Pakenham (VIC) horses tips & previews

30 Oct, 5:26 am AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Pakenham (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Fri 30 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT

Race 6 — Kia Ora Stud (Bm62) 1000m · jumps Fri 30 Oct, 8:15 pm AEDT

Race notes

3yo+,BM62,BM62 HCP,Benchmark 62
SOFT7
Fine
13 runners

Shortest win price

Bel Lupa (10)

4.40

Most career wins

Bifrost

6-8-5 from 53 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

10Bel Lupa

Midfield

12Heartattack Jack
11Simply Steffi

Offpace

1Les Braves
5Bifrost

Onpace

3Abovethefrostline
8Eureka Rose
9Nitro Sonic
6Watten Assett

Leader

2Mafee
4Sharing Moments
7Ain't A Bad Day
13Nordic Strike

Les Braves · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 7% better than Career Avg.
Mafee · Negative
Jockey Booking
Less suitable jockey engaged
Abovethefrostline · Negative
Current SR
Rider’s recent POT is returning 49% lower than Career Avg.
Sharing Moments · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -31% POT in their L100 Races

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Les BravesJ: Caitlin Hollowood·T: R D Griffiths662kg2 2 8 4 110: 2-3-0$5.50$2.15

Career

10: 2-3-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating50%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
3: 2-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Cranbourne
2: 0-2-0
Track Seymour
4: 1-1-0
Track Ballarat
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
4: 1-2-0
Distance 1210m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
3: 0-1-0
Going Good
9: 2-3-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

1Ballarat1000m9 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD4-0.75
4Pakenham1100m5 Feb 2026 · CL1 · GOOD41.8L
8Seymour1300m15 Jan 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD34.6L
2Seymour1300m28 Dec 2025 · BM62 · GOOD40.1L
2Cranbourne1200m12 Dec 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD30.8L
2Cranbourne1200m5 Dec 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD30.5L
4Seymour1300m13 Nov 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.8L
1Seymour1200m12 Oct 2025 · 4YU MDN-SW · GOOD4-2

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 7% better than Career Avg.
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 216%
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Genuine performer with a good record. Stronger challenge here but stays under notice.

ILB

Rocketed home when winning last start at Ballarat and showing improvement in recent outings. Can win this.

Ended losing spell when landing a handicap over this trip by three-quarters of a length at Ballarat 21 days ago; has a chance.

RSIS

Finished well when winning last time at Ballarat and on an upward trajectory in recent races. Good chance of taking this out.

2MafeeJ: Beau Mertens·T: Reece Goodwin561kg9 6 4 3 523: 3-3-3$11.00$3.50

Career

23: 3-3-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating50%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-1-0
Track Morphettville
1: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham
2: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1250m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1447m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
5: 1-1-0
Going Good
8: 0-1-2
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
6: 0-1-1

Last starts

5Morphettville1250m19 Sept 2026 · BM64 · GOOD43.52L
3Mornington1200m4 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SOFT53L
4Pakenham Synthetic1100m16 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SYNTHETIC0.92L
6Pakenham Synthetic1100m3 Aug 2026 · BM62 · SYNTHETIC1.8L
9Ballarat Synthetic1000m14 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC7.91L
1Pakenham Synthetic1000m22 June 2026 · BM62 · SYNTHETIC-0.8
2Pakenham Synthetic1000m15 June 2026 · BM62 · SYNTHETIC2L
2Geelong1100m22 May 2026 · 2UP BM62 HCP · SOFT50.3L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -40% POT in their L100 Races
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Dist Drop
Negative
Distance decrease from last start
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 41 days
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Fresh. Got the wobbles and faded out of the placings at Morphettville Parks. Does best work on the synthetic.

ILB

At $6.50 was well beaten when 5th last time at Morphettville and back in trip. Likely to be well placed early. Has to cope with a weight increase. Watch the betting.

Can boast winning form over this C&D; fair effort when beaten 3½l, finishing fifth of eight at Morphettville over 6f (handicap) six weeks ago; unlikely to achieve more than just a supporting role as a few rivals look in good form.

RSIS

Started 11/2 and faded to finish 5th last run at Morphettville and back to a shorter distance. Should race on the pace. Rises in weight. Could feature here.

3AbovethefrostlineJ: Jason Maskiell·T: J D Sadler460kg9 5 1 8 914: 3-2-0$26.00$5.00

Career

14: 3-2-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating50%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
6: 1-2-0
Second-up
3: 1-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Mornington
7: 1-2-0
Track Cranbourne
2: 0-0-0
Track Seymour
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
12: 2-2-0
Distance 1009m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
6: 2-1-0
Going Heavy
2: 1-0-0
Going Soft
6: 0-1-0

Last starts

9Seymour1000m11 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT56.96L
8Mornington1000m25 May 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT54.5L
1Mornington1000m28 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-1
5Mornington1000m5 Apr 2026 · BM56 · GOOD34.4L
9Mornington1000m23 Oct 2025 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SOFT57L
6Seymour1000m12 Oct 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.3L
2Mornington1000m18 Sept 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD34.8L
1Moonee Valley1000m7 Mar 2025 · Class 1 · GOOD4-1.75

Insights

Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 49% lower than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 64% in L100 rides
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Started $31 when safely held in Benchmark 62 company at Seymour for new trainer. Not fancied.

ILB

Started at $31.00 and weakened under pressure when 9th last start at Seymour. Displays good tactical speed. Prefer in something a lot easier.

Found life tough when 7l back in ninth at Seymour three weeks ago on debut for this trainer; successful three times from 14 career runs; likely to go well despite defeats on last two starts as she scored three runs back.

RSIS

Started at 30/1 and didn't threaten when 9th last time at Seymour. Will be positive in the run early.

4Sharing MomentsJ: Damian Lane·T: Scott Cameron960kg3 2 1 1 75: 2-1-1$4.60$1.90

Career

5: 2-1-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed100%
Rating50%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
3: 1-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
1: 1-0-0
Track Cranbourne
2: 1-0-0
Track Kyneton
1: 0-0-1
Distance 955m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
5: 2-1-1

Last starts

7Cranbourne955m25 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · GOOD44.62L
1Cranbourne955m30 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD3-1.8
1Pakenham1000m6 Mar 2025 · Maiden · GOOD4-0.02
2Ballarat1100m23 Feb 2025 · Maiden · GOOD41.25L
3Kyneton1103m1 Feb 2025 · Maiden · GOOD41.71L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -31% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 20%
Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Lightly raced 5yo with share of ability. Flemington jumpout winner during break. Can show more here.

ILB

Started $6.50 and didn't find the line when 7th last time at Cranbourne but good career start. Has early speed and positions nicely. Could feature here.

Likes this combination of C&D; may still have more to offer with few miles on the clock; fair effort when beaten 4½l, finishing seventh of eight at Cranbourne last month; difficult to oppose with a bit more luck as excuses last time (hampered) and she knows how to get the job done.

RSIS

Started 11/2 and lost ground in the run home when 7th last time at Cranbourne but good career start. Should jump out and bowl along. Has some claims.

5BifrostJ: Brad Rawiller·T: E & D Browne159.5kg6 4 2 2 353: 6-8-5$9.00$3.00

Career

53: 6-8-5

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating50%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
10: 2-2-0
Second-up
9: 1-2-1
Third-up
7: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
6: 1-0-0
Track Flemington
6: 0-0-1
Track Casterton
1: 0-0-0
Track Stawell
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 955m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1013m
1: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
2: 1-0-0
Going Good
32: 3-4-3
Going Heavy
3: 0-0-0

Last starts

3Mornington1000m22 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD33L
2Ballarat1000m9 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD40.75L
2Warrnambool1000m21 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.5L
4Murtoa1200m25 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT76.4L
6Sale1013m9 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY94.1L
6Pakenham Synthetic1000m22 June 2026 · BM62 · SYNTHETIC1.9L
2Donald1000m9 June 2026 · BM62 · SOFT70.1L
12Warrnambool1000m6 May 2026 · 2UP BM66 HCP · HEAVY108.4L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -54% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 22%
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Honest
Positive
Finishing in the money lately

Comments

AAP

A few runs under his belt this campaign, could give some cheek at odds.

ILB

On a short turnaround. Good performance to run into 3rd last start at Mornington and drawn beautifully. Will be a tough ask.

Has won previously at this course; far from disgraced (beaten 3l) at Mornington last Thursday; may have to settle for supporting role as regularly been coming up a bit short lately.

RSIS

On a short turnaround. Put in a competitive run when placing 3rd last start at Mornington and drawn nicely.

6Watten AssettJ: Jamie Mott·T: Simon Zahra1159kg8 1 2 4 410: 1-4-0$7.50$2.65

Career

10: 1-4-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating50%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 1-1-0
Third-up
2: 0-2-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Echuca
1: 0-1-0
Track Kilmore
1: 0-0-0
Track Sale
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1113m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1170m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
2: 1-1-0
Going Good
4: 0-3-0
Going Soft
4: 0-0-0

Last starts

4Seymour1000m11 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT53.15L
4Sale1006m13 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.7L
2Pakenham Synthetic1000m24 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · SYNTHETIC0.2L
1Pakenham Synthetic1000m10 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC-0.8
8Sale1100m26 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT64.1L
2Werribee1100m17 Feb 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD45.3L
2Wangaratta1170m18 Jan 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD30.1L
2Echuca1100m31 Dec 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD30.3L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -49% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 15% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 20%
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Battled home okay at Seymour over this trip. Right in this with even luck.

ILB

Started $17.00 and advanced late into 4th last start at Seymour. Watch betting.

Suited by this C&D; producing solid form figures; finished in front of two of these (Seymour) when not beaten far three weeks ago; makes limited appeal as this looks a fair heat.

RSIS

Started 16/1 and chased well when 4th last time at Seymour. Respect the betting.

7Ain't A Bad DayJ: Bailey Kinninmont·T: Matthew Brown258.5kg8 6 13 10 16: 1-1-0$31.00$5.50

Career

6: 1-1-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating50%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Mornington
2: 0-0-0
Track Sale
1: 0-0-0
Track Seymour
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
5: 1-1-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
4: 1-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-1-0

Last starts

1Bairnsdale1000m12 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT7-0.75
10Mornington1000m4 Sept 2026 · 4UP MDN-SW · SOFT514.9L
13Sale1100m21 Aug 2026 · 4yo+ · SOFT65.3L
6Colac1000m1 Mar 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT712L
8Mornington1000m5 Dec 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD34L
2Seymour1000m13 Nov 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.8L

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 62%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 20% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 14%
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Dictated terms in recording a gritty win at Bairnsdale. Just out of his maiden and facing tougher challenge here.

ILB

Dictated the tempo when winning by 3/4L last run at Bairnsdale and can find a nice position from the draw. Should race on the speed. Rising in class. Tough ask.

Seems to be improving based on last two runs; narrow success in a maiden, breaking his duck at the sixth time of asking (Bairnsdale) two weeks ago; others have more pressing claims despite that win at Bairnsdale.

RSIS

Controlled the pace to win by 3/4L last run at Bairnsdale and can find a nice position from the draw. Won't be far away during the run.

8Eureka RoseJ: Nathan Punch·T: Brian Mcgrath1358kg8 5 13: 1-0-0$21.00$4.60

Career

3: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating50%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 1-0-0
Track Pakenham Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 1-0-0

Last starts

1Pakenham1000m1 May 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · GOOD4-0.5
5Pakenham1000m2 Apr 2026 · 3UP F&M MDN-SW · GOOD45.4L
8Pakenham Synthetic1100m28 July 2025 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC8.1L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 9%
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 82%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 20%
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Form At Track
Positive
1 time winner here at Pakenham
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

First-up (26-weeks). Has an adverse draw for return. Untested in wet. Keener on others.

ILB

First up after a break of 26 weeks. Rocketed home when winning last run at the track but challenged by a tougher grade. Form has been improving over recent runs. Better to look elsewhere.

Opened account at the third time of asking in a maiden when springing a surprise to win at 18-1 in May; returns from a layoff here; must be respected.

RSIS

First run back after a 26 week break. Stormed home to win last time at this venue and form has been improving over recent runs.

9Nitro SonicJ: Daniel Stackhouse·T: Jason Warren1057kg5 2 3 1 55: 1-0-1$9.00$3.00

Career

5: 1-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed80%
Rating50%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Echuca
1: 0-0-1
Track Mornington
2: 1-0-0
Track Pakenham
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 1-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
4: 1-0-1

Last starts

5Mornington1200m8 June 2026 · 2Y HCP · SOFT74.3L
1Mornington1200m25 May 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT5-1
3Echuca1000m11 May 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · SOFT50.9L
2Caulfield Heath850m23 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)2.3L
5Terang1000m12 Apr 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · HEAVY106.8L
7Pakenham1100m19 Mar 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · SOFT54.6L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Hot Trainer
Positive
Jason Warren in good form, out performing market 110%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 86% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 20%
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Second campaign (20-weeks). Recent Mornington jumpout winner. Don't dismiss on resumption.

ILB

Fresh today after a break. Jumped at $4.20 and finished 5th last run at Mornington. Should muster plenty of early speed. Needs a lot of luck.

Didn't run too badly when out of the frame at Mornington (beaten just over 4l) over 6f (handicap) five months ago; appears to be on the upgrade judged on two most recent runs; this only his second handicap outing; returns from a break here; not hard to turn elsewhere.

RSIS

First run back after a break. Started at 10/3 and came in 5th last time at Mornington. Expecting to settle positively.

10Bel LupaJ: Lachlan Neindorf·T: G Eurell756.5kg1 11 5 8 69: 1-2-0$4.40$1.85

Career

9: 1-2-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating50%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
3: 1-1-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 1-0-0
Track Benalla
1: 0-1-0
Track Bendigo
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1206m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
4: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
6: 1-1-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-1-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

6Seymour1000m11 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT55.15L
8Caulfield Heath1000m20 May 2026 · 3Y BM64 · SOFT62.3L
5Caulfield Heath1200m29 Apr 2026 · 3Y BM64 · GOOD43.46L
11Caulfield1200m4 Apr 2026 · 3Y FILLIES HCP · GOOD35.7L
1Pakenham1000m12 Mar 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD4-2.8
1Caulfield Heath1000m25 Feb 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-1
5Seymour1200m12 Oct 2025 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD49.1L
2Benalla1206m26 Sept 2025 · 3YF MDN-SW · GOOD30.8L

Insights

Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 7%
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are winning 32% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 27%
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Strips in better shape. Usually gets back. Could get into the placings.

ILB

Jumped at $4.40 and ran 6th last time at Seymour. Has a great burst of speed late. One of the punters top hopes.

Beaten a fair way when sixth at Seymour three weeks ago; has scored over C&D; slumped a bit since winning a maiden at Pakenham in March; this line-up contains some strong opposition so others are preferred.

RSIS

Started 10/3 and finished 6th last run at Seymour. Displays very good closing pace. Hard to see finishing out of the placings.

11Simply SteffiJ: Fred W Kersley·T: C W Mcdonald356.5kg7 1 5 6 115: 1-0-0$8.00$2.75

Career

5: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed20%
Rating50%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Cranbourne
1: 1-0-0
Track Caulfield
2: 0-0-0
Track Sandown
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
4: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 1-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

11Caulfield1200m27 Sept 2026 · 3yo · GOOD414.66L
6Sandown1000m9 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT73.25L
5Flemington1000m7 Mar 2026 · 2yo · GOOD32.5L
1Cranbourne1000m20 Feb 2026 · 2Y HCP · GOOD3-1.3
7Caulfield1000m29 Nov 2025 · 2yo · SOFT62.8L

Insights

Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

AAP

Fresh. Was a long way from the action in 1200m Scarborough Stakes at Caulfield. Significantly back in grade and can atone.

ILB

At $31.00 lost ground in the run home when 11th last start at Caulfield but back in an easier grade. Could be in the mix.

Finished last of 11 over 6f at Caulfield (Group 3) last month; dropping in class but one to tread carefully with.

RSIS

At 30/1 folded up in the straight when 11th last run at Caulfield but matched against a less competitive field. Not at all out of this race.

12Heartattack JackJ: Carleen Hefel·T: D J Walkley855kg3 4 7 3 728: 1-2-4$51.00$8.50

Career

28: 1-2-4

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating50%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
5: 1-1-0
Second-up
4: 0-0-1
Third-up
4: 0-1-1
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham
1: 0-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-1
Track Sale
4: 0-0-0
Distance 1008m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1009m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1018m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
14: 0-2-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-2
Going Soft
8: 1-0-1

Last starts

7Yarra Valley1009m24 Oct 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT54.56L
3Bairnsdale1000m12 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · SOFT71.05L
7Pakenham Synthetic1000m5 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC3.75L
4Bairnsdale1000m20 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD31.81L
3Moe1008m8 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY82.8L
8Sale1100m21 Aug 2026 · 0-56 · SOFT64.1L
6Pakenham Synthetic1000m10 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC9.9L
8Yarra Valley1009m21 Feb 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD48L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 4%
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 68%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 49%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 46% Profit on Turnover
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Primed
Positive
Fitter here racing on a quick back up

Comments

AAP

On a short back-up. Long winning drought and others with stronger claims.

ILB

Racing on a quick back up. Jumped at $19.00 and looked flat when 7th last time at Yarra Valley and testing ability against stronger contenders. Facing a difficult task.

Not beaten too far when seventh at Yarra Glen on Saturday; has lacked consistency of late and one win to his name was achieved a fair way back; meeting some horses in good form and there are better alternatives here.

RSIS

Backs up quickly. Odds of 18/1 and basic showing when 7th last time at Yarra Vstall and facing a stronger grade.

13Nordic StrikeJ: Jabez Johnstone·T: C Maher1261.5kg5 2 9 2 312: 2-3-3$5.00$2.00

Career

12: 2-3-3

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed100%
Rating50%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
3: 1-1-0
Second-up
2: 1-0-1
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-1-1
Track Caulfield Heath
1: 0-0-0
Track Echuca
1: 0-0-1
Track Geelong
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1000m
6: 0-2-2
Distance 1005m
1: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
6: 0-2-2
Going Soft
2: 0-1-0
Going Good
4: 2-0-1

Last starts

3Warrnambool1000m1 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY96.06L
2Geelong1147m28 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SOFT71L
9Caulfield Heath1100m8 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM74 HCP · SOFT68.6L
2Sandown1000m29 July 2026 · BM70 · HEAVY100.4L
5Sandown1000m15 July 2026 · 3Y BM64 · HEAVY91.7L
3Sale1005m28 June 2026 · BM70 · HEAVY80.6L
2Sale1000m10 June 2026 · 0 - 66 · HEAVY81.5L
3Echuca1000m8 Mar 2026 · 3UP BM70 · GOOD43.5L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -22% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 20%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

4 weeks since last run. Claiming apprentice engaged again. Right in the mix.

ILB

Put in a competitive run when placing 3rd last start at Warrnambool on a heavy track. Has the speed to overcome the wide alley. In fine form this preparation. Good potential.

Often been there or thereabouts lately; no impression when third of seven at Warrnambool four weeks ago.

RSIS

Ran home into 3rd beaten by just over 6L last run at Warrnambool. In fine form recently. Has the early pace to burn across from the wide draw. Great chance.

Odds correct as at Fri 30 Oct, 5:20 am AEDT. Odds can change.