Canterbury (NSW) horses tips & previews

15 Nov, 2:45 am AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Canterbury (NSW), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Fri 13 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Fri, 13 NovCanterbury (NSW)Change

Race 3 — Ooshman Mdn Plate 1550m · jumps Fri 13 Nov, 7:00 pm AEDT

Race preview

Ooshman Mdn Plate: where the value sits at Canterbury over the 1550m journey on a good four track under overcast skies. The win market lines up with Ligularia holding the shortest quote, followed closely by Snitzel's Girl, Markos Port, and Aida rounding out the leading fancies in the early betting order. Fortune favours the bold here, and the market looks vulnerable at the top with some genuine queries over the shorter-priced runners on this circuit.

The case for the market leader Ligularia points to barrier two and early speed that suits this tight Canterbury circuit, though the partnership with Kerrin Mc Evoy and Joseph Pride carries a cold recent strike rate. Snitzel's Girl maps well from barrier eight for James McDonald and the stable of C J Waller, coming off a consistent placing at Rosehill two back before running on okay at Warwick Farm. Meanwhile, Markos Port is trained by G Waterhouse and A Bott, jumping from barrier five with Regan Bayliss aboard, and maps to go hard early after showing a good effort two starts back over 1600m.

Digging further into the pack reveals Aida from barrier one for M, W & J Hawkes, coming off an eye-catching run at Rosehill where this contender finished strongly from the back half when fresh. With speed maps showing Ligularia leading and runners like Markos Port and Snitzel's Girl racing on pace, the bold play involves looking past the obvious favourites and finding overs further down where the stable form metrics and map advantages align for an upset.

Race notes

3&4Y MDN-SW,3-4yo,Maiden
GOOD4
Overcast
7 runners

Shortest win price

Ligularia (8)

3.30

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

7Arantu

Midfield

5Aida

Offpace

6Almaaz
1Charlie Hustle

Onpace

2Markos Port
11Snitzel's Girl

Leader

8Ligularia

Charlie Hustle · Negative
Early Sectionals
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Markos Port · Positive
Maps Well
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 56%
Aida · Positive
Hot Trainer
M, W & J Hawkes in good form, out performing market 32%
Almaaz · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 30% better than Career Avg.

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Charlie HustleJ: Siena Grima·T: C Karakatsanis459kg4 3 6 3 49: 0-0-1$61.00$13.00

Career

9: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating20%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Wyong
2: 0-0-0
Track Illawarra Grange
1: 0-0-0
Track Canberra
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1625m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 0-0-1
Going Soft
4: 0-0-0

Last starts

4Kembla Grange1600m24 Oct 2026 · 3UP MID MDN HCP · GOOD44L
3Bathurst1400m16 Oct 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD43.3L
6Illawarra Grange1200m1 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD47.7L
3Warwick Farm816m15 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)0.6L
4Wyong1625m30 Apr 2026 · MID MDN-SW · GOOD42.4L
4Wyong1600m16 Apr 2026 · MDN · GOOD40.9L
5Canberra1600m3 Apr 2026 · CL1-SW · SOFT54.1L
5Goulburn1300m22 Mar 2026 · Maiden · SOFT72.3L

Insights

Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Sent out $19 when battled home to finish 4th at Kembla Grange. Last couple okay but hard to warm to here.

ILB

Was $19.00 and chased well when 4th last run at Kembla Grange. Still in maiden grade after 9 starts. Appears tested.

Not disgraced in fourth at Kembla Grange three weeks ago in a handicap; stepped up on his last two starts but still winless and defeats stacking up (nine on the bounce); unlikely to achieve more than just a supporting role.

RSIS

Was 18/1 and moved ahead of some to finish 4th last run at Kembla Grange. A 9 start maiden.

2Markos PortJ: Regan Bayliss·T: G Waterhouse & A Bott559kg3 3 2 3 44: 0-1-2$4.00$2.00

Career

4: 0-1-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Goulburn
1: 0-1-0
Track Hawkesbury
2: 0-0-1
Track Warwick Farm
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1800m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
1: 0-1-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
3: 0-1-1

Last starts

4Hawkesbury1800m27 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD45.17L
3Warwick Farm1600m5 Oct 2026 · 3UP SUPER MDN HCP · SOFT60.81L
2Goulburn1400m24 Sept 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD40.43L
3Hawkesbury1100m10 Sept 2026 · CG&E MDN-SW · GOOD41.4L
3Randwick1045m28 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)1.6L
7Randwick740m14 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)4.7L

Insights

Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 56%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Good effort here two back over 1600m. On pace but found little at the business end at Hawkesbury. Switching to 1550m. Right in this.

ILB

At $3.00 outmatched in the run home when 4th last run at Hawkesbury and good career start. Shows good early pace. Has run into the money frequently this preparation. Definite claims.

Left backers frustrated when fourth of 11 at 2-1 at Hawkesbury over 1m1f (maiden) two weeks ago; four-race maiden but has managed to finish second; has shown some capability here and there and could have a say.

RSIS

Started at 2/1 and faded in the late stages of the race when 4th last time at Hawkesbury and good career start. Likely to be well placed early. Rates as one of the key chances.

3Ying MoonScratched1––––

Career

3: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Pakenham Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Track Hawkesbury
1: 0-0-1
Track Wangaratta
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1170m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

3Hawkesbury1500m27 Oct 2026 · 3UP PROV MDN-SW · GOOD42.28L
7Pakenham Synthetic1400m5 Oct 2026 · 4yo+ · SYNTHETIC9.9L
6Wangaratta1170m23 Aug 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT74.8L

Insights

Improver
Positive
Poised to improve on recent form here

Comments

AAP

By far the best of his 3 runs to date was latest placing at Hawkesbury. Encouraging latest but needs to progress further here.

ILB

Good run when placing 3rd last time at Hawkesbury and gets the perfect barrier.

Gave good account to finish third at Hawkesbury two weeks ago.

RSIS

Made some ground late when 3rd beaten by 2 1/4L last time at Hawkesbury and drawn nicely.

4Landing GearScratched3––––

Career

2: 0-1-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
1: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Hawkesbury
1: 0-1-0
Track Newcastle
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
2: 0-1-0
Going Good
2: 0-1-0

Last starts

6Newcastle1300m31 Oct 2026 · CG&E MDN · GOOD42.62L
2Hawkesbury1300m8 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.81L
8Rosehill900m8 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)2.7L
2Illawarra Grange800m6 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.5L

Insights

Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 9%

Comments

AAP

Ran on okay without troubling at Newcastle. Hard to make a case.

ILB

At $6.00 weakened to finish 6th last time at Newcastle.

Respectable effort last month at Newcastle in a handicap.

RSIS

Started 5/1 and didn't attack the line when 6th last time at Newcastle.

5AidaJ: Tyler Schiller·T: M, W & J Hawkes157kg5 3 4 4 44: 0-0-1$5.50$2.50

Career

4: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Kembla Grange
2: 0-0-0
Track Rosehill
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
4: 0-0-1

Last starts

4Rosehill1400m14 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT62.62L
4Rosehill1030m2 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.3L
4Kembla Grange1500m18 Apr 2026 · F&M MDN-SW · SOFT52.7L
3Rosehill1400m6 Apr 2026 · 3Y+MDN-SW · SOFT65.5L
5Kembla Grange1200m21 Mar 2026 · Maiden · SOFT76.6L
5Rosehill900m10 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)1.5L
6Rosehill900m23 Feb 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)4.3L
5Rosehill900m20 June 2025 · Barrier Trial5.6L

Insights

Hot Trainer
Positive
M, W & J Hawkes in good form, out performing market 32%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 19% POT in L100 Runners
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 30 days
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Kept fresh following return. Ran on with some conviction from back half in Rosehill MIdweek as an outsider after lengthy absence. Fitter into this.

ILB

Odds of $41.00 and moved ahead of some to finish 4th last run at Rosehill and has a nice advantage with a good draw. Prefer a return to something a lot easier.

Creditable effort to finish fourth, beaten 2½l over 7f at Rosehill (handicap) last month when just behind Snitzel's Girl; leading claims as has bits and pieces of decent form.

RSIS

Started 40/1 and outpaced some runners late when 4th last run at Rosehill and gets the perfect stall.

6AlmaazJ: Tommy Berry·T: C J Waller757kg3 8 7 5 117: 0-1-2$19.00$4.80

Career

7: 0-1-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Illawarra Grange
1: 0-0-0
Track Hawkesbury
1: 0-0-0
Track Rosehill
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
5: 0-1-1
Going Soft
2: 0-0-1

Last starts

11Wyong1625m29 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD48.56L
5Illawarra Grange1400m1 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD46.2L
7Rosehill900m8 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)4.7L
8Hawkesbury1600m8 Apr 2026 · 3UP MDN HCP · GOOD43.4L
3Wyong1625m18 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT64.2L
2Rosehill1500m25 Feb 2026 · Maiden · GOOD40.2L
3Wyong1350m10 Feb 2026 · Maiden · GOOD43.1L
5Canterbury1250m23 Jan 2026 · 3UP F&M MDN HCP · SOFT54.4L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 30% better than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Positive
Tommy Berry 32% above market expected in L100 Rides
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 6% POT in L100 Runners
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

AAP

Ridden cold and never in the picture at Wyong second-up. Hard to warm to here.

ILB

Unimpressive effort when 11th last time at Wyong. Place chance.

Some promise; closest she has come to winning after seven starts was a second; finished 11th of 12 over 1m at Wyong (maiden) 15 days ago; not hard to turn elsewhere.

RSIS

Only fair when 11th last run at Wyong.

7ArantuJ: Tim Clark·T: J C Deamer657kg2 8 2 5 41: 0-0-0$7.50$3.10

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Hawkesbury
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

4Hawkesbury1300m27 Oct 2026 · 4UP MDN HCP · GOOD42.24L
5Newcastle1000m12 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)2.3L
2Newcastle800m23 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)2.6L
8Warwick Farm1212m25 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(9)31.2L
2Illawarra Grange800m6 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.5L
8Rosehill1030m23 Dec 2025 · Barrier Trial12.5L
4Warwick Farm796m8 Dec 2025 · Barrier Trial5.3L

Insights

Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 13% lower than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 31% in L100 rides
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Raceday Experience
Positive
Wiser for debut run
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Gave a sight on debut at Hawkesbury 27 Oct. Nice opening run but this is a sterner test. Place.

ILB

At $9.00 advanced late into 4th last start at Hawkesbury and was a debutant last start. Can go through the gears. Could be in the mix.

Finished fourth on her debut, albeit only beaten just over 2l at Hawkesbury at 8-1 two weeks ago; if stepping up from first effort rates a likely contender.

RSIS

Odds of 8/1 and got going late when 4th last run at Hawkesbury and was on debut last time. Has a great burst of pace late. Could be in the mix.

8LigulariaJ: Kerrin Mc Evoy·T: Joseph Pride257kg2 6 7 3 43: 0-1-1$3.30$1.75

Career

3: 0-1-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating80%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
2: 0-1-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Hawkesbury
1: 0-1-0
Track Rosehill
1: 0-0-1
Track Warwick Farm
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-1-1
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-1-1

Last starts

4Warwick Farm1400m28 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT52.4L
3Rosehill1100m14 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT62.1L
7Warwick Farm816m15 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)5.9L
6Warwick Farm786m20 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)6.3L
2Hawkesbury1100m28 Oct 2025 · MDN · SOFT61.2L
4Warwick Farm801m17 Oct 2025 · Barrier Trial3.4L
7Rosehill900m6 June 2025 · Barrier Trial5.7L
4Warwick Farm740m22 May 2025 · Barrier Trial · SYNTHETIC0.8L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -47% POT in their L100 Races
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Showing some early promise. Off the speed, picked up soundly and wasn't beaten far at Warwick Farm second-up. Good gate. Can have a major say.

ILB

Started at $10.00 and made some ground when 4th last time at Warwick Farm and showing consistent performance in races. Should jump out and bowl along. Solid chance.

Creditable fourth at Warwick Farm over 7f (maiden) last month; has shown some ability on occasion and needs consideration.

RSIS

Started 9/1 and chased well when 4th last start at Warwick Farm and promising career start. Should muster plenty of early toe. Has a positive stall. Gets a solid chance here.

9ForsakenScratched11––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed80%

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 23% in Last 100 Rides
Key Rider
Positive
Dylan Gibbons 39% above market expected in L100 Rides
Key Jockey
Positive
Dylan Gibbons winning at 20% POT in last 100 rides
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 18%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Wide Draw
Negative
Likely to get caught wide
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Hitting straps. A vastly improved performance when the Proisir 3year-old ran into the minors at Wyong second-up. Fitter now and right in the mix again.

ILB

Produced an eye catching run when 2nd last run at Wyong and displaying improvement over the past few runs.

RSIS

Good effort to place 2nd beaten by 2L last start at Wyong and displaying improvement over the past few runs.

10Miss Black BettyScratched5––––

Career

5: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Doomben
1: 0-0-0
Track Rosehill
1: 0-0-0
Track Wyong
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1625m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

6Wyong1625m29 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD44.4L
9Randwick1400m17 Oct 2026 · 3yo · SOFT53.37L
6Rosehill1400m30 Sept 2026 · 3yo · GOOD42.41L
8Rosehill1030m8 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)8.1L
7Doomben1350m23 May 2026 · 2yo · GOOD46.8L
5Rosehill1030m11 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.6L
8Randwick Kensington1100m27 Apr 2026 · 2Y MDN · GOOD47.2L
3Rosehill900m17 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)2.2L

Insights

Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 6% POT in L100 Runners
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Went home just tamely at Wyong at $14. Place preferred option.

ILB

Started $14.00 and ran 6th last start at Wyong. James Mcdonald is a pivotal booking.

Not disgraced when sixth of 12 over 1m at Wyong (maiden) 15 days ago; James McDonald a noteworthy booking; others appeal more.

RSIS

Was 13/1 and finished 6th last run at Wyong. Good to see jockey James Mcdonald is jumping on.

11Snitzel's GirlJ: James Mc Donald·T: C J Waller855.5kg3 4 4 2 55: 0-1-1$3.50$1.85

Career

5: 0-1-1

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed80%
Rating100%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Rosehill
2: 0-1-0
Track Canterbury
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1250m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
3: 0-1-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
2: 0-1-0

Last starts

5Warwick Farm1400m28 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT52.45L
2Rosehill1400m14 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT61.21L
4Rosehill1400m30 Sept 2026 · 3yo · GOOD40.79L
4Canterbury1100m16 Sept 2026 · 3yo · GOOD43.34L
3Rosehill1030m8 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.8L
7Randwick742m28 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)4.4L
3Randwick Kensington1250m1 July 2026 · 2YF MDN-SW · HEAVY80.8L
7Rosehill900m19 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)3.2L

Insights

Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 6% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 75%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Racing consistently. Good effort here two back over 1400m then ran on okay without troubling at Warwick Farm. This looks a nice race for this well bred filly.

ILB

Was $4.40 and got going late when 5th last start at Warwick Farm. Interesting to see the blinkers go off for the first time. Jockey James Mcdonald is highly regarded. Should go well.

Improved form the last twice; not far behind Ligularia when fifth over 7f at Warwick Farm (maiden) last month.

RSIS

Started at 10/3 and passed some rivals in the late stages when 5th last start at Warwick Farm. Interesting gear change of blinkers off first time. Should go well.

Odds correct as at Fri 13 Nov, 7:00 pm AEDT. Odds can change.

Past meetings

Wed 16 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races