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Pakenham (VIC) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Pakenham (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Fri 30 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT

Race 5 — Congratulations Cosmic Crusader (Bm62) 1200m · jumps

Race notes

  • 3yo+,BM62,BM62 HCP,Benchmark 62
  • SOFT7
  • Fine
  • 16 runners

Shortest win price

In A Tizzy (8)

3.60

Most career wins

Trak Chiller

6-5-3 from 37 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Offmidfield

  • 15Outer Banks

Offpace

  • 3Kippis
  • 5Bardia's Dream
  • 14Bee Admired
  • 16Lightwatch
  • 6Illuminance
  • 9Lots Of Time

Onpace

  • 7Pocket Size

Firststart

  • 1Efferato

Backmarker

  • 12Smart Little Miss

Midfield

  • 11Trak Chiller
  • 13Mykindakandy
  • 4Cattle Camp
  • 10Rapid Cheval

Leader

  • 2Befuddle
  • 8In A Tizzy

  • Efferato · Negative

    Cold J/T Combo

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Befuddle · Negative

    Cold J/T Combo

    Combo are losing -60% POT in their L100 Races

  • Kippis · Negative

    Cold J/T Combo

    Combo are losing -22% POT in their L100 Races

  • Cattle Camp · Negative

    Jockey Booking

    Luke Nolen current POT is 40% below Career Avg.

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1EfferatoJ: Daniel Stackhouse·T: Ms L Tolson & Ms L Proctor561kg–$6.00$2.25

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed50%

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Long Break

    Negative

    Resumes from a 503 day break (> 300 days)

  • Debutant

    Positive

    First race day appearance

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Resuming (71-weeks). Ex D Eustace in Hong Kong. Third in recent Mornington jumpout. Big watch under new trainer off long lay-off.

ILB

Lyn Tolson And Leonie Proctor 5yo by Brutal having first race appearance. Keep your eye on the market.

RP

One from three overseas; others more likely.

RSIS

Racing as a debutant 5yo by Brutal for Lyn Tolson And Leonie Proctor. Keep your eye on the market.

2BefuddleJ: Jake Noonan·T: J D Sadler1060.5kg3 3 8 7 112: 2-1-3$6.50$2.40

Career

12: 2-1-3

Rating · IRD

79

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Ballarat

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Flemington

    3: 0-0-1

  • Track Mornington

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    2: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    9: 1-1-2

  • Going Soft

    3: 1-0-1

Last starts

  1. 1Seymour1200m11 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT5-0.5
  2. 7Sale1400m3 May 2026 · 2yo+ · GOOD37L
  3. 8Mornington1200m18 Apr 2026 · 3YF HCP · GOOD45L
  4. 3Sandown1200m6 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.3L
  5. 3Sandown1400m25 Mar 2026 · 3YF BM64 · SOFT52.9L
  6. 11Flemington1100m28 Feb 2026 · 3Y FILLIES HCP · GOOD416L
  7. 4Caulfield Heath1000m9 Feb 2026 · 3UP F&M BM66 HCP · GOOD42.4L
  8. 3Flemington1200m29 Mar 2025 · Set Weights plus Penalties · GOOD42.5L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -60% POT in their L100 Races

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 20%

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

  • Up In Weight

    Negative

    Goes up 4kg weight here

Comments

AAP

Great win from the deep gate at Seymour. Leader. Soft tick, heavy query. Can show up again.

ILB

Set the pace to win by 1/2L last start at Seymour but bit of extra work to do with more weight. Shows good early pace. Others are better.

RP

Halted losing run scoring narrowly (Seymour) three weeks ago; makes limited appeal despite that win last time.

RSIS

Set the tempo to win by 1/2L last start at Seymour but has to carry more weight this time. Should race on the pace.

3KippisJ: Jabez Johnstone·T: C Maher760.5kg2 1 5 1 76: 2-2-0$9.00$3.00

Career

6: 2-2-0

Rating · IRD

86

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 1-1-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Mornington

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Warrnambool

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Cranbourne

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    3: 0-2-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    4: 1-2-0

Last starts

  1. 7Mornington1200m26 Sept 2026 · 4UP MARES BM78 HCP · SOFT57.3L
  2. 1Bendigo1000m6 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT5-0.2
  3. 5Caulfield Heath800m16 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)3.5L
  4. 1Cranbourne1200m22 Jan 2026 · 3-5Y MDN-SW · GOOD3-0.2
  5. 2Warrnambool1100m31 Dec 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD30.3L
  6. 4Moe1100m14 Dec 2025 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD41.6L
  7. 2Moe1100m16 Nov 2025 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD40.8L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -22% POT in their L100 Races

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

  • Up In Weight

    Negative

    Goes up 8kg weight here

Comments

AAP

Now 4 weeks between runs. Unable to make an impression at Mornington second-up. Could give some cheek.

ILB

Odds of $14.00 and looked outclassed when 7th last start at Mornington but up against a less challenging field. Rises in weight. Can win this.

RP

Last of seven at Mornington five weeks ago; leading contender despite defeat last time as she was successful two runs back.

RSIS

Started at 13/1 and struggled with the pace when 7th last start at Mornington but competing in an easier class. Likes the cut in the ground. Rates as one of the key chances.

4Cattle CampJ: Luke Nolen·T: P G Moody & Katherine Coleman960kg1 3 6 4 75: 1-0-1$7.50$2.65

Career

5: 1-0-1

Rating · IRD

83

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Kilmore

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Mornington

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Sale

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    3: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1006m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    4: 1-0-1

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 7Cranbourne1200m16 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD32.13L
  2. 4Kilmore1100m28 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD33.66L
  3. 6Mornington1200m4 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SOFT54.8L
  4. 3Caulfield Heath1200m29 Apr 2026 · 3Y BM64 · GOOD40.96L
  5. 1Sale1006m8 Apr 2026 · 3UP MDN SW · GOOD3-0.5

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Luke Nolen current POT is 40% below Career Avg.

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    P & K Moody & Coleman striking at just 5%

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -32% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 62%

  • Trainer Form

    Negative

    Stable out of form, losing 65% Profit on Turnover

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 44% in L100 rides

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

Comments

AAP

Ran on late from the back at Cranbourne over this trip. Unknown in wet. Lacks appeal here.

ILB

Started at $10.00 and not up to standard when 7th last run at Cranbourne. Watch betting.

RP

Solid effort at Cranbourne 14 days ago; Luke Nolen booked.

RSIS

Was 9/1 and basic showing when 7th last time at Cranbourne. Respect the betting.

5Bardia's DreamJ: Jye Mcneil·T: Simon Zahra859kg4 1 2 12 216: 3-2-1$9.00$3.00

Career

16: 3-2-1

Rating · IRD

82

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 1-0-1

  • Second-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 2-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Track Sandown

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track Pakenham Synthetic

    3: 1-0-0

  • Track Ballarat

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    2: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1200m

    11: 3-1-1

  • Distance 1300m

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    5: 0-0-1

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    6: 2-1-0

Last starts

  1. 2Bendigo1100m4 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · SOFT60.35L
  2. 12Ballarat1200m18 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD49.08L
  3. 2Seymour1200m27 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY80.3L
  4. 1Seymour1200m7 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SOFT7-0.1
  5. 4Seymour1300m19 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY93.8L
  6. 9Pakenham Synthetic1200m6 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC3.5L
  7. 9Sandown1300m4 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD47.3L
  8. 7Warrnambool1200m11 Jan 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD35L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -28% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 15% POT in L100 Runners

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Picked up intently to just miss at Bendigo. Loves the wet. One for exotics.

ILB

Right up there last run at Bendigo. Could be in the mix.

RP

Went close when second over 5½f at Bendigo (handicap) four weeks ago; has winning C&D form to her name.

RSIS

Just shy of the win last start at Bendigo. Watch for a sign in the market.

6IlluminanceJ: Michael Dee·T: Julius Sandhu1159kg2 3 3 7 227: 2-11-4$8.00$2.75

Career

27: 2-11-4

Rating · IRD

79

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 1-2-0

  • Second-up

    4: 0-2-0

  • Third-up

    4: 0-1-2

  • Fourth-up

    4: 0-2-1

  • Track Pakenham

    4: 1-1-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    4: 1-1-0

  • Track Sale

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1300m

    11: 0-6-2

  • Distance 1400m

    8: 0-3-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    14: 1-8-1

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    12: 1-2-3

Last starts

  1. 2Cranbourne1300m9 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD32L
  2. 7Bendigo1300m6 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT52.3L
  3. 3Sale1200m21 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT60.8L
  4. 3Seymour1200m7 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SOFT72.4L
  5. 2Cranbourne1200m16 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY90.1L
  6. 5Cranbourne1400m21 June 2026 · BM62 · SOFT72.8L
  7. 2Cranbourne1300m10 Jan 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD41.3L
  8. 3Cranbourne1300m19 Dec 2025 · 3UP BM70 HCP · GOOD42.8L

Insights

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 6%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 28%

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Ready To Fire

    Positive

    Shown something in last few runs

  • Blinkers Off

    Positive

    Blinkers coming off this start

Comments

AAP

Long winning drought. Made steady inroads but the winner was out of reach at Cranbourne. Place best.

ILB

Put in a competitive run when placing 2nd last start at Cranbourne. In top racing shape since returning from a break. Others much better.

RP

Creditable effort to finish second over 6½f at Cranbourne (handicap) three weeks ago; a previous winner here; passed over as regularly been coming up a bit short lately.

RSIS

Produced an eye catching run when 2nd beaten by 2L last run at Cranbourne. Putting up notable efforts since returning from a break.

7Pocket SizeJ: Jamie Mott·T: Bill Papazaharoudakis359kg6 5 8 2 519: 4-3-1$11.00$3.50

Career

19: 4-3-1

Rating · IRD

76

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 1-0-1

  • Second-up

    4: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    3: 1-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Pakenham

    4: 1-0-0

  • Track Cranbourne

    2: 0-1-0

  • Track Caulfield

    2: 0-1-0

  • Distance 955m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    14: 4-2-1

  • Distance 1100m

    3: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    14: 3-3-1

  • Going Soft

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    2: 1-0-0

Last starts

  1. 5Caulfield Heath1000m20 May 2026 · Benchmark 70 · SOFT62.9L
  2. 2Cranbourne1000m24 Apr 2026 · BM66 · GOOD42.8L
  3. 8Ballarat1000m3 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD35.1L
  4. 5Caulfield Heath1000m18 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.5L
  5. 6Cranbourne955m5 Dec 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD33.3L
  6. 9Pakenham1000m17 Oct 2025 · 3UP BM66 HCP · SOFT53.7L
  7. 8Sandown1000m24 Sept 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD45L
  8. 8Sandown1000m3 Sept 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD35.2L

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 57%

  • Maps Poorly

    Negative

    Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 22%

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

First-up (23-weeks). Resumes without a trial or jumpout. Untried in the wet. Market the best guide.

ILB

Fresh after a spell. Started at $21.00 and couldn't stay in touch when 5th last time at Caulfield Heath but facing weaker opposition. May find these too slick.

RP

Creditable effort to finish fifth, beaten just under 3l over 5f at Caulfield (handicap) in May; she can be competitive at this level and consistent lately; returns from a layoff; assuming she steps up from most recent effort then ought to be competitive.

RSIS

Racing fresh today after a break. Started at 20/1 and weakened under pressure when 5th last start at Caulfield Heath but facing weaker opposition.

8In A TizzyJ: Blake Shinn·T: M Price & M Kent Jnr1258.5kg5 3 2 4 15: 1-1-1$3.60$1.65

Career

5: 1-1-1

Rating · IRD

76

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Hawkesbury

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Rosehill

    2: 0-1-0

  • Track Cranbourne

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    4: 1-0-1

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 1Cranbourne1200m9 Oct 2026 · 4UP MDN-SW · GOOD3-1.5
  2. 4Canterbury1250m22 Apr 2026 · 3yo · GOOD41.6L
  3. 2Rosehill1400m6 Apr 2026 · 3Y+MDN-SW · SOFT63.7L
  4. 3Hawkesbury1300m17 Mar 2026 · 3Y MDN · GOOD41.2L
  5. 5Rosehill1200m25 Feb 2026 · F&M MDN-SW · GOOD43.5L
  6. 3Rosehill900m12 Feb 2026 · Barrier Trial5.9L

Insights

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 20%

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Toughed it out on the pace at Cranbourne off extended spell at $1.50. Steps onto a wet track for first time. Can again play a role.

ILB

Finished hard to win last run at Cranbourne but matched against a stronger field. Displays good tactical speed. Prefer in an easier race.

RP

Won by 1½l when registering her first success at the fifth time of asking (Cranbourne) three weeks ago in a maiden; has arguably shown improved form the last twice; on the shortlist.

RSIS

Finished well when winning last time at Cranbourne but facing stiffer opposition. Has good tactical pace and will be nicely positioned.

9Lots Of TimeJ: Carleen Hefel·T: E Jusufovic658.5kg12 3 1 4 98: 2-0-1$21.00$6.00

Career

8: 2-0-1

Rating · IRD

74

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Mornington

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Sale

    3: 1-0-1

  • Track Cranbourne

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1500m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    2: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1746m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    3: 1-0-1

  • Going Heavy

    3: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 9Sale1746m9 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY911.2L
  2. 4Cranbourne1600m21 June 2026 · BM62 · SOFT73.2L
  3. 1Sale1400m10 June 2026 · Benchmark 66 · HEAVY8-0.1
  4. 3Sale1419m17 May 2026 · 0-62 · GOOD43.2L
  5. 12Mornington1500m28 Sept 2025 · 0 - 62 · GOOD47.7L
  6. 1Bairnsdale1600m7 Sept 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD3-0.2
  7. 5Bendigo1300m14 Aug 2025 · F&M MDN-SW · SOFT62.2L
  8. 6Bendigo1100m13 July 2025 · 2yo+ · HEAVY85.6L

Insights

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Enver Jusufovic striking at just 9%

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 27%

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

First-up (16-weeks). In the minors at Sale first-up last campaign. Prefer to see fresh.

ILB

First up and produced an eye catching run when 3rd first up last preparation at Sale. Will be dropping in distance. Prefer in something weaker.

RP

Finished ninth, beaten 11l, at Sale over 1m½f (handicap) in July; best of her form suggests ability; must enter calculations.

RSIS

Resuming and came on strongly when 3rd beaten by 3 1/4L resuming last preparation at Sale. Dropping back to a shorter trip.

10Rapid ChevalJ: Craig Newitt·T: Richard Laming258.5kg6 6 5 3 614: 2-1-2$26.00$6.50

Career

14: 2-1-2

Rating · IRD

77

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Eagle Farm

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Flemington

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Gold Coast

    3: 1-0-2

  • Distance 1400m

    4: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1500m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1600m

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    10: 2-1-2

  • Going Soft

    4: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 6Sandown1600m31 May 2026 · 0-66 · SOFT76.8L
  2. 3Caulfield Heath1400m14 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)2L
  3. 5Caulfield Heath950m30 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)6L
  4. 6Sandown1600m11 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD415.5L
  5. 6Cranbourne1600m27 Feb 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · GOOD42L
  6. 1Gold Coast1800m4 Oct 2025 · CL1 · GOOD4-0.2
  7. 3Gold Coast1800m20 Sept 2025 · BM70 · GOOD41.4L
  8. 3Gold Coast1800m30 Aug 2025 · BM62 · GOOD41.5L

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Maps Poorly

    Negative

    Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 22%

  • Well beaten LS

    Negative

    Not competitive last run

  • Nice Barrier

    Positive

    Well drawn from gate 2

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

  • Blinkers Off

    Positive

    Blinkers coming off this start

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Resuming (21-weeks). Ex S B Laming in Victoria. Quiet jumpouts ahead of resumption Modest form in stronger company last campaign.

ILB

Resuming after a spell. At $8.50 below standard effort when 6th last run at Sandown but has a positive draw. Will be facing a significant drop in distance. Entitled to be big odds.

RP

Beaten 7l in sixth over 1m at Sandown (handicap) in May; returning from a layoff here; makes limited appeal as this could be a hot race.

RSIS

First run back from a break. Odds of 15/2 and disappointing effort when 6th last start at Sandown but drawn nicely. Down in trip.

11Trak ChillerJ: Jackie Beriman·T: Michael Harrison1558.5kg1 3 7 6 637: 6-5-3$26.00$6.50

Career

37: 6-5-3

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    7: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    6: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    5: 1-2-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Ballarat

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Benalla

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Stawell

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    3: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1600m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1212m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    22: 3-3-1

  • Going Heavy

    7: 0-1-1

  • Going Soft

    5: 3-1-1

Last starts

  1. 6Pakenham Synthetic1200m5 Oct 2026 · BM62 · SYNTHETIC3.5L
  2. 6Sale1206m13 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD44.2L
  3. 7Mornington1200m18 Apr 2026 · 3UP F&M BM70 HCP · GOOD44L
  4. 3Pakenham1200m26 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY90.9L
  5. 1Stony Creek1100m8 Mar 2026 · 3UP BM62 · SOFT6-0.5
  6. 1Stony Creek1100m15 Feb 2026 · BM56 · GOOD4-0.3
  7. 1Stony Creek1100m18 Jan 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT5-0.3
  8. 5Stony Creek1100m30 Dec 2025 · 3UP F&M BM56 HCP · GOOD43.6L

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 129%

  • Stable In Form

    Positive

    Stable going well. Out performing market by 65%

  • Drawn Poorly

    Negative

    Unfavourable barrier draw

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Locally trained but has an adverse draw. Hard to make a case.

ILB

Started at $61.00 and finished 6th last time at Pakenham Synthetic. Too much luck needed to come into contention.

RP

Finished sixth but wasn't beaten too far (3½l) three weeks ago; a lot on her plate here and can be taken on.

RSIS

Odds of 60/1 and came in 6th last time at Pakenham Synthetic.

12Smart Little MissJ: Beau Mertens·T: Reece Goodwin1358kg3 4 6 2 850: 5-7-9$16.00$4.80

Career

50: 5-7-9

Rating · IRD

75

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    8: 2-1-1

  • Second-up

    7: 2-0-4

  • Third-up

    7: 0-3-1

  • Fourth-up

    6: 0-1-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Seymour

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Mornington

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1100m

    6: 0-0-2

  • Distance 1106m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    19: 2-5-1

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    24: 4-4-4

  • Going Heavy

    6: 0-1-2

Last starts

  1. 8Pakenham Synthetic1200m5 Oct 2026 · BM62 · SYNTHETIC3.95L
  2. 2Ballarat1200m18 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD41.25L
  3. 6Seymour1200m10 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT57.08L
  4. 4Sale1200m21 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT62.5L
  5. 3Sandown1200m2 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT72.2L
  6. 9Sandown1000m22 July 2026 · Benchmark 70 · SOFT64.8L
  7. 8Flemington1100m17 Jan 2026 · 3UP F&M BM78 HCP · GOOD34.8L
  8. 3Flemington1100m31 Dec 2025 · 3UP BM66 · GOOD32.4L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are under performing market expectations by -39%

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Ready To Fire

    Positive

    Shown something in last few runs

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

  • Down In Weight

    Positive

    Drops 5kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Got back, never a serious danger but not disgraced at Pakenham Synthetic. Doesn't win out of turn.

ILB

Started at $19.00 and struggled when 8th last run at Pakenham Synthetic. Gets back and needs luck. Cannot have.

RP

Not beaten too far when eighth of ten three weeks ago; has not been firing consistently; unlikely to achieve more than just a supporting role as a few rivals look in good form.

RSIS

At 18/1 looked flat when 8th last start at Pakenham Synthetic. Likely to settle back in the field.

13MykindakandyJ: N.r·T: C I Brown1459.5kg3 5 5 8 18: 1-0-2$11.00$3.50

Career

8: 1-0-2

Rating · IRD

75

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey50%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 1-0-1

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Ballarat

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Pakenham

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1600m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    3: 1-0-1

  • Going Good

    5: 0-0-2

  • Going Soft

    3: 1-0-0

Last starts

  1. 1Mornington1200m4 Sept 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT5-0.8
  2. 8Caulfield1400m11 Apr 2026 · CL3-SW · SOFT72.8L
  3. 5Cranbourne1600m27 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT62.6L
  4. 5Ballarat1400m20 Mar 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD32L
  5. 3Pakenham1400m5 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD44L
  6. 3Caulfield Heath1000m25 Feb 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)0.6L
  7. 4Sandown1200m10 Dec 2025 · MDN-SW · GOOD46.3L
  8. 3Wodonga1200m28 Nov 2025 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD30.5L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 4%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -60% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 52%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Fresh

    Positive

    Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days

Comments

AAP

Let-up (56-days). In the placings only prior run here. Can measure up here on resumption.

ILB

Back from a let up. Strong effort to the line to win last start at Mornington but racing against tougher rivals. Unfortunately, it seems unlikely.

RP

Seems to be improving based on last two runs; narrow winner of a maiden (Mornington) two months ago, getting off the mark at the eighth attempt.

RSIS

Freshened for this. Bold effort when winning last time at Mornington but stepping up to a higher level.

14Bee AdmiredJ: Valentin Le Boeuf·T: Charlotte Littlefield457.5kg2 5 5 2 15: 1-2-0$9.00$3.00

Career

5: 1-2-0

Rating · IRD

78

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-2-0

  • Second-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Kilmore

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Mornington

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Pakenham

    2: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1100m

    3: 0-2-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    3: 0-2-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 1-0-0

Last starts

  1. 1Pakenham Synthetic1200m5 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC-0.5
  2. 2Kilmore1100m13 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.3L
  3. 5Mornington1000m5 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD33.2L
  4. 5Pakenham1100m19 Mar 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT53.85L
  5. 2Pakenham1100m26 Feb 2026 · MDN SW · GOOD41.8L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 41% in Last 100 Rides

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 130%

  • Key Jockey

    Positive

    Valentin Le Boeuf winning at 17% POT in last 100 rides

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Stuck tough, holding off challengers at Pakenham Synthetic second-up at $5.50. All the better, can make her presence felt again.

ILB

Picked up late to win last run at Pakenham Synthetic and getting better in recent performances. Has run into the money 2 from 2 attempts this campaign. Remote chance at best.

RP

Gained narrow success in a maiden when getting off the mark at the fifth time of asking three weeks ago; has found improvement of late.

RSIS

Picked up late to win last run at Pakenham Synthetic and form has been improving over recent runs. Been in the money 2 from 2 attempts of late.

15Outer BanksJ: Brad Rawiller·T: E & D Browne1659.5kg1 4 1 2 75: 1-1-0$21.00$6.00

Career

5: 1-1-0

Rating · IRD

77

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Sale

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Warrnambool

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Bendigo

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    2: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1150m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 0-1-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    4: 1-1-0

Last starts

  1. 7Warrnambool1000m15 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD48.37L
  2. 2Sale1200m3 May 2026 · 2yo+ · GOOD30.2L
  3. 1Bendigo1000m27 Mar 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD4-0.3
  4. 4Randwick1150m13 Aug 2025 · 3yo · HEAVY98L
  5. 1Warwick Farm812m25 July 2025 · Barrier Trial-0.2
  6. 2Rosehill900m15 July 2025 · Barrier Trial3.2L
  7. 10Warwick Farm1200m16 Apr 2025 · Maiden · GOOD48.11L

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -54% POT in their L100 Races

  • Well beaten LS

    Negative

    Not competitive last run

  • Wide Draw

    Negative

    Likely to get caught wide

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Never in the call at Warrnambool after lengthy absence. Has an adverse draw. Others more persuasive.

ILB

Odds of $7.00 and disappointing display when 7th last run at Warrnambool. Does take a while to get into stride. Better to look elsewhere.

RP

Held when seventh of eight at Warrnambool over 5f (handicap) two weeks ago; not many miles on the clock.

RSIS

Started at 6/1 and disappointing display when 7th last run at Warrnambool. Likely to get back in the run.

16LightwatchJ: Damien Thornton·T: Brian Mcgrath159.5kg6 3 5 11 15: 1-0-1$16.00$4.80

Career

5: 1-0-1

Rating · IRD

72

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Pakenham

    2: 0-0-1

  • Track CurrentTrack

    2: 0-0-1

  • Track Kyneton

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    3: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1103m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    3: 0-0-1

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 1-0-0

Last starts

  1. 1Kyneton1103m8 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT5-1
  2. 11Wangaratta1000m31 July 2026 · MDN-SW · HEAVY97.6L
  3. 5Pakenham1200m12 Feb 2026 · 3-5YY MDN-SW · GOOD44.4L
  4. 3Pakenham1000m29 Jan 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD40.9L
  5. 6Sandown1000m8 Jan 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD41.2L

Insights

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 10%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 20%

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Draw Suits

    Positive

    Well drawn inside

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Won nicely at the finish after settling midfield at Kyneton second-up. Just out of his maiden and facing tougher challenge here.

ILB

Flew home to win last run at Kyneton and has drawn to do little work. Competing in a more challenging class. Looks highly doubtful.

RP

Appears to be on the upgrade judged on two most recent runs; gained a first success at the fifth time of asking when in front by 1l 22 days ago at Kyneton in a maiden.

RSIS

Rounded them up when winning last time at Kyneton and gets a favourable stall. Up against a higher level of opposition.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.