Shortest win price
Balance The Books (8)
2.60
Doomben plays host to the Higgins Coatings Plate, a Class 6 contest over 1200m on a Soft 6 surface under overcast skies. The win market has Balance The Books holding sway as the shortest runner in the race, closely followed by Spiethtacular, Kohler Kid, and Street Chase rounding out the top four in the market order. This race shapes up as an intriguing tactical puzzle with genuine pace expected up front from Spiethtacular and Street Chase, while runners like Balance The Books and Kohler Kid settle back in the field looking to launch late.
Taking a closer look at the form behind those shorter prices, Balance The Books resumes here after a 19-week spell following a preparation that ended in ripping form, including a dominant win over 1200m on a Soft 6 track at the Sunshine Coast. Carrying 56.5kg from barrier 8, this runner boasts strong soft track credentials and is well-placed to make an immediate impact. Meanwhile, Spiethtacular is shooting for a hat-trick at this venue after leading and holding on bravely over this exact 1200m course last month. Angela Jones retains the ride for T J Gollan, and this leader rates very highly in the current line-up.
Digging further into the pack, Kohler Kid represents an interesting angle from barrier 6 for M J Lakey. This runner let down strongly at Eagle Farm when second over 1200m on a Heavy 10 surface off a spell and should strip fitter second-up, despite a lack of early speed. With speed groups showing Spiethtacular and Street Chase dictating terms up front as leaders, any backmarker with a turn of foot like Balance The Books or Kohler Kid will get their chance if the leaders are pressured over the concluding stages.
Shortest win price
Balance The Books (8)
2.60
Most career wins
Cho Oyu and Fleetwood
6 each
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Midfield
Offpace
Leader
Cho Oyu · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Fleetwood · Negative
Jockey Booking
Less suitable jockey engaged
Addriel · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 14% better than Career Avg.
Tomba · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 23% in Last 100 Rides
Career
40: 6-9-9
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
8: 2-0-1
Second-up
6: 0-2-1
Third-up
6: 0-1-2
Fourth-up
5: 0-1-1
Track Warwick Farm
6: 0-2-2
Track Randwick
7: 0-0-3
Track Eagle Farm
2: 2-0-0
Distance 1550m
13: 1-4-4
Distance 1580m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
23: 3-8-4
Going Heavy
5: 1-1-2
Going Soft
12: 2-0-3
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 43%
Consecutive Wins
Positive
Has strung together a few races in a row
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 35 days
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Freshened. Started $2.20 when toughed it out in Bm78 company at Eagle Farm. Not so well placed here with 60kgs and the outside gate.
ILB
Stormed home to win last run at Eagle Farm but facing a stronger grade. Unbeaten this campaign with 2 wins from as many starts but has more weight to carry.
RP
Aiming to complete a hat-trick; narrow scorer in a handicap (Eagle Farm) last month; unlikely to achieve more than just a supporting role despite that win at Eagle Farm.
RSIS
Charged home to win last start at Eagle Farm but up against a more competitive field. Flawless of late with 2 wins from as many runs.
Career
13: 6-1-2
Rating · IRD
93
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
4: 3-1-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Third-up
2: 2-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Beaudesert
1: 1-0-0
Track Doomben
3: 1-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
3: 1-0-1
Distance 1000m
2: 2-0-0
Distance 1200m
3: 1-1-0
Distance 1350m
3: 1-0-2
Going Soft
4: 1-0-1
Going Good
8: 4-1-1
Going Heavy
1: 1-0-0
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 67% in Last 100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 117%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 6% POT in L100 Runners
Hot Jockey
Positive
Jade Hampson in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 84%
Margin LS
Positive
Won by a big margin last start
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 31 days
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Remains fresh. Charged to a commanding win at Eagle Farm. Harder here, but continues to race very well.
ILB
Made a mess of them when winning by a margin of over 3L last start at Eagle Farm but up against a higher level of opposition. Good chance of taking this out.
RP
A course winner; won with something to spare over 5f at Eagle Farm (handicap) 31 days ago; could improve for latest run (has won second time after a break before) and should give it a shot.
RSIS
Gave them a lesson when winning by more than 3L last time at Eagle Farm but up in class. Large claim helps. Capable of winning this.
Career
31: 6-5-7
Rating · IRD
98
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
8: 2-1-0
Second-up
6: 3-1-1
Third-up
5: 0-0-2
Fourth-up
5: 0-1-2
Track Doomben
5: 0-1-2
Track Kembla Grange
1: 0-0-0
Track Rosehill
2: 1-0-1
Distance 1000m
11: 1-3-2
Distance 1100m
7: 4-1-1
Distance 1110m
5: 0-1-2
Going Heavy
3: 2-1-0
Going Soft
12: 2-1-4
Going Good
16: 2-3-3
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Weight Increase
Negative
Rises 8kg now
AAP
Went close at Eagle Farm 24 Oct. Had all before him at turn and went home tamely this venue. Rough exotics hope.
ILB
Was $7.00 and not in contention when 8th last time at this venue. Looking for an improved run and competing in a less challenging grade. Gets the perfect gate. Chance and can measure up.
RP
Finished just behind Zoubaby when eighth 14 days ago beaten 4l in a handicap; facing a testing assignment and passed over.
RSIS
Started at 6/1 and mediocre attempt when 8th last run at this track. Should improve from the last run and up against a less challenging field. Good enough chance at a very tempting price.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Offmidfield
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Backup
Positive
Racing again inside one week
Weight Increase
Negative
Rises 4kg now
AAP
On a quick back-up. Unable to make an impression at Gold Coast. Needs a form spike.
ILB
Backing up quickly for this race. Started $16.00 and underperformed when 6th last time at Gold Coast and facing formidable opponents. Up in weight.
RSIS
On a short turnaround. Odds of 15/1 and average performance when 6th last start at Gold Coast and competing in a higher grade. Goes up in weight.
Career
19: 4-3-2
Rating · IRD
85
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
5: 1-1-1
Second-up
4: 0-1-1
Third-up
3: 1-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Eagle Farm
3: 1-0-2
Track Doomben
8: 0-2-0
Track CurrentTrack
8: 0-2-0
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
12: 3-2-1
Going Soft
7: 1-1-1
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 14% better than Career Avg.
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 76%
Hot Trainer
Positive
Jay Bellamy in good form, out performing market 34%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 28% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 17%
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 37 days
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
5 weeks since last run. Okay at latest when settled back. Others with greater appeal.
ILB
Odds of $12.00 and uncompetitive when 7th last run at Ipswich and facing a stronger group of contenders. Entitled to be big odds.
RP
Finished seventh but only beaten just under 3l in a handicap (Ipswich) last month; a proven winner with a career wins-runs record of 4-19 but not won for some time now; this looks a fair heat so easy enough to take on.
RSIS
Started 11/1 and underwhelming when 7th last start at Ipswich and racing against tougher rivals.
Career
17: 4-2-5
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Leader
First-up
4: 1-2-1
Second-up
3: 0-0-1
Third-up
2: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Ipswich
1: 0-0-1
Track Sandown
1: 1-0-0
Track Doomben
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1615m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
10: 1-2-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
6: 3-0-3
Dist Drop
Negative
Distance decrease from last start
AAP
Resuming (15-weeks). Well treated under race conditions. Races well fresh, and won a recent trial. Looks a solid chance.
ILB
First up and put in a competitive run when placing 2nd beaten by 1L first up last preparation at Eagle Farm. Will be down in distance.
RP
Fifth when fancied (evens) over 1m here (handicap) in August; a previous winner here; useful in this grade; it wouldn't be a surprise to see him return to the winners' enclosure and not ruled out.
RSIS
Resuming and strong effort to run into 2nd resuming last preparation at Eagle Farm. Will be down in distance.
Career
12: 4-0-2
Rating · IRD
81
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Third-up
2: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Moonee Valley
1: 0-0-0
Track Newcastle
1: 0-0-0
Track Randwick
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1550m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
9: 4-0-2
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 23% in Last 100 Rides
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Form At Track
Positive
2 time winner here at Doomben
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Consistent
Positive
Showing up at the business end
AAP
Resuming (33-weeks). In the minors first-up last campaign while tuned with 3 trials. Unbeaten here and good claim. respect.
ILB
First up after a break of 33 weeks. Finished with purpose when winning last time at the track but racing in stronger company. Considering others.
RP
Yet to taste defeat at this track, winning on two visits and on a hat-trick after last win; got the job done in a handicap by a head in March; returns from a break today; despite that Doomben success, not hard to turn elsewhere.
RSIS
Resumes from a 33 week break. Ran on hard when winning last run around here but taking on stronger rivals. Yet to place in multiple trials.
Career
9: 5-1-1
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
3: 2-0-0
Second-up
2: 1-1-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Doomben
3: 2-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
3: 2-0-1
Track Ipswich
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1000m
3: 1-1-0
Distance 1200m
6: 4-0-1
Going Good
4: 2-0-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-1-0
Going Soft
4: 3-0-0
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Margin LS
Positive
Won by a big margin last start
Form At Track
Positive
2 time winner here at Doomben
1st Up S/R
Positive
Has won 2 from 3 when resuming
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Honest
Positive
Finishing in the money lately
AAP
First-up (19-weeks). Finished off last prep in ripping form. Loves Soft tracks. Looks well-placed here with 56.5kgs.
ILB
Proven record when resuming. Won with a leg in the air by 4 1/4L last run at Sunshine Coast and have to respect the form at the distance. Will go close.
RP
Won in easy fashion in a handicap at Sunshine Coast four months ago; has won over C&D; bids to pull off a hat-trick; returns from a break here; much respected.
RSIS
Has multiple wins first run back. Won by a huge margin of 4 1/4L last start at Sunshine Coast and ideal trip as proven previously. Strong competitor.
Career
15: 5-7-0
Rating · IRD
95
Speed map
Leader
First-up
3: 1-2-0
Second-up
2: 1-1-0
Third-up
2: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-1-0
Track Gold Coast
2: 0-0-0
Track Eagle Farm
2: 0-2-0
Track Port Macquarie
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1110m
2: 0-2-0
Distance 1200m
5: 3-0-0
Distance 1000m
3: 0-3-0
Going Good
9: 2-5-0
Going Soft
2: 0-1-0
Going Synthetic
4: 3-1-0
Consecutive Wins
Positive
Has strung together a few races in a row
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Consistent
Positive
Showing up at the business end
AAP
Fresh. Shooting for hat-trick this venue. Led, held on desperately to win this course 17 Oct. Highly rated in this line-up.
ILB
Dictated terms in front to win by a margin of a short half head last run at this venue and will be well suited at the distance. Strong prospects in this race.
RP
Aiming to complete a hat-trick; successful by a short head to claim second C&D win last month; despite that Doomben success, she can be taken on.
RSIS
Led from start to finish when winning by a short half head last time around here and hard to fault at this distance. Won last 2 on the trot. Strong claims.
Career
28: 5-6-2
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
5: 1-1-0
Second-up
4: 2-0-0
Third-up
4: 0-2-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Doomben
6: 2-2-2
Track CurrentTrack
6: 2-2-2
Track Flemington
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1000m
6: 0-3-0
Going Good
17: 5-3-2
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
9: 0-3-0
Form Revival
Positive
Turning form around with last couple
AAP
Finished it off well in the Open Hcp this track. Nicely-in here with 56.5kgs and the perfect gate. Struggling to put a win on the board however.
ILB
Was strong late when 2nd beaten by 2 1/4L last time at the track and lining up against easier rivals. Hoping that the added weight won't hurt.
RP
Has maintained her consistent level of form; track has proven suitable before; finishing runner-up was a good effort last month when little between her and Fleetwood (eighth) in a handicap.
RSIS
Hit the line well when 2nd last start around here and stepping down to a lower level. Has to cope with a weight increase.
Career
11: 3-2-2
Rating · IRD
92
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
3: 0-2-1
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Doomben
2: 0-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-0-1
Track Ipswich
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
4: 0-2-1
Distance 1300m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1350m
2: 1-0-1
Going Good
4: 1-0-1
Going Heavy
2: 0-1-0
Going Soft
5: 2-1-1
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Weight Drop
Positive
Drops 4.5kg from LS run
AAP
Void of early speed but he let down strongly C3 company at Eagle Farm off spell. Will be fitter second-up. Capable of making an impact.
ILB
Finished well when 2nd beaten by 1 3/4L last time at Eagle Farm and carrying less weight this time. Has good closing speed. Prefers some give in the track. Has claims.
RP
Not beaten far when runner-up at Eagle Farm last month; admirable career strike-rate (three from 11 to date); chance.
RSIS
Improved to place when 2nd last run at Eagle Farm on a heavy surface and goes down in weight. Has won 2 from 5 runs on a soft surface. Serious contender.
Career
14: 3-3-2
Rating · IRD
91
Speed map
Leader
First-up
5: 1-1-1
Second-up
3: 1-1-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
7: 2-1-2
Track Gold Coast
2: 0-0-0
Track Eagle Farm
5: 1-2-0
Distance 1110m
3: 1-1-1
Distance 1200m
8: 2-0-1
Distance 1300m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
12: 2-3-2
Going Heavy
1: 1-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 17% POT in L100 Runners
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Primed
Positive
Fitter here racing on a quick back up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
On a quick back-up. Latest attempt this journey when reasonable effort without seriously threatening at Eagle Farm. Rates highly.
ILB
On a short turnaround. Odds of $11.00 and came in 4th last run at Eagle Farm. Displays good tactical speed. Could feature here.
RP
Respectable effort (beaten 1½l) in a handicap at Eagle Farm last Saturday; produced a string of consistent efforts; has won previously at this course; trainer going well a plus; others have more pressing claims given this looks a decent race.
RSIS
Racing on a quick back up. Started 10/1 and finished 4th last time at Eagle Farm. Has early pace and positions nicely. Not at all out of this race.
Career
14: 2-2-0
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
4: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Moe
1: 0-0-0
Track Doomben
4: 2-1-0
Track Mornington
1: 0-0-0
Distance 800m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1110m
1: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
6: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 47% lower than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 56% in L100 rides
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 17%
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Track Stats
Positive
Excels at this track
AAP
First-up (15-weeks). Ex D Meagher. Trained here now. Comes off a good trial. Looks a risk fresh.
ILB
First run back from a break. Jumped at $20.00 and finished 7th last start Ballarat Synthetic but drawn nicely. Racing for a new trainer. Challenged by more formidable competitors. This will be a test.
RP
Out of the frame (beaten just under 4l in seventh) in a handicap (Ballarat) four months ago; has winning form at this track; hasn't won for a while; runs for a new stable here; others more persuasive as running in what looks to be a hot race.
RSIS
Racing fresh today after a break. Started at 19/1 and came in 7th last run Ballarat Synthetic but can find a nice position from the draw.