Shortest win price
Hezdarnhottoo (1)
1.95
Welcome to Canterbury for race six on the card, featuring the Kerbside Benchmark 78 handicap over the 1100m trip on a good four surface under overcast skies, with the action jumping at 8:30 pm AEDT. The win market order sees Hezdarnhottoo headlining calculations as the shortest runner, closely followed by Royal Commodore, Just Awesome, and Power Of The Brave rounding out the leading market electives in what shapes as a fascinating tactical battle across the sprint distance.
The form behind the market leaders brings plenty of intrigue into how this race will unfold. Hezdarnhottoo lines up fresh for Bjorn Baker from barrier three with Tommy Berry steering, holding a fifteen-start record of three wins and six minors, and brings a encouraging trial placing at Rosehill ahead of this twenty-week resumption. Meanwhile, Royal Commodore jumps from barrier one for M J Dunn with Nash Rawiller aboard, arriving third-up after making up ground with conviction from the back half at Eagle Farm last time out, suggesting the rise in fitness and a kinder gate will put this runner right in the mix.
Looking further down the speed maps and remaining contenders, Just Awesome handles things from barrier four as a noted leader with a high cruising speed for Blake Ryan and Leeshelle Small, coming off dominant small-field wins at Newcastle over 900m. The speed map also shows Boom Break matching motors up front, while Action King brings a fast finishing sectional profile from the back half of the field, meaning the value sits with how the early tempo shakes out under the lights.
Shortest win price
Hezdarnhottoo (1)
1.95
Most career wins
Power Of The Brave and Dis Is Heaven
7 each
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offmidfield
Midfield
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
Hezdarnhottoo · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 30% better than Career Avg.
Power Of The Brave · Negative
Trainer Career
Trainer Career S/R is 9%
Royal Commodore · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 10% better than Career Avg.
Just Awesome · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 176%
Career
15: 3-3-3
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
4: 1-1-2
Second-up
2: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Randwick
6: 1-1-1
Track Caulfield
1: 1-0-0
Track Flemington
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
8: 2-1-1
Distance 1150m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
9: 2-1-2
Going Heavy
2: 1-0-0
Going Soft
4: 0-2-1
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 30% better than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Positive
Tommy Berry 32% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -29% POT in their L100 Races
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
AAP
First-up (20-weeks). In the minors at Rosehill first-up last campaign while warmed up with an impressive trial. Posted some decent results this class and distance last campaign. Key player fresh.
ILB
First up after 20 weeks and displayed a strong effort throughout the race when 3rd first up last preparation at Rosehill. Tommy Berry is a key booking. Will go very close.
RP
He meets the required standard ability wise; not beaten too far when tenth of 14 over 7f at Randwick (handicap) five months ago; returns from a break here; Tommy Berry will be looking to further their good record; is a player with a bit more luck as excuses last time (hampered) and shown he can get his head in front.
RSIS
Resuming and was quite a handful for the competition when 3rd resuming last preparation at Rosehill. Likely to be well placed early. Good to see Tommy Berry is jumping on. Will go close.
Career
36: 7-6-4
Rating · IRD
86
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
6: 2-0-1
Second-up
5: 0-0-1
Third-up
5: 0-2-2
Fourth-up
3: 1-1-0
Track Hawkesbury
1: 0-0-1
Track Kembla Grange
1: 0-0-1
Track Rosehill
1: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
2: 2-0-0
Distance 955m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
11: 3-4-0
Going Good
20: 5-1-3
Going Heavy
4: 0-0-1
Going Soft
12: 2-5-0
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 9%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 41%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 56%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Weight Increase
Negative
Rises 9.5kg now
AAP
Not beaten far here two back over 1000m. Got back and only battled to wire at Doomben last outing. Hard fit, can challenge at this level.
ILB
Started at $15.00 and finished 7th last run at Doomben but will find this grade easier. William A Stanley is a suitable booking but goes up in weight. Strong prospects.
RP
Not disgraced when seventh at Doomben last month; a few rivals look in good form so only limited appeal.
RSIS
Started at 14/1 and came in 7th last start at Doomben but has been racing in stronger company. William A Stanley is a plus but going up in weight. Has a good chance.
Career
13: 5-2-1
Rating · IRD
85
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
4: 2-1-0
Second-up
3: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Sunshine Coast
1: 1-0-0
Track Wyong
1: 1-0-0
Track Randwick
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
7: 3-2-1
Distance 1048m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
6: 1-1-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
6: 4-1-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 10% better than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Positive
Nash Rawiller 26% above market expected in L100 Rides
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Weight Increase
Negative
Rises 5kg now
AAP
Ran on with some conviction from back half at Eagle Farm when under sustained support when second-up. Ready to peak third-up. Jumps from better barrier. Right in the mix.
ILB
Started $7.00 and faded away to finish 7th last run at Eagle Farm on a heavy surface but has drawn to do little work. Keep safe.
RP
Career wins-runs record of 5-13; finished seventh last month albeit only beaten 2l at Eagle Farm over 5f (handicap); goes on the shortlist.
RSIS
Odds of 6/1 and weakened under pressure when 7th last run at Eagle Farm on a heavy surface but can save some energy from the draw. Watch the betting.
Career
9: 4-0-1
Rating · IRD
81
Speed map
Leader
First-up
3: 1-0-1
Second-up
2: 1-0-0
Third-up
2: 2-0-0
Track Hawkesbury
1: 0-0-0
Track Kembla Grange
1: 1-0-0
Track Rosehill
1: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
2: 2-0-0
Distance 1000m
3: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
4: 1-0-1
Going Good
6: 3-0-1
Going Soft
3: 1-0-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 176%
Hot Trainer
Positive
Blake Ryan in good form, out performing market 30%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 13% POT in L100 Runners
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Consecutive Wins
Positive
Has strung together a few races in a row
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Good Form
Positive
Very competitive in recent runs
AAP
Fresh. Smart sprinter with a high cruising speed. All honours in the small field at Newcastle. Rates highly.
ILB
Gave them all something to chase when winning by a margin of 2L last start at Newcastle but competing in a higher grade. Watch for a sign in the market.
RP
Came out on top by 2l over 4½f at Newcastle (handicap) five weeks ago; out to complete a hat-trick; a major contender.
RSIS
Led and controlled the pace when winning by a margin of 2L last start at Newcastle but up against a more competitive field. Undefeated last 2 runs.
Career
26: 6-6-3
Rating · IRD
96
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
5: 1-1-1
Second-up
4: 1-1-1
Third-up
4: 1-1-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-1-1
Track Wagga
1: 1-0-0
Track Canberra
4: 2-0-1
Track Doomben
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
16: 4-4-3
Distance 1050m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
18: 5-5-1
Going Soft
8: 1-1-2
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 19% better than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Positive
Damon Budler 45% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot Jockey
Positive
Damon Budler in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 45%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 56%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
AAP
Pure speed merchant. Produced best late from the back half to win in Open company at Canberra. Has claims for a repeat.
ILB
Displayed a good turn of foot when winning last time at Canberra and form has been improving over recent runs. Racing consistently this preparation. Should give this a shake.
RP
Has achieved six wins from 26 career runs; came out on top by 1½l over 5f at Canberra (handicap) last month; despite that Canberra success, others more persuasive; also engaged in race 7 at Gundagai.
RSIS
Was eating up the ground late when winning last start at Canberra and demonstrating upward trajectory in recent races. Should put in a decent effort.
Career
11: 4-0-0
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 1-0-0
Third-up
2: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
3: 1-0-0
Track Warwick Farm
2: 0-0-0
Track Wyong
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1000m
5: 3-0-0
Distance 1100m
5: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
8: 2-0-0
Going Soft
3: 2-0-0
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 19% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 8%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature
AAP
Fresh. Sent out $31 when unable to threaten at Port Macquarie. Rough exotics hope.
ILB
Couldn't maintain the pace when 11th last start at Port Macquarie but up against a less competitive field. Tom Sherry takes the reins today.
RP
Has winning form over this course and distance on the CV; last of 11 at Port Macquarie over 6f (handicap) last month; likely to be involved if in the same mood as when achieving most recent success.
RSIS
Couldn't stay in touch when 11th last time at Port Macquarie but challenged by less formidable competitors. Tom Sherry is a bonus.
Career
22: 2-3-5
Rating · IRD
76
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
4: 0-2-1
Second-up
3: 0-0-1
Third-up
3: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-1-0
Track Hawkesbury
5: 0-2-0
Track Kembla Grange
5: 0-0-2
Track Newcastle
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
5: 0-0-3
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
2: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
3: 1-0-2
Going Soft
10: 1-1-1
Going Good
9: 0-2-2
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 7%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 27%
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 68%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Awkward Draw
Negative
Would have liked a better draw
Fresh
Positive
Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Let-up (42-days). Ex Ross McConville in NSW. Finished it off only fairly at Moruya. Happy to watch.
ILB
Freshened up. At $5.00 weakened under pressure when 6th last time at Moruya. First start for a new trainer. Others are more appealing.
RP
Has winning form over this course and distance on the CV; fair effort over 5f at Moruya (handicap) 42 days ago; representing new yard today; this is competitive and others make more appeal.
RSIS
Back from a freshen up. Started 4/1 and looked outclassed when 6th last start at Moruya. First start for a new trainer.
Career
41: 7-6-8
Rating · IRD
75
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
5: 0-0-4
Second-up
4: 0-1-1
Third-up
4: 2-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-2-0
Track Eagle Farm
1: 0-0-0
Track Port Macquarie
7: 2-1-1
Track Gosford
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1005m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1008m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1010m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
28: 4-4-5
Going Heavy
6: 2-1-0
Going Soft
7: 1-1-3
Trainer SR
Negative
Colt Prosser striking at just 8%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -40% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 26%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 45% Profit on Turnover
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Improved L/S
Positive
Improved again last start
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 38 days
AAP
Freshened. Solid showing here two back over 1000m. Fair way from the winner but battled home into third at Newcastle second-up. Trifecta hope.
ILB
Ran home into 3rd beaten by 4 3/4L last run at Newcastle and gets a favourable alley. Has not missed the money this campaign in 2 attempts. Could not recommend.
RP
Fair effort when beaten just under 5l, finishing third of five over 4½f at Newcastle (handicap) 38 days ago; hard enough to fancy.
RSIS
Finished well when 3rd beaten by 4 3/4L last run at Newcastle and gets a favourable stall. Has run into the money at every start recently but facing formidable competition.
Rating · IRD
20
AAP
Long winless run. No match but kept on for a distant third in the 3yo+ (Bm64) at Kembla Grange for new trainer. Others rate stronger.
ILB
Was quite a handful for the competition when 3rd last time at Kembla Grange but up against a more competitive field. Gets some weight relief.
RSIS
Honest run on the pace before fading to finish 3rd beaten by more than 4 1/2L last start at Kembla Grange but up against tougher competition.
Career
10: 2-1-3
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Beaudesert
1: 0-0-0
Track Doomben
2: 0-0-0
Track Gold Coast
2: 0-0-2
Distance 1050m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 1-1-0
Distance 1200m
3: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-2
Going Good
6: 2-1-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-1
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 6%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -34% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 30%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Resuming (25-weeks). Third outing for new trainer/ this region. In the minors at Ipswich first-up last campaign. Placed Illawarra Grange trial but this is no soft return.
ILB
Back from spell. Stormed home to win last run at Inverell but rising in grade. Should jump out and bowl along. Goes down in weight. Very unlikely.
RP
Scored by a slim margin in a handicap at Inverell six months ago; has had some time off; despite that Inverell success, looks risky.
RSIS
Resuming after a break. Finished with purpose when winning last start at Inverell but matched against tougher rivals. Should come to hand quickly. Will appreciate the drop in weight.