Canterbury (NSW) horses tips & previews

15 Nov, 2:45 am AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Canterbury (NSW), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Fri 13 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Fri, 13 NovCanterbury (NSW)Change

Race 4 — Char'd Charcoal Chicken (Bm72) 1900m · jumps Fri 13 Nov, 7:30 pm AEDT

Race preview

Canterbury sets the scene for this 1900m Benchmark 72 contest under a good four surface and overcast skies, jumping at 7:30 pm AEDT. The win market lines up with Koolibah sitting right at the top of the order, closely followed by Bearings, Cosmic Lad, Malbork Castle, and My Cartouche rounding out the main chances in a competitive field.

Koolibah brings strong stable backing from C J Waller and gets the services of James McDonald, coming off a solid third over 2000m at Randwick where it produced the fastest overall finishing sectionals last start. Meanwhile, Cosmic Lad drops back into an easier class after racing in the back half and never looking likely at Randwick last time out, though Mitchell Beer and George Carpenter's runner draws barrier one with Tommy Berry steering.

Further down the order, Bearings lines up from barrier three for J G Sargent and Siena Grima, carrying 55.5kg after closing with raking strides for a narrow second at Hawkesbury over 1800m. With My Cartouche expected to control the early tempo from the inside as the lone leader, the race shapes as a fascinating tactical battle where the value sits with the runners timing their runs from midfield.

Race notes

5UP BM72 HCP,5Y+ BM72,5yo+,Benchmark 72
GOOD4
Overcast
5 runners

Shortest win price

Koolibah (3)

1.45

Most career wins

Cosmic Lad

5-3-1 from 30 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

5Bearings

Offmidfield

3Koolibah

Midfield

1Cosmic Lad

Offpace

4Malbork Castle

Leader

7My Cartouche

Cosmic Lad · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 30% better than Career Avg.
Koolibah · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Malbork Castle · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 10% better than Career Avg.
Bearings · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Cosmic LadJ: Tommy Berry·T: Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter160.5kg1 10 1 11 930: 5-3-1$6.00$1.95

Career

30: 5-3-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating80%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
5: 1-0-0
Second-up
4: 0-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-1-0
Track Canterbury
2: 0-0-1
Track Newcastle
6: 2-0-0
Track Wyong
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1400m
5: 0-1-0
Distance 1600m
9: 0-1-0
Distance 1850m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
20: 4-3-0
Going Soft
10: 1-0-1

Last starts

9Randwick1500m3 Nov 2026 · 5UP BM88 HCP · GOOD47.47L
11Rosehill1400m10 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM72 HCP · GOOD45.66L
1Nowra900m20 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-0.5
10Wagga2000m1 May 2026 · LISTED HCP · GOOD46.1L
1Wagga1800m19 Apr 2026 · MURRUMCUP BM86 · GOOD4-0.2
1Newcastle1850m31 Mar 2026 · BM64 · GOOD4-1.6
4Kembla Grange1600m13 Mar 2026 · Benchmark 64 · SOFT60.4L
6Kembla Grange1600m7 Feb 2026 · BM64 HCP · SOFT53.8L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 30% better than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Positive
Tommy Berry 32% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 66%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Raced in back half and never likely at Randwick when second-up. Back in easier class and looking for a bounce back here.

ILB

Didn't attack the line when 9th last time at Randwick. Overlooking the last run and matched against lesser competition. Going back up in distance. Drawn the rails. Will be there at the business end.

Held in ninth at Randwick over 7½f (handicap) last Tuesday; this is his grade; has wins in his back catalogue so has claims.

RSIS

Faded to finish 9th last start at Randwick. Is capable of a resurgence and taking on a lower class of opponents. Returning to a longer distance. Should give plenty of sight.

2Valorous PowerScratched2––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed100%
Rating80%
Closing Speed80%

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 23% in Last 100 Rides
Jockey Booking
Positive
Dylan Gibbons 39% above market expected in L100 Rides
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 32%
Hot Jockey
Positive
Dylan Gibbons in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 39%
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 9%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start

Comments

AAP

Lightly raced 5yo who kept on for the minor spoils in skinny line-up at Scone off spell. Better conditioned and well drawn. Warrants attention.

ILB

Made considerable ground when 2nd beaten by 1 1/4L last time at Scone and will try to take advantage of the alley.

RSIS

Finished well when 2nd beaten by 1 1/4L last run at Scone and has a positive stall.

3KoolibahJ: James Mc Donald·T: C J Waller558kg5 5 2 7 38: 2-2-1$1.45$1.04

Career

8: 2-2-1

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
2: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Randwick
1: 0-0-1
Track Gosford
1: 0-0-0
Track Randwick Kensington
2: 0-2-0
Distance 2070m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 2100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
7: 1-2-1
Going Soft
1: 1-0-0

Last starts

3Randwick2000m31 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM78 HCP · GOOD42.13L
7Rosehill1030m19 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)8L
2Randwick Kensington1550m9 Sept 2026 · 5UP BM72 HCP · GOOD41.2L
5Warwick Farm1200m3 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)11L
5Warwick Farm819m18 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)4.1L
6Gosford2100m9 May 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.9L
2Randwick Kensington1800m27 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.3L
1Rosehill2000m6 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT6-2.8

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Jockey Booking
Negative
James Mc Donald current POT is 8% below Career Avg.
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 6% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 23%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Up In Weight
Negative
Goes up 6kg weight here

Comments

AAP

Genuine performer with a good record. Good effort here two back over 1550m. Honest performance without menacing winner at Randwick second-up. McDonald takes over and profiles strongly.

ILB

Was amongst the placegetters when 3rd last time at Randwick and has been racing in stronger company. Should get going late. James Mcdonald rates highly but goes up in weight. Will go close.

Normally pretty consistent; solid run when third (Randwick) two weeks ago upped to 1m2f; James McDonald a noteworthy booking; can have a big say if recapturing winning form.

RSIS

Finished with intent when 3rd beaten by 2L last start at Randwick and will find this grade easier. Will be hitting the line strongly. Worth a lot of thought in this race.

4Malbork CastleJ: Nash Rawiller·T: Richard Litt458kg6 8 2 1 1022: 3-5-3$8.50$2.50

Career

22: 3-5-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed100%
Rating80%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
5: 0-1-1
Second-up
4: 0-1-0
Third-up
4: 0-2-1
Fourth-up
4: 2-1-0
Track Kembla Grange
4: 0-1-1
Track Rosehill
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
5: 0-0-1
Distance 1500m
3: 0-2-0
Distance 1550m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
3: 0-2-1
Going Good
13: 2-0-2
Going Heavy
2: 0-1-1
Going Soft
7: 1-4-0

Last starts

10Randwick1800m3 Nov 2026 · 3UP MIDWAY BM72 HCP · GOOD46.81L
1Hawkesbury1800m27 Oct 2026 · 3UP MID BM64 HCP · GOOD4-0.7
2Hawkesbury1500m15 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT70.17L
8Warwick Farm1400m5 Oct 2026 · 5UP BM72 HCP · SOFT64.42L
6Newcastle1250m19 Sept 2026 · BM64 · GOOD42.1L
9Warwick Farm795m3 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)4.7L
9Warwick Farm819m18 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)9.2L
6Kembla Grange2400m28 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.8L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 10% better than Career Avg.
Key Rider
Positive
Nash Rawiller 26% above market expected in L100 Rides
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 22% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 23%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here

Comments

AAP

Shouldered 60.5kg to victory at Hawkesbury. Settled back and didn't figure in the 3yo+ Midway (Bm72) at Randwick. Look for a better showing.

ILB

Was $11.00 and weakened under pressure when 10th last start at Randwick. Has the talent to rebound quickly. Well respected contender.

Last of ten over 1m1f at Randwick (handicap) last Tuesday; successful in a handicap two weeks ago and he's an attractive contender.

RSIS

Odds of 10/1 and weakened to finish 10th last run at Randwick. Should improve from the last run. Winning chance.

5BearingsJ: Siena Grima·T: J G Sargent355.5kg5 9 6 8 215: 3-2-1$7.00$2.25

Career

15: 3-2-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
5: 1-1-0
Second-up
4: 1-1-0
Third-up
3: 1-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Hawkesbury
1: 0-1-0
Track Kembla Grange
1: 0-0-0
Track Newcastle
3: 1-0-1
Distance 2500m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
9: 0-2-1
Going Heavy
2: 1-0-0
Going Soft
4: 2-0-0

Last starts

2Hawkesbury1800m27 Oct 2026 · 3UP MID BM64 HCP · GOOD40.7L
8Newcastle1500m6 Oct 2026 · 5UP BM64 HCP · GOOD48.3L
6Randwick1200m25 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)8.9L
9Randwick1050m11 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)11.7L
5Randwick1200m30 Dec 2025 · Barrier Trial4.9L
6Warwick Farm2200m17 Dec 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD43.7L
1Canberra2000m5 Dec 2025 · BM65 · SOFT5-1.6
4Wyong1600m16 Nov 2025 · BM64 · GOOD43L

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 40%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 23%
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Out the back, closed with raking strides in the 3yo+ Midway (Bm64) at Hawkesbury second-up. Could again get into the placings.

ILB

Produced an eye catching run when 2nd last time at Hawkesbury but facing stiffer opposition. Suited by the weight drop. Good chance of taking this out.

Beaten three-quarters of a length over 1m1f at Hawkesbury (handicap) behind Malbork Castle last month; in with a shout.

RSIS

Was strong late when 2nd last start at Hawkesbury but challenged by more formidable competitors. Gets a reduction in weight. Good chance of taking this out.

6Ring AhoyScratched4––––

Career

70: 5-9-8

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating40%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
6: 0-0-1
Second-up
5: 0-1-0
Third-up
5: 0-0-2
Fourth-up
5: 0-1-1
Track Armidale
3: 1-0-0
Track Quirindi
3: 0-1-0
Track Dubbo
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
8: 0-1-1
Distance 1450m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
42: 4-6-5
Going Heavy
5: 0-0-1
Going Soft
23: 1-3-2

Last starts

2Newcastle1900m31 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.01L
7Muswellbrook1500m19 Oct 2026 · Benchmark 66 · GOOD44.81L
6Newcastle1500m6 Oct 2026 · 5UP BM64 HCP · GOOD45.91L
7Scone1400m25 Sept 2026 · BM74 · GOOD49.89L
4Tamworth2100m17 July 2026 · BM66 · GOOD41.7L
2Grafton2230m5 July 2026 · 3UP QLTY · SOFT50.2L
6Tamworth1600m26 June 2026 · BM82 · SOFT54.4L
1Grafton2245m6 June 2026 · BM74 (71) · SOFT6-1

Insights

Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Ready To Strike
Positive
Can be rewarded for recent consistent form

Comments

AAP

Narrowly beaten in the small field at Newcastle over this trip. Usually gets back. Looks up against it in town.

ILB

Close to a win last start at Newcastle but challenged by a tougher grade. Likely to get back in the run.

Went close when runner-up 13 days ago (Newcastle) upped to this trip; has winning form at this track.

RSIS

Just short of the win last time at Newcastle but up in grade. Expected to settle towards the tail.

7My CartoucheJ: Winona Costin·T: Craig Carmody254kg3 4 2 1 823: 1-1-3$16.00$3.50

Career

23: 1-1-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
4: 0-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Randwick
1: 0-0-0
Track Randwick Kensington
1: 0-1-0
Track Goulburn
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1800m
4: 1-1-0
Distance 1400m
4: 0-0-0
Going Good
16: 1-1-2
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
6: 0-0-1

Last starts

8Hawkesbury1800m27 Oct 2026 · 3UP MID BM64 HCP · GOOD46.36L
1Hawkesbury1800m8 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-0.32
2Randwick Kensington1800m9 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.1L
4Kembla Grange1600m15 Aug 2026 · Maiden · GOOD41.3L
3Wyong1600m23 July 2026 · MDN · SOFT71.2L
5Goulburn1600m3 July 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT77.5L
6Newcastle1400m6 June 2026 · F&M MDN-SW · SOFT53.9L
5Newcastle1890m14 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD43L

Insights

Hot Trainer
Positive
Craig Carmody in good form, out performing market 59%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 42% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 20%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Sent out $8.50 when never got into the race at Hawkesbury. Rough place prospect only.

ILB

At $8.50 struggled with the pace when 8th last start at Hawkesbury but has a good draw. Should be going forward early. Up against a more competitive field. Hard to recommend with any confidence.

Seems to be improving based on last two runs; held in eighth over 1m1f at Hawkesbury (handicap), finishing well behind reopposing Malbork Castle two weeks ago; facing a testing assignment and others have more pressing claims.

RSIS

Odds of 15/2 and looked outclassed when 8th last run at Hawkesbury but drawn nicely. Has good tactical pace and will be nicely positioned. Facing stiffer opposition.

8Flaming MoonScratched7––––

Career

11: 2-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed80%
Rating20%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
3: 1-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Orange
1: 1-0-0
Track Hawkesbury
4: 0-0-0
Track Kembla Grange
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2200m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 2500m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
3: 1-0-0
Going Good
7: 1-0-1
Going Soft
4: 1-0-0

Last starts

7Hawkesbury1400m27 Oct 2026 · 3UP F&M BM64 HCP · GOOD47.06L
4Hawkesbury1250m20 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)9.7L
6Hawkesbury1000m29 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)9.8L
11Pakenham2500m19 Mar 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · SOFT514.9L
8Pakenham2000m19 Feb 2026 · 0 - 62 · GOOD44.1L
3Scone2200m29 Jan 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · GOOD410.6L
1Orange2100m6 Jan 2026 · BM58 · GOOD4-2.2
7Hawkesbury1800m27 Nov 2025 · 3UP BM64 HCP · GOOD46.6L

Insights

Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 7%
Hot Jockey
Positive
Mollie Fitzgerald in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 47%

Comments

AAP

Unable to make an impression at Hawkesbury after lengthy absence. New to Canterbury. Others more persuasive.

ILB

Looked outclassed when 7th last run at Hawkesbury but going over more ground. Matched against a stronger field. Gets some weight relief.

Finished last of seven at Hawkesbury over 7f (handicap) last month; others more appealing as this could be a hot race.

RSIS

Was well beaten when 7th last run at Hawkesbury but going up in distance. Facing a stronger group of contenders. Gets some weight relief.

Odds correct as at Fri 13 Nov, 7:30 pm AEDT. Odds can change.

Past meetings

Wed 16 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races