Pakenham (VIC) horses tips & previews

30 Oct, 5:26 am AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Pakenham (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Fri 30 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT

Race 8 — Ladbrokes More On Tote Win (Bm62) 1400m · jumps Fri 30 Oct, 9:15 pm AEDT

Race notes

3yo+,BM62,BM62 HCP,Benchmark 62
SOFT7
Fine
16 runners

Shortest win price

The Flying Popov (12)

4.20

Most career wins

Dollar Chaser

7-8-4 from 48 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

12The Flying Popov

Offmidfield

9Discover Lupino

Midfield

1Zourain
3Dollar Chaser
5British Columbia
7Shidan

Offpace

6Panda's Spectrum
10Dundonald
11Jewel Bay
13Russian Front
15Count Of Toulouse
2Nearing Liberty
14Jenni Poppins
16Cool Savanna

Onpace

4Blue Bandit

Leader

8Empressive Enuff

Zourain · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 99%
Nearing Liberty · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Dollar Chaser · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 57%
Blue Bandit · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 57% better than Career Avg.

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1ZourainJ: Dylan Dean·T: R D Griffiths365kg5 4 5 1 927: 5-1-3$7.00$2.50

Career

27: 5-1-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
5: 0-1-0
Second-up
4: 1-0-1
Third-up
4: 0-0-2
Fourth-up
4: 3-0-0
Track Seymour
3: 1-0-0
Track Caulfield
3: 0-0-2
Track Ballarat
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
13: 1-1-2
Going Heavy
3: 1-0-0
Going Soft
11: 3-0-1

Last starts

9Geelong1400m21 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · GOOD48.55L
1Bendigo1400m4 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SOFT60L
5Seymour1200m10 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT54.33L
4Seymour1200m27 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY80.9L
5Caulfield Heath1500m8 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM70 HCP · SOFT63.9L
13Flemington1410m1 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD37.7L
1Seymour1300m19 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY9-0.8
7Sandown1400m1 July 2026 · BM74 · HEAVY96.3L

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 99%
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 22%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Failed to threaten at Geelong over today's trip at double-figure odds. Best around this level. Deep into his campaign, right in the mix.

ILB

Started $31.00 and weakened under pressure when 9th last time at Geelong. The large claim from Dylan Dean helps. Prefer to watch.

Beaten a fair way when ninth at Geelong last Wednesday; has won over C&D; grade looks suitable; plenty of appeal given he won a handicap two runs back.

RSIS

Was 30/1 and lost ground in the run home when 9th last run at Geelong. Dylan Dean takes a large claim.

2Nearing LibertyJ: Bailey Kinninmont·T: Matthew Brown963.5kg11 4 10 2 321: 3-4-3$7.00$2.50

Career

21: 3-4-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating80%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
6: 2-0-0
Second-up
4: 1-0-0
Third-up
4: 0-2-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-1-1
Track Flemington
4: 0-1-0
Track Sale
2: 1-1-0
Track Bendigo
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1300m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
6: 2-0-0
Distance 1600m
2: 0-1-0
Going Good
11: 1-2-2
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
9: 2-2-1

Last starts

3Caulfield Heath800m1 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)2.1L
2Sale1600m26 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT62.5L
10Sandown1500m8 July 2026 · BM70 · HEAVY88.1L
4Caulfield Heath1500m17 June 2026 · BM66 · SOFT60.8L
11Sandown1400m31 May 2026 · BM70 · SOFT78.5L
3Caulfield Heath1000m23 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)2.3L
3Caulfield1700m15 Nov 2025 · BM74 · GOOD40.5L
3Caulfield1700m11 Oct 2025 · 3UP BM80 GRAND HCP · GOOD40.6L

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 62%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 20% POT in L100 Runners
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Resuming (13-weeks). Effective fresh whilst has looked forward enough in latest trials. Dual winner this trip. Has some claims fresh in this affair.

ILB

First up from a spell. Produced an eye catching run when 2nd beaten by 2 1/2L last start at Sale. Large claim helps. Definite contender.

Was on the premises (second, beaten 2½l) at Sale over 1m (handicap) in July.

RSIS

First run back. Ran on when 2nd beaten by 2 1/2L last start at Sale. Large claim helps. One of the punters top hopes at a very generous price.

3Dollar ChaserJ: Jamie Mott·T: Bill Papazaharoudakis861.5kg8 2 11 13 648: 7-8-4$9.00$3.00

Career

48: 7-8-4

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
9: 1-1-1
Second-up
7: 2-3-0
Third-up
6: 1-1-1
Fourth-up
5: 0-0-0
Track Moonee Valley
2: 0-0-0
Track Caulfield Heath
2: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham
7: 3-2-0
Distance 1400m
3: 1-0-0
Distance 1105m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1206m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
13: 1-3-0
Going Synthetic
3: 0-0-3
Going Good
30: 5-5-1

Last starts

6Geelong1447m7 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT53.21L
13Caulfield Heath1200m16 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD47.8L
11Sandown1400m15 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT56.5L
2Geelong1412m14 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.3L
8Caulfield1400m31 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD48.8L
1Pakenham1400m16 Jan 2026 · BM66 HCP · GOOD4-1
9Sandown1200m26 Dec 2025 · BM66 · GOOD43.9L
4Caulfield Heath1200m3 Dec 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD42L

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 57%
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Got back and wasn't totally disgraced at Geelong when second-up. All the better, fringe place hope at best.

ILB

Started at $31.00 and underwhelming when 6th last start at Geelong. Jamie Mott is a key engagement. Will be a tough ask.

A C&D winner; not beaten that far (Geelong) three weeks ago upped to this trip; easy to oppose as has a lot on his plate here.

RSIS

Started 30/1 and not competitive when 6th last time at Geelong. Jamie Mott is a bonus.

4Blue BanditJ: Nadia Daniels·T: Andrea Leek661kg2 7 2 13 916: 3-2-2$9.00$3.00

Career

16: 3-2-2

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Geelong
1: 0-0-0
Track Mornington
1: 0-0-1
Track Warrnambool
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
5: 1-1-1
Distance 1500m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1217m
1: 1-0-0
Going Heavy
8: 2-1-1
Going Soft
6: 1-1-1
Going Good
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

9Ballarat1200m9 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · GOOD45L
13Bendigo1500m12 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · HEAVY950.3L
2Sandown1400m2 Aug 2026 · BM66 · SOFT70.8L
7Cranbourne1400m16 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY96.1L
2Sale1429m9 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY91.5L
9Sale1411m28 June 2026 · BM62 · HEAVY84.9L
12Caulfield Heath1500m17 June 2026 · BM66 · SOFT64.5L
1Pakenham1400m29 May 2026 · 0 - 66 · HEAVY8-1.8

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 57% better than Career Avg.
Key Rider
Positive
Nadia Daniels 75% above market expected in L100 Rides
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 24% POT in L100 Runners
Key Jockey
Positive
Nadia Daniels winning at 54% POT in last 100 rides
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Raced in back half and was never in a position to mount a serious challenge at Ballarat. Best viewed as a rough place hope.

ILB

Odds of $16.00 and lost ground in the run home when 9th last run at Ballarat. Has the ability to turn things around. Should jump out and bowl along. Strong claims in this.

Likes this combination of C&D; form has an up and down look to it; not beaten that far at Ballarat over 6f (handicap) on his debut for new trainer 21 days ago; he can be taken on as a few rivals look in good form.

RSIS

Started at 15/1 and couldn't maintain the pace when 9th last time at Ballarat. Giving another chance here. Expecting to settle positively. Goes well and could be a value opportunity.

5British ColumbiaJ: Logan Mcneil·T: D M Noonan1361kg11 8 7 9 936: 5-6-2$26.00$7.00

Career

36: 5-6-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
9: 0-3-0
Second-up
8: 1-0-1
Third-up
7: 2-1-0
Fourth-up
5: 0-1-0
Track Kyneton
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat
1: 0-1-0
Track Geelong
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
5: 0-0-0
Distance 1700m
3: 1-0-1
Distance 1800m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
21: 2-6-1
Going Heavy
5: 1-0-0
Going Soft
10: 2-0-1

Last starts

9Sandown1500m29 July 2026 · BM66 · HEAVY1013.1L
9Cranbourne1400m16 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY99.3L
7Rosehill1500m17 Jan 2026 · 3UP BM78 HCP · HEAVY86.5L
8Flemington1400m10 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD36L
11Cranbourne1500m27 Dec 2025 · BM70 · GOOD39.5L
5Sandown1200m10 Dec 2025 · Benchmark 66 · GOOD42.1L
5Kilmore1200m23 Nov 2025 · 3UP BM66 HCP · SOFT73.3L
6Kyneton1203m5 Nov 2025 · 3yo+ · HEAVY86.9L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -70% POT in their L100 Races
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Track Stats
Positive
Excels at this track
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Resuming (13-weeks). Ex Gavin Bedggood in Victoria. Prefer to see.

ILB

First up today. Started at $11.00 and faded to finish 9th last time at Sandown. Racing for a new trainer. Will need to find a new peak.

Beaten 13l in ninth over 7½f at Sandown (handicap) three months ago; a course winner; this is his level; starts out for new yard; on the shortlist with a bit more luck as excuses last time (crowded).

RSIS

First run back from a break. At 10/1 faded to finish 9th last time at Sandown. Racing for a new trainer.

6Panda's SpectrumJ: Jackson Radley·T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes1261kg2 1 1 3 186: 2-1-1$8.00$2.75

Career

6: 2-1-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Morphettville
1: 0-0-1
Track Cranbourne
1: 0-1-0
Track Seymour
1: 1-0-0
Distance 2200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2546m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1450m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 1-0-0
Going Soft
3: 1-1-1

Last starts

18Eagle Farm2200m6 June 2026 · 3yo · GOOD417.1L
3Morphettville2546m9 May 2026 · 3yo · SOFT61.2L
1Mornington2020m28 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-0.4
1Seymour1600m13 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT5-0.8
2Cranbourne1600m27 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT60.4L
5Kilmore1450m6 Mar 2026 · 3YF MDN-SW · GOOD42.8L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Hot Trainer
Positive
Ben, Will & Jd Hayes in good form, out performing market 53%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 40% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 20%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Kicks off second campaign (20-weeks). Stakes-placed in first prep. Include on class alone.

ILB

First run back from a break. Jumped at $101.00 and was well beaten when 18th last run at Eagle Farm but has been racing in stronger company. Entitled to be big odds.

Finished last of 18 five months ago when dropped to 1m3f at Eagle Farm in a Group 1; back from an absence here; should not be far away as she knows how to get her head in front and dropping in class.

RSIS

Fresh after a break. Odds of 100/1 and looked outclassed when 18th last start at Eagle Farm but drops back to a suitable class. Down in trip.

7ShidanJ: Daniel Stackhouse·T: Adele Garraway561kg1 5 2 8 518: 3-2-1$7.50$2.65

Career

18: 3-2-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating60%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
4: 0-0-0
Second-up
3: 1-0-0
Third-up
2: 1-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Stony Creek
1: 0-0-0
Track Moe
2: 0-0-0
Track Caulfield Heath
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1540m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
6: 0-2-1
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
9: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
2: 2-0-0
Going Soft
7: 1-2-1

Last starts

5Cranbourne1300m9 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD36.15L
8Caulfield Heath1200m16 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD43.55L
2Pakenham1600m15 May 2026 · 2UP BM66 · SOFT50.8L
5Pakenham1600m1 May 2026 · 0-66 · GOOD42.4L
1Pakenham1400m16 Apr 2026 · BM62 · HEAVY8-0.2
1Pakenham1400m19 Mar 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SOFT5-3.8
4Sale1427m1 Mar 2026 · BM62 · SOFT64.3L
6Pakenham1200m19 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD44.1L

Insights

Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 5%
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 146%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 23%
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 36% in L100 rides
Form 3rd Up
Positive
Has won 1 from 2 when third up

Comments

AAP

Fitter for those two runs and ready to show best. Unbeaten at track and distance. Can challenge.

ILB

Started at $16.00 and moved ahead of some to finish 5th last time at Cranbourne and will be well suited at the trip. Not at all out of this race.

Beaten a fair way when fifth over 6½f at Cranbourne (handicap) three weeks ago; yet to taste defeat over this C&D, winning on all two attempts; facing a testing assignment and he can be taken on.

RSIS

Started at 15/1 and showed some merit late when 5th last run at Cranbourne and proven performer at this trip. Daniel Stackhouse is a suitable booking. Watch for a sign in the market.

8Empressive EnuffJ: Jake Noonan·T: Reece Goodwin1160.5kg4 3 3 3 346: 5-6-6$11.00$3.50

Career

46: 5-6-6

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
6: 0-1-1
Second-up
5: 1-1-2
Third-up
4: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-0
Track Stawell
1: 1-0-0
Track Caulfield Heath
1: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham Synthetic
2: 0-0-1
Distance 955m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
7: 0-1-0
Distance 1100m
4: 1-1-0
Going Good
31: 4-4-3
Going Heavy
1: 1-0-0
Going Soft
9: 0-2-0

Last starts

3Cranbourne1400m16 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD34.5L
3Pakenham Synthetic1200m5 Oct 2026 · BM62 · SYNTHETIC1L
3Ballarat Synthetic1400m30 June 2026 · Benchmark 62 · SYNTHETIC3.8L
3Ballarat Synthetic1200m21 June 2026 · BM62 · SYNTHETIC0.8L
4Pakenham Synthetic1200m15 June 2026 · BM62 · SYNTHETIC2.6L
11Pakenham1200m15 May 2026 · 2UP BM66 HCP · SOFT55.9L
5Sandown1200m15 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT53.8L
6Caulfield Heath1600m18 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD44.2L

Insights

Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 20%
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
Racing Solidly
Positive
In peak form

Comments

AAP

In touch, winner cleared out but he kept fighting on at Cranbourne second-up. This looks more demanding.

ILB

Ran 3rd last run at Cranbourne. Should race on the speed. Placed at every start this campaign. Entitled to be a big price.

Not disgraced when third at 20-1 at Cranbourne two weeks ago; recent efforts have generally been solid.

RSIS

Tidy run when 3rd last run at Cranbourne. Should come to hand quickly. Has not missed the money of late in 2 attempts.

9Discover LupinoJ: N.r·T: C I Brown1460kg3 6 3 14: 1-0-2$13.00$4.00

Career

4: 1-0-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
2: 1-0-1
Track Geelong
1: 1-0-0
Track Cranbourne
1: 0-0-1
Track Seymour
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1300m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1325m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
2: 1-0-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

1Geelong1325m23 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD3-0.1
3Stawell1300m18 May 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · HEAVY97L
6Seymour1300m13 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT54.9L
3Cranbourne1200m20 Mar 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD34L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 4%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -60% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 52%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 60% Profit on Turnover
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Kept fresh since resuming. Drove hard late to nail a narrow win at Geelong first run back. Others with stronger claims.

ILB

Strong effort to the line to win last run at Geelong but competing at a higher grade. Prefers to settle towards the tail. Displaying improvement over the past few runs. Unlikely to go close.

Scored narrowly in a maiden at Geelong when registering his first success at the fourth time of asking last month; should figure.

RSIS

Ran over the top of them when winning last run at Geelong and on an upward trajectory in recent races. Might have to make up considerable ground.

10DundonaldJ: Patrick Moloney·T: G M Moloney1560kg2 2 3 1 215: 2-3-2$21.00$6.00

Career

15: 2-3-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating40%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 1-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham
3: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
3: 0-0-0
Track Cranbourne
2: 1-0-0
Distance 2060m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2200m
5: 0-3-2
Distance 2100m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
9: 1-1-1
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
4: 1-2-1

Last starts

2Pakenham Synthetic2200m20 July 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC0.3L
1Ballarat Synthetic2100m14 July 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC-1.8
3Pakenham Synthetic2200m29 June 2026 · BM66 · SYNTHETIC0.3L
2Pakenham Synthetic2200m15 June 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SYNTHETIC0.4L
2Bendigo2200m29 May 2026 · 0 - 62 · GOOD40.4L
8Werribee2720m14 May 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD48.2L
4Pakenham2500m23 Apr 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · GOOD42L
7Cranbourne2060m10 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT68.6L

Insights

Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 20%
Dist Drop
Negative
Distance decrease from last start
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Racing Strongly
Positive
Racing in great shape

Comments

AAP

First-up (14-weeks). Not a known fresh performer and this is well short of win range. Shapes as a rough place prospect fresh in this line-up.

ILB

Had a break from racing and returns to competition. Just shy of the win last start at Pakenham Synthetic but coming back in trip. Better to look elsewhere.

Favourite and only narrowly beaten over 1m3f here (handicap) in July.

RSIS

Back after a break. Close to claiming the win last run at Pakenham Synthetic but will be down in distance.

11Jewel BayJ: Lachlan Neindorf·T: Andrea Leek1660kg4 6 12 9 636: 5-5-6$13.00$4.00

Career

36: 5-5-6

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
6: 2-2-1
Second-up
5: 0-2-2
Third-up
5: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
4: 1-0-0
Track Ballarat
1: 0-0-0
Track Geelong
3: 0-0-1
Track Morphettville
3: 2-1-0
Distance 1200m
9: 3-0-2
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1312m
1: 0-0-1
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
20: 1-4-4
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

6Cranbourne1400m23 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD37.55L
9Geelong1500m11 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD45.3L
12Sale1717m21 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT69.8L
6Caulfield Heath1500m8 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM70 HCP · SOFT64.7L
4Cranbourne1400m16 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY93.7L
1Cranbourne1400m21 June 2026 · BM62 · SOFT7-1
5Mornington1200m8 June 2026 · BM70 · SOFT73.2L
8Pakenham1200m15 May 2026 · 2UP BM66 HCP · SOFT52.7L

Insights

Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 34% lower than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 117%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 24% POT in L100 Runners
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Fitness
Positive
At peak fitness backing up

Comments

AAP

Backing up quickly. Ordinary performance in small field at Cranbourne over this distance. Needs to up his game.

ILB

On a quick turnaround. Jumped at $71.00 and struggled with the pace when 6th last start at Cranbourne but stepping down to a lower level. Others much better.

Last of six at Cranbourne a week ago; largely disappointing since successful in a handicap at Cranbourne four months ago; others appeal more as has a lot on his plate here.

RSIS

On a short back up. Started at 70/1 and weakened under pressure when 6th last run at Cranbourne but back in an easier grade. Up in weight.

12The Flying PopovJ: Jye Mcneil·T: C J Waller760kg2 6 9 6 68: 1-1-0$4.20$1.80

Career

8: 1-1-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Sandown
1: 0-0-0
Track Geelong
3: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1150m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1225m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
7: 1-1-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

6Cranbourne1200m16 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD31.67L
6Geelong1300m11 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.5L
9Sandown1600m6 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD43.7L
6Caulfield Heath1000m26 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)6.5L
2Pakenham1400m19 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.2L
1Seymour1429m3 Feb 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD3-2
6Geelong1225m20 Jan 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD38L
8Pakenham1200m9 Jan 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD33.7L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -26% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 6% POT in L100 Runners
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start

Comments

AAP

Fitter for those two runs and ready to show best. Makes a strong case in this company.

ILB

Jumped at $11.00 and finished 6th last run at Cranbourne. Will be giving the leaders a big start. Looks hopeful.

Admirably consistent; not disgraced when sixth over 6f at Cranbourne (handicap) 14 days ago; others appeal more given many of his rivals are in good form.

RSIS

Odds of 10/1 and finished 6th last start at Cranbourne. Gets back and needs luck.

13Russian FrontJ: N.r·T: Andrea Leek1060kg5 4 4 1 537: 4-8-2$9.00$3.00

Career

37: 4-8-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating100%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
6: 1-1-0
Second-up
5: 0-3-0
Third-up
4: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-1-0
Track Pakenham Synthetic
1: 1-0-0
Track Geelong
7: 1-1-0
Track Morphettville
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1208m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1312m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
23: 3-6-1
Going Heavy
3: 0-1-0
Going Soft
10: 0-1-1

Last starts

5Kyneton1479m20 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD31.85L
1Pakenham Synthetic1400m5 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC-3.5
4Moe1200m24 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.1L
4Geelong1300m11 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.6L
5Sale1200m21 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT62.9L
5Moe1200m13 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · HEAVY107.5L
4Sandown1200m2 Aug 2026 · BM66 · SOFT73.8L
2Moe1217m21 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY90.4L

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 46%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 24% POT in L100 Runners
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Kept finding the line without threatening at Kyneton. Highly rated in this line-up.

ILB

At $3.30 ran 5th last time at Kyneton. Should bounce back. Good chance in this.

Useful in this grade; winning form over C&D; respectable fifth at Kyneton over 7½f (handicap) last week.

RSIS

At 9/4 came in 5th last time at Kyneton. Giving another chance here. Can win.

14Jenni PoppinsJ: Beau Mertens·T: Lloyd Kennewell157.5kg2 2 2 1 77: 1-3-0$8.00$2.75

Career

7: 1-3-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
2: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Pakenham
2: 0-2-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-2-0
Track Sale
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1113m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-2-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
3: 1-2-0
Going Soft
2: 0-1-0

Last starts

7Cranbourne1300m9 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD37.5L
1Bendigo1600m5 July 2026 · MDN-SW · HEAVY9-2
2Sale1400m10 June 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY83.8L
2Pakenham1200m22 May 2026 · 2UP F&M MDN-SW · SOFT62L
2Pakenham1200m16 Apr 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · HEAVY81.5L
2Traralgon950m9 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)0.1L
4Sale1113m25 June 2025 · 2Y MDN-SW · SOFT64.6L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -77% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 22%
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well

Comments

AAP

Failed to threaten (wide draw) at Cranbourne first up. Profiles well and worth another go.

ILB

Started $10.00 and looked outclassed when 7th last start at Cranbourne but gets the perfect alley. Making up the numbers.

Finished just behind Shidan when seventh over 6½f at Cranbourne (handicap) three weeks ago; has kicked on in her last couple of races; runs for only the second time in a handicap.

RSIS

Started at 9/1 and faded away to finish 7th last time at Cranbourne but drawn beautifully.

15Count Of ToulouseJ: Jackie Beriman·T: Dale Short459kg6 7 7 1 1035: 6-1-2$26.00$7.00

Career

35: 6-1-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating40%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
5: 1-0-0
Second-up
4: 1-0-0
Third-up
4: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat Synthetic
2: 0-0-0
Track Geelong
2: 0-1-0
Track Mornington
5: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
13: 3-0-1
Distance 1235m
1: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
4: 1-0-0
Going Soft
7: 4-0-0
Going Synthetic
7: 1-0-0

Last starts

10Moe1600m13 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · HEAVY1018.7L
1Bairnsdale1600m13 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT7-0.8
7Pakenham Synthetic1600m15 June 2026 · BM62 · SYNTHETIC3.4L
7Moe1600m28 May 2026 · 0 - 62 · HEAVY109L
6Sale1717m3 May 2026 · 0 - 62 · GOOD36.3L
3Cranbourne1600m24 Apr 2026 · BM62 · GOOD40.3L
8Mornington1500m5 Apr 2026 · BM56 · GOOD32.9L
1Yarra Valley1500m24 Mar 2026 · BM56 · SOFT5-1.75

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 80%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 11% POT in L100 Runners
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Let-up (78-days). No threat as a $11 chance at Moe. Others more persuasive.

ILB

Resuming after a spell. At $11.00 tailed off to finish 10th last run at Moe on a heavy surface and testing ability against stronger contenders. Very unlikely.

Out of the frame when tenth over 1m at Moe (handicap) in August; has won at this track.

RSIS

Resuming after a break. Started at 10/1 and gave away some ground when 10th last run at Moe on a heavy rated track.

16Cool SavannaJ: Ben Allen·T: Peter Gelagotis258.5kg6 1 6 74: 1-0-0$12.00$3.80

Career

4: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating20%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Bendigo
2: 0-0-0
Track Geelong
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1300m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1312m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1343m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 1-0-0

Last starts

7Bendigo1300m13 May 2026 · 2yo+ · GOOD47.6L
6Geelong1343m1 May 2026 · 2UP CL1 HCP · GOOD47.7L
1Geelong1312m10 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT5-1.8
6Bendigo1300m27 Mar 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD41.87L

Insights

Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 22%
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Second campaign (24-weeks). Recent Pakenham jumpout winner. Locally trained and must be respected.

ILB

Resuming after a break. Jumped at $51.00 and ordinary performance when 7th last time at Bendigo but has a positive gate. Needs a lot of luck to figure in the finish.

Lightly raced (this just his fifth race); beaten 8l when seventh of eight over 6½f at Bendigo (handicap) in May; layoff to overcome.

RSIS

Back from a break. Was 50/1 and ordinary performance when 7th last start at Bendigo but drawn nicely.

Odds correct as at Fri 30 Oct, 5:20 am AEDT. Odds can change.