fronting up for second campaign (20-weeks). With leading trainer but safely contained at Warwick Farm debut 24 Jun. Better for run. Comes back stronger and tuned with 2 trials and one who can step up this time in. Watch betting.

ILB

First up after a break. Started $9.50 and fairly underwhelming when 6th last run at Warwick Farm but having second race start. Has a nice turn of foot. Should go close.

Held on her debut at Warwick Farm at 17-2 in June; this only her second handicap outing; possible improver with outing under her belt although has plenty to find.

RSIS

Back after break. At 17/2 moderate showing when 6th last run at Warwick Farm but having second career run. Yet to place in all trials. Strong claims.

4Water CityJ: James Mc Donald·T: C Maher158.5kg7 4 3 32: 0-0-2$1.50$1.08

Career

2: 0-0-2

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Hawkesbury
2: 0-0-2
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
2: 0-0-2

Last starts

3Hawkesbury1100m27 Oct 2026 · MDN · GOOD40.69L
3Hawkesbury1000m8 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.55L
4Rosehill900m8 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)2.6L
7Randwick737m15 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)4.4L

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Trainer SR
Negative
Ciaron Maher striking at just 9%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -37% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 29%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Promising 3yo. Picked up strongly from back half at Hawkesbury when in the market. Improver, fitter third-up. The top rater.

ILB

Managed to run 3rd beaten by 3/4L last run at Hawkesbury and has a nice advantage with a good alley. Tongue tie go on for the first time. Looks like a winning chance.

Missed out by half a length at Hawkesbury last month.

RSIS

Attacked the line when 3rd beaten by 3/4L last run at Hawkesbury and has a nice advantage with a good draw. Interesting gear change of tongue strap on first time. Looks like a winning chance.

5Miss GambitJ: Nash Rawiller·T: Bryce Heys558kg3 6 71: 0-0-0$34.00$6.00

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Wyong
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

7Wyong1100m29 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD43.75L
6Warwick Farm815m13 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)4L
3Warwick Farm740m25 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · SYNTHETIC5.1L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 10% in Last 100 Rides
Key Rider
Positive
Nash Rawiller 26% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 91%
Key Jockey
Positive
Nash Rawiller winning at 9% POT in last 100 rides
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Reasonable debut performance when battled to line at Wyong at a mammoth price. Benefits from the experience and has scope to improve.

ILB

Was $101.00 and lost ground in the run home when 7th last run at Wyong but fitter for debut run. Has plenty of early speed. Hard to see this being competitive today.

Not disgraced (beaten just under 4l) on her debut running over this distance at Wyong at 100-1 last month; if finding progression from her initial experience, warrants consideration.

RSIS

Was 100/1 and tailed off to finish 7th last time at Wyong but having second race start. Shows good early pace.

6EssayScratched8––––

Career

2: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating80%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Hawkesbury
1: 0-0-0
Track Randwick
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

1Warwick Farm801m30 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-3.7
3Warwick Farm813m13 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)3.7L
5Hawkesbury1000m2 July 2026 · 2Y MDN · SOFT72.4L
1Rosehill900m19 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)-1.2
2Hawkesbury800m1 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)0.1L
7Randwick1000m7 Feb 2026 · 2yo · GOOD45.6L
2Warwick Farm799m22 Jan 2026 · Barrier Trial0.1L

Insights

Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 8%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -49% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 40%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 49% Profit on Turnover
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 75%
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Resuming (19-weeks). Tested in stakes company on debut then beaten fav at Hawkesbury. Trialled twice since, latest at Warwick Farm 30 Oct. Sound claims fresh.

ILB

Fresh today after a break. Jumped at $1.85 and showed some merit late when 5th last run at Hawkesbury.

Favourite but out of the places when fifth at Hawkesbury over 5f (handicap) four months ago; also engaged in race 2 at Gundagai.

RSIS

Back after a break. At 5/6 made up ground when 5th last start at Hawkesbury.

7She'SagogoJ: Andrew Adkins·T: G Ryan & S Alexiou657.5kg4 2 9 71: 0-0-0$34.00$6.00

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating20%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Warwick Farm
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

7Rosehill900m19 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)6.7L
9Warwick Farm1100m15 July 2026 · 2YF MDN-SW · GOOD47.3L
2Rosehill900m30 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)0.5L
4Rosehill900m19 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)2.5L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -44% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 56%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance
1st Up
Negative
May need this run

Comments

AAP

Returns for second campaign (17-weeks). Had a low-key debut at Warwick Farm 15 Jul. Aided by 2 lead-in trials. Must show more this time in and hard to entertain without market support.

ILB

Back from a spell. At $61.00 didn't threaten when 9th last run at Warwick Farm but was on debut last time. Better to look elsewhere.

Finished ninth and beaten 7l first time out at Warwick Farm at 66-1 four months ago; improvement could be in the offing; entitled to be better for that run.

RSIS

Had a break from racing and returns to competition. Odds of 60/1 and weakened under pressure when 9th last start at Warwick Farm but fitter for debut run.

8Montana TrailScratched3––––

Career

2: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating20%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Newcastle
1: 0-0-0
Track Randwick
1: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

7Newcastle800m6 Nov 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)3.6L
5Newcastle900m28 Feb 2026 · 2yo · SOFT56.4L
6Randwick1000m20 Dec 2025 · 2Y-SW · GOOD416L
5Gosford800m25 Nov 2025 · Barrier Trial3.2L

Insights

Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 7% POT in L100 Runners
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Second campaign (36-weeks). Further matured. Wasn't extended in latest Beaumont trial 6 Nov. Will need to improve on first prep.

ILB

Resuming after a spell of 36 weeks. Pushed past some when 5th last time at Newcastle. The large claim from Ms Olivia Chambers should help.

Came home fifth, beaten 6l, in February at Newcastle in a maiden; is passed over.

RSIS

Resuming after a break of 36 weeks. Made some ground when 5th last time at Newcastle. The large claim from Ms Olivia Chambers should help.

Odds correct as at Fri 13 Nov, 6:00 pm AEDT. Odds can change.

Past meetings

Wed 16 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races