Shortest win price
Monte Veebee (6)
1.40
Welcome to Canterbury for the Kia Evening Star, a Benchmark 72 contest over 1250 metres on a Good 4 track under an overcast sky, with the action set to jump at 9:00 pm AEDT. Looking at the early win market order, Monte Veebee sits at the head of affairs, closely followed by Shelstein, Against The Law, and Easiest Choice rounding out the leading quartet in betting. The race shapes as a fascinating tactical puzzle with distinct speed influences engaged across the map.
The form behind the market leaders brings plenty of intrigue to the table. Monte Veebee comes out of a fifth at Randwick over 1100 metres and a fourth at Rosehill prior, holding tidy statistics for this course and rating strongly. Shelstein resumes following a 48-day let-up after a fair sixth at Toowoomba, though prior solid Brisbane form keeps him firmly in calculations, especially with Nash Rawiller taking the mount from barrier six. Easiest Choice is another interesting runner resuming here for Matthew Dale after changing stables, having previously won first-up at Newcastle last preparation, and Tommy Berry takes the steer from a deep gate.
Further down the order, runners like Against The Law bring intriguing closing sectionals from Kembla Grange, though others hold stronger overall claims on paper. Monte Veebee and Easiest Choice map to roll forward from their respective barriers as leaders, while runners like Shelstein and Zoucratic look to find positions off the pace. The value sits with identifying how the tempo unfolds early, and while the market has gravitated towards Monte Veebee, punters hunting for overs might find the bold play lies in assessing how these resuming runners handle the Canterbury surface.
Shortest win price
Monte Veebee (6)
1.40
Most career wins
Earl Of Bantry
6-2-1 from 20 starts
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offmidfield
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
Shelstein · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 10% in Last 100 Rides
Earl Of Bantry · Negative
Trainer Career
Trainer Career S/R is 9%
Monte Veebee · Negative
Current SR
Rider’s recent POT is returning 8% lower than Career Avg.
Against The Law · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Career
23: 4-4-7
Rating · IRD
91
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
4: 2-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-1-1
Third-up
3: 1-0-1
Fourth-up
3: 1-1-1
Track Goulburn
1: 0-0-1
Track Ipswich
1: 1-0-0
Track Kembla Grange
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1250m
3: 0-1-0
Distance 1300m
3: 0-1-1
Distance 1350m
2: 0-1-1
Going Good
17: 3-4-5
Going Soft
6: 1-0-2
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 10% in Last 100 Rides
Key Rider
Positive
Nash Rawiller 26% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -46% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 56%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Fresh
Positive
Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Let-up (48-days). Performance just fair at Toowoomba at $9. Form solid prior in Brisbane. Keep safe.
ILB
Back from a let up. Jumped at $9.00 and ran 6th last run at Toowoomba. Should improve here and has been racing in stronger company. Serious contender.
RP
Finished sixth but wasn't beaten too far (3½l, Toowoomba) 48 days ago; may have to settle for supporting role.
RSIS
Freshened up. Started 8/1 and ran 6th last time at Toowoomba. Looking for an improved run and up against weaker rivals. Performing impressively in recent runs. Should go close.
Rating · IRD
20
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
AAP
Let-up (72-days). Closed strongly from inside midfield to prevail in final bounds at Warwick Farm. Since trialled at Rosehill 4 Nov. Worth a look fresh.
ILB
Resuming after a spell. Finished with purpose when winning last start at Warwick Farm.
RSIS
Fresh after a break. Charged home to win last time at Warwick Farm.
Career
20: 6-2-1
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
4: 2-0-0
Second-up
3: 1-0-1
Third-up
3: 1-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Geelong
1: 0-0-0
Track Muswellbrook
1: 1-0-0
Track Toowoomba
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1430m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1700m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
7: 2-0-0
Going Good
17: 5-2-1
Going Soft
3: 1-0-0
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 9%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 29%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
1st Up S/R
Positive
Has won 2 from 4 when resuming
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
First-up (33-weeks). Saluted at Mudgee first-up last prep while building fitness through 3 trials. Leads, handy and takes a 3kg claim. Betting.
ILB
First up and ran well when 2nd first up last preparation at Toowoomba. Displays good tactical speed. Ran 2nd in a barrier trial at Gosford on Oct 28th. Could feature here.
RP
Beaten a fair way when fourth over 7f at Gold Coast (handicap) in March; has achieved six wins from 20 career runs; returning from a layoff here; goes well fresh and has claims.
RSIS
Resuming and ran well when 2nd resuming last preparation at Toowoomba. Should muster plenty of early toe. Finished 2nd in a trial at Gosford on Oct 28th. Large claim helps. Watch betting.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Backmarker
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Made late rally from the back at Randwick. First time around Canterbury but stats read well at the trip and has a lovely draw. Each way.
ILB
Finished 6th last start at Randwick but matched against less formidable competition.
RSIS
Finished 6th last run at Randwick but matched against a less competitive field.
Career
31: 7-4-2
Rating · IRD
83
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
5: 2-1-0
Second-up
4: 1-0-1
Third-up
4: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
3: 1-0-0
Track Parkes
1: 0-0-0
Track Canberra
8: 1-3-0
Track Canterbury
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
15: 4-2-2
Distance 1206m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
21: 6-4-1
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
6: 0-0-1
Trainer SR
Negative
Todd Smart striking at just 7%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -50% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 43%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 50% Profit on Turnover
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Did the donkey work then dropped anchor at Randwick. On pacer. Very fit, can make his presence felt.
ILB
Odds of $17.00 and couldn't stay in touch when 9th last time at Randwick but goes down in class. Likely to be well placed early.
RP
Beaten 7l in ninth at Randwick last month; record shows he knows where the winning post is (wins-runs career record of 7-31); could be hard to beat; also engaged in race 8 at Gundagai.
RSIS
At 16/1 folded up in the straight when 9th last start at Randwick but taking on a lower class of opponents. Expecting to settle positively.
Career
18: 2-8-2
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Leader
First-up
5: 1-3-0
Second-up
4: 0-2-1
Third-up
4: 1-0-1
Fourth-up
3: 0-1-0
Track Hawkesbury
1: 0-1-0
Track Rosehill
4: 0-0-1
Track Canterbury
2: 0-2-0
Distance 1400m
7: 1-3-0
Distance 1550m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
7: 1-4-0
Going Good
11: 1-4-2
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 8% lower than Career Avg.
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 7%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 27%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
AAP
Okay at latest when settled back. Stats are tidy this course. Right in this.
ILB
At $12.00 got going late when 5th last time at Randwick and challenged by less formidable competitors. Expecting to settle positively. James Mcdonald is an advantage. Rising in weight. Should give plenty of sight.
RP
Solid effort at Randwick over 5½f (handicap) last month; booking of James McDonald takes the eye; not been able to get his head in front lately so may be vulnerable.
RSIS
Started 11/1 and made ground when closing off to finish 5th last start at Randwick and competing in a less challenging grade. Should race on the pace. Worth a lot of thought in this race.
Career
18: 2-2-3
Rating · IRD
76
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
5: 1-1-1
Second-up
3: 1-0-1
Third-up
3: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Randwick
5: 0-0-0
Track Gosford
1: 0-0-1
Track Hawkesbury
3: 1-1-0
Distance 1000m
6: 1-1-1
Distance 1100m
9: 1-1-2
Distance 1200m
3: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
4: 0-2-0
Going Soft
4: 0-0-0
Going Good
10: 2-0-3
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 24% better than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Positive
Dylan Gibbons 39% above market expected in L100 Rides
Key Jockey
Positive
Dylan Gibbons winning at 20% POT in last 100 rides
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 75%
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Weight Drop
Positive
Drops 4kg from LS run
AAP
Long time since last saluted. Winner too strong but ran on for the minors at Kembla Grange for new trainer. Others rate stronger.
ILB
Even though fading at the finish still placed 3rd beaten by more than 4 1/2L last run at Kembla Grange and will appreciate the drop in weight. Outside chance.
RP
Finished third of ten over 5f at Kembla Grange (handicap) 20 days ago on debut for this trainer.
RSIS
Showed strength on the pace initially before fading at the end 3rd beaten by more than 4 1/2L last start at Kembla Grange.
Career
17: 4-0-4
Rating · IRD
85
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 1-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Kembla Grange
3: 0-0-1
Track Muswellbrook
2: 1-0-0
Track Quirindi
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
6: 0-0-1
Distance 1250m
3: 1-0-2
Distance 1280m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
6: 1-0-1
Going Soft
11: 3-0-3
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 99%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Consecutive Wins
Positive
Has strung together a few races in a row
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Consistent
Positive
Showing up at the business end
AAP
Freshened. Racing in top order. Ran home nicely to win in soft going after settling handy at Taree. Clearly harder now but warrants attention.
ILB
Was eating up the ground late to win last start at Taree. Undefeated last 2 starts. Can win this.
RP
On a hat-trick after last win and career record shows his ability to win (wins-runs record of 4-17); won by just under 2l (Taree) last month; can't be ruled out.
RSIS
Rounded them up to win last time at Taree. Keeping a perfect win record the last 2 attempts. Win will not surprise.
Career
6: 2-0-2
Rating · IRD
75
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 1-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Kembla Grange
2: 0-0-0
Track Newcastle
2: 1-0-1
Track Wyong
2: 1-0-1
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1300m
3: 2-0-0
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
3: 1-0-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 1-0-1
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 30% better than Career Avg.
Key Rider
Positive
Tommy Berry 32% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -43% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 5% POT in L100 Runners
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
1st Up S/R
Positive
Has won 1 from 2 when resuming
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Resuming (23-weeks). Ex David Pfieffer in NSW. Won first-up at Newcastle last campaign and backed it up with consistent efforts through the prep. Deep gate but Berry rides. Check markets.
ILB
First up after 23 weeks and ran on hard when winning first up last preparation at Newcastle. Change in trainer and goes down in weight. Slim chance.
RP
Beaten 6l into fifth at Kembla Grange in June; returns from a break here; now running for a new stable; rates a likely contender with a bit more luck as excuses last time (hampered) and she knows how to win.
RSIS
Resuming and charged home to win resuming last preparation at Newcastle. Interesting to see the tongue strap go off for the first time and dropping weight.
Career
17: 3-3-5
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
3: 1-0-0
Second-up
2: 1-0-1
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Newcastle
2: 0-0-1
Track Sunshine Coast Poly Track
1: 1-0-0
Track Canberra
2: 2-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1280m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
3: 1-1-1
Going Good
4: 1-0-2
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
10: 1-3-3
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Ready To Fire
Positive
Shown something in last few runs
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Resuming (25-weeks). Ex Annabel & Rob Archibald in QLD. Given two trials and has won first-up but betting best guide off the decent lay-off.
ILB
First up and really dug deep when winning first up last preparation at Canberra. First start for a new trainer but challenged by more formidable competitors. Coming back in trip. Others preferred.
RP
Favourite but unable to make the frame when fifth over 7½f at Gold Coast (handicap) in May; back from an absence here; now running for a new stable; others more likely.
RSIS
Resuming and managed to come out on top by the slightest of margins resuming last preparation at Canberra. Coming to a new trainer but up against a more competitive field.
Career
17: 3-4-0
Rating · IRD
73
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
5: 2-1-0
Second-up
3: 1-1-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-1-0
Track Canterbury
4: 0-3-0
Track CurrentTrack
4: 0-3-0
Track Caulfield
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
5: 1-1-0
Going Soft
5: 0-1-0
Going Good
12: 3-3-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -49% POT in their L100 Races
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
AAP
First-up (20-weeks). Last win was 19 Apr 2024. Went close in Benchmark 64 company at Gosford first-up last campaign. Needs everything right.
ILB
Resumes after a spell. Started $31.00 and disappointing run when 10th last run at Randwick and will be down in distance. Yet to place in all barrier trials. Rough chance today.
RP
Beaten a fair way when tenth over 1m at Randwick (handicap) five months ago; not seen the winners' enclosure for a while now (last win in 2024); has had some time off; she can be taken on.
RSIS
Resumes after a break. Odds of 30/1 and below par when 10th last start at Randwick and dropping back to a shorter trip. Unplaced in all trials.
Career
25: 4-6-3
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
6: 1-3-0
Second-up
5: 2-0-0
Third-up
5: 1-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Canberra
1: 0-0-0
Track Rosehill
1: 0-0-0
Track Wagga
16: 1-5-2
Distance 1100m
3: 2-0-1
Distance 1175m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
8: 0-2-1
Going Good
21: 4-4-3
Going Heavy
1: 0-1-0
Going Soft
3: 0-1-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
Primed
Positive
Fitter here racing on a quick back up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Wagga mare on a short back-up. Sound but non-threatening effort at Albury. New to Canterbury and leaning towards others here.
ILB
Backing up quickly for this race. Jumped at $4.40 and passed some rivals in the late stages when 4th last start at Albury.
RP
Not disgraced when fourth of ten at Albury over 6f (handicap) last Friday; yet to taste defeat at this track, winning on two visits; passed over; also engaged in race 7 at Gundagai.
RSIS
Backs up quickly. At 10/3 inched into 4th last time at Albury and drawn nicely.