Shortest win price
La Bella Queen (2)
2.40
Doomben hosts a fascinating two-year-old handicap over 1110m on a Soft 7 track under overcast skies at 12:05 pm AEDT. The win market lines up with Miss Verstak holding sway at the head of affairs, closely followed by La Bella Queen and Better The Devil, with Velvet Hustle, Crescendoed, and Clairvue Courage making up the rest of the runners in the market order.
The bold play here is siding with La Bella Queen, who sits right at the top end of the market and brings proven race-day form to the table. Prepared by Nicholas Beck and ridden by Tiffani Brooker from barrier two, this runner scored a dominant win here over 1050m on soft ground on debut. The stable is firing, outperforming market expectations significantly, and although carrying an extra 2.5kg, that prior course and distance victory is worth its weight in gold against a bunch of unraced rivals.
For those looking at other angles, Miss Verstak commands plenty of respect coming out of the champion C J Waller stable from barrier one, boasting a strong trial and a hefty price tag as a relation to Group 1 winner Response. Meanwhile, Velvet Hustle from the K M Schweida yard cruised home untested in a local trial and lands a neat draw in barrier three, making this juvenile clash an intriguing battle between race-day experience and expensive unraced talent.
Shortest win price
La Bella Queen (2)
2.40
Most career wins
La Bella Queen
1-0-0 from 1 starts
Back left · leaders right
Firststart
Backmarker
Leader
La Bella Queen · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 70%
Better The Devil · Positive
First Starter
Not raced previously
Clairvue Courage · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 59%
Crescendoed · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Firststart
Watch Betting
Negative
If supported, follow in
AAP
Trials (1:0-1-0). $300K purchase. Well held in only trial. Champion stable, so always respect the market.
ILB
2yo by Alabama Express on debut for trainer Tony Gollan. Betting is the best guide.
RSIS
2yo by Alabama Express racing as a debutant for Tony Gollan.
Career
1: 1-0-0
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Leader
First-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Doomben
1: 1-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1050m
1: 1-0-0
Going Soft
1: 1-0-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 70%
Hot Trainer
Positive
Nicholas Beck in good form, out performing market 43%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 24% POT in L100 Runners
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Raceday Experience
Positive
Wiser for debut run
AAP
Excellent debut performance posting a dominant win in soft going this track. Up 2.5kgs but hard to toss.
ILB
Led throughout to win by a margin of 1 3/4L last time at this track and was a debutant last start. Won't be far away during the run. Very smart animal who will take all the beating.
RP
Too good for Crescendoed and Power Witness when landing handicap over 5f by just under 2l running for the first time at 4-1 two weeks ago; this just her second run in a handicap; very interesting.
RSIS
Took charge of the race when winning by 1 3/4L last run here and having second career run. Has good tactical pace and will be nicely positioned. Very hard to beat.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Firststart
Wet To Dry
Negative
Coming from a wet to dry (Heavy 8 to Good 4) track may prove difficult
AAP
Trials (1:1-0-0). Spirit of Boom gelding was very impressive in his only trial. Go with the market on this one.
ILB
Debutant 2yo by Spirit Of Boom for trainer Stephen Kirkwood. Watch for a sign in the market.
RSIS
First time at the races 2yo by Spirit Of Boom for Stephen Kirkwood.
Career
1: 0-1-0
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Sunshine Coast
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-1-0
Going Soft
1: 0-1-0
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 6%
Primed
Positive
Fitter here racing on a quick back up
AAP
Backing up quickly. Bold debut effort when just shaded at the Sunshine Coast. Better for experience but finds a harder race.
ILB
Backing up quickly for this race. Close to claiming the win last start at Sunshine Coast and having second career run.
RP
Ran well on his debut over 5f at Sunshine Coast at 9-1 on Sunday; will need to progress to get off the mark.
RSIS
On a quick back up. Competed in a tight contest last time at Sunshine Coast and was a debutant last start.
Career
1: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Doomben
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1050m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 16%
Winkers On
Positive
Important gear change of winkers on
AAP
A very soft debut performance this venue at healthy odds 31 Oct. Experience gained, but will need to improve a lot.
ILB
Struggled with the pace when 6th last time at this venue but having second race start.
RP
6l behind La Bella Queen when sixth over 5f at 28-1 two weeks ago; this just his second run in a handicap; must now step up.
RSIS
Tailed off to finish 6th last run here but was on debut last time.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Backmarker
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 16%
Raceday Experience
Positive
Wiser for debut run
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Bold debut effort when just shaded by winner at Eagle Farm when drifted in betting. Will improve on that - just has to cope with the gate.
ILB
Just missed last run at Eagle Farm and having second career run.
RSIS
Narrowly beaten last run at Eagle Farm and was on debut last time.
Rating · IRD
77
Speed map
Firststart
First Starter
Positive
Not raced previously
AAP
Trials (1:1-0-0). Filly cost $85K by prolific local sire. From the thriving Gollan stable and B Thompson a good sign. Trial solid. Respect.
ILB
2yo debutant sired by Better Than Ready for Tony Gollan. Won a barrier trial at this venue on Nov 4th. Market as guide.
RP
Yard does well here with debutants; should be thereabouts as some good aspects to her profile.
RSIS
Better Than Ready 2yo trained by Tony Gollan having first race start. Won a trial at this track on Nov 4th.
Rating · IRD
74
Speed map
Firststart
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 59%
Market Watch
Negative
Keep eye on betting moves
AAP
Trials (2:0-1-1). Has trialled well enough but the race looks deep for first outing. Follow betting leads.
ILB
2yo first starter by Dracarys for Liam Birchley. Placed in all barrier trials. Keep your eye on the market.
RP
Could well make a two-year-old on pedigree; yard's record a potential plus; trainer has had a debut winner recently; chances are that she is best watched this time unless the betting suggests otherwise.
RSIS
2yo first starter by Dracarys for trainer Liam Birchley. Placed in all trials.
Career
1: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
1: 0-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-1
Track Doomben
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1050m
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
1: 0-0-1
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Jockey Booking
Negative
Kyle Wilson-Taylor current POT is 29% below Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 14% POT in L100 Runners
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 32% in L100 rides
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
AAP
Acquitted self well with debut placing this track in soft going as an odds drifter 31 Oct. Wiser for it. Right in the mix again.
ILB
Honest race when 3rd last run at the track and having second career run. Displays good closing speed. Could feature here.
RP
Not far behind the winner, La Bella Queen, (5f, here) at 14-1 last month; unexposed in handicaps with this her second start in this company; could improve but still hard to see her winning here.
RSIS
Did well when 3rd last time here and having second race start. Finishes off strongly. Can't leave out of your calculations.
Rating · IRD
75
Speed map
Firststart
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 14% in Last 100 Rides
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 8% POT in L100 Runners
Key Jockey
Positive
Andrew Mallyon winning at 7% POT in last 100 rides
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Market Watch
Negative
Keep eye on betting moves
AAP
Trials (1:1-0-0). Cost $300K, and is related to G1 winner Response. Strong trial. Champion stable. Well drawn. Must consider.
ILB
Christian Frederick Waller trained 2yo by Bivouac having first race appearance and has a nice advantage with a good draw. Watch the market.
RP
Trainer can prepare one to win first time out; having her first start in public; should go close with signs of encouragement in profile.
RSIS
2yo by Bivouac having first start for trainer Christian Frederick Waller and has a nice advantage with a good draw.
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Firststart
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -36% POT in their L100 Races
Market Watch
Negative
Keep eye on betting moves
AAP
Trials (1:1-0-0). Capitalist filly cost $220K. Cruised home untested in lone trial appearance at Doomben. Well drawn. Big respect.
ILB
First appearance at the races 2yo by Capitalist for Kelly Schweida. Winner in a barrier trial at the track on Nov 4th. Respect the betting.
RP
There's hope from the pedigree that she has some ability; related to multiple race winner Redzoust (5f-7f); faces fairly tall order so a line drawn through unless betting signals are positive.
RSIS
2yo by Capitalist having first race start for Kelly Schweida. Success in a trial here on Nov 4th.