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Scone (NSW) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Scone (NSW), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Wed 11 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Wed, 11 NovScone (NSW)Change

Race 1 — Kia Ora Plate (C1) 2200m · jumps

Race preview

Scone plays host to the Kia Ora Plate for Class 1 set-weight runners over 2200m on a Good 4 surface under fine skies, with the race scheduled for 1:25 pm AEDT. Looking at the early win market order, Tasman Deel heads the betting lines as the shortest runner, closely followed by Mission Strike, Quirky Princess, and Firealarm completing the order. Fortune favours the bold here, and the value sits with how this field maps out over the staying trip on a fine afternoon at Scone, where we are leaning into the proven form runners rather than backing blindly against the market's preferred elect.

Tasman Deel holds the ascendancy in the betting and brings compelling evidence for that position after streeting them at this venue over today's exact trip last start on soft ground, following a solid placing at Tamworth. Stepping from barrier 4 for the formidable stable of P Messara and L Gavranich with Aaron Bullock in the saddle, this runner posted the fastest overall finishing sectionals last start and hails from an in-form stable outperforming market expectations by 11%. On the other side of the coin, Mission Strike sits right behind in the market order from barrier 2 for trainer Adam Duggan and jockey Andrew Gibbons, looking for improvement second-run in Australia after a battling effort at Muswellbrook following a sound placing at Gosford over 2030m.

Digging deeper into the race shape, Firealarm is mapped to lead from barrier 3 for trainer Damien Smith and jockey Anna Weatherlake, but arrives with recent runs on soft and heavy tracks yielding unplaced finishes at Tamworth and Wauchope, making it tough to recommend them against sharper profiles. Meanwhile, Quirky Princess jumps from the inside gate 1 for trainer S I Singleton and jockey Mikayla Weir, having broken maiden ranks at Tamworth before a reasonable effort when battling home over this course and distance. With an in-form stable boasting a strong profit on turnover in recent runners, Quirky Princess represents the kind of value play where the market's missed a proper look at her inside draw and staying progression.

Race notes

  • CL1-SW,CLASS 1 SW,Class 1
  • GOOD4
  • Fine
  • 4 runners

Shortest win price

Tasman Deel (3)

1.20

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 5Quirky Princess
  • 7Mission Strike

Midfield

  • 3Tasman Deel

Leader

  • 1Firealarm

  • Firealarm · Negative

    Jockey Booking

    Anna Weatherlake current POT is 12% below Career Avg.

  • Tasman Deel · Positive

    Fast Finisher

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Quirky Princess · Positive

    Trainer ROI

    Runners from this stable currently going at 19% POT in L100 Runners

  • Mission Strike · Positive

    Fast Finisher

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1FirealarmJ: Anna Weatherlake·T: Damien Smith359kg7 12 4 5 541: 1-6-5$101.00$7.00

Career

41: 1-6-5

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Track Kempsey

    3: 0-1-1

  • Track Tuncurry

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Bowraville

    4: 0-1-1

  • Distance 1450m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1500m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1560m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    20: 0-4-2

  • Going Heavy

    5: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    9: 0-0-2

Last starts

  1. 5Tamworth1600m3 Nov 2026 · BM50 · SOFT68.09L
  2. 5Wauchope1800m17 Oct 2026 · BM45 · HEAVY911.31L
  3. 4Bowraville2200m19 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD32.8L
  4. 12Taree2000m14 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD412.7L
  5. 7Quirindi1600m4 Aug 2026 · CL1-SW · GOOD37.2L
  6. 6Muswellbrook1500m26 July 2026 · BM66 · GOOD49.1L
  7. 7Tuncurry2105m18 Apr 2026 · CL1-SW · SOFT610.8L
  8. 7Gosford2100m9 Apr 2026 · 3UP CL1-SW · GOOD411.6L

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Anna Weatherlake current POT is 12% below Career Avg.

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 2%

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 70%

  • Trainer Form

    Negative

    Stable out of form, losing 75% Profit on Turnover

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 29% in L100 rides

  • Increased Dist

    Positive

    Distance rise from last start

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Found it tough since shaking his maiden. Unable to make an impression on a soft deck at Tamworth. Others with greater appeal.

ILB

Backing up quickly for this race. Started $7.50 and subpar when 5th last time at Tamworth but returns to more ground. Likely to be well placed early. A difficult test here.

RP

Grade looks suitable; was fifth of seven, beaten 8l, in a handicap at Tamworth last week.

RSIS

On a quick back up. Started at 13/2 and sub-standard effort when 5th last time at Tamworth but coming back up in distance. Should come to hand quickly.

2My Greek GodScratched3––––

Rating · IRD

20

Comments

AAP

Ex Matthew Smith in NSW. Trailed, even finish at Illawarra Grange. Could get into the placings.

ILB

Jumped at $6.50 and came in 5th last start at Illawarra Grange and will have to carry extra weight. First start for a new trainer.

RSIS

Was 11/2 and ran 5th last run at Illawarra Grange and will have to carry more weight. First race for a new trainer.

3Tasman DeelJ: Aaron Bullock·T: P Messara & L Gavranich459kg3 4 2 3 15: 1-1-2$1.20$1.04

Career

5: 1-1-2

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Scone

    2: 1-0-1

  • Track CurrentTrack

    2: 1-0-1

  • Track Tamworth

    2: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1615m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    4: 1-1-2

Last starts

  1. 1Scone2200m23 Oct 2026 · CL1-SW · SOFT5-4.92
  2. 3Tamworth1600m12 Oct 2026 · CL1-SW · SOFT52.69L
  3. 2Taree1615m22 Sept 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · SOFT60.17L
  4. 4Tamworth1400m14 Sept 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD41.9L
  5. 3Scone1300m1 Sept 2026 · CTRY MDN · SOFT52.5L
  6. 6Muswellbrook1000m19 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)11.8L
  7. 3Tamworth1000m5 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)0.2L
  8. 3Scone800m11 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)3.2L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Form Trainer

    Positive

    In form stable, out performing market expectation by 11%

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 6% POT in L100 Runners

  • Margin LS

    Positive

    Won by a big margin last start

  • Lightly Raced

    Positive

    Limited race experience but shown potential

  • Track Stats

    Positive

    Excels at this track

  • Racing Solidly

    Positive

    In peak form

Comments

AAP

Streeted them this venue over today's trip. He can go on and win again.

ILB

Blitzed its rivals when winning by nearly 5L last run at this track and good career start. Aaron Bullock adds value. Racing consistently this preparation. The one to catch.

RP

Registered first success at the fifth time of asking when winning with a bit in hand upped to this distance last month; has raised his game the last twice; big chance.

RSIS

Blitzed its rivals when winning by close to 5L last start at this track and promising career start. In a purple patch of form since returning from a break. Strong bet. Will take a world of beating.

4PepperinaScratched5––––

Rating · IRD

20

Comments

AAP

Sent out $13 when unable to threaten at Muswellbrook. Usually gets back. Can fill the minors here.

ILB

Started $13.00 and weakened under pressure when 8th last start at Muswellbrook.

RSIS

Started 12/1 and didn't attack the line when 8th last start at Muswellbrook.

5Quirky PrincessJ: Mikayla Weir·T: S I Singleton157kg3 4 6 1 49: 1-1-2$13.00$2.00

Career

9: 1-1-2

Rating · IRD

79

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Newcastle

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Gunnedah

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Tuncurry

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 2100m

    2: 1-0-0

  • Distance 2105m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 2200m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    4: 1-0-2

  • Going Soft

    5: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 4Scone2200m23 Oct 2026 · CL1-SW · SOFT56.67L
  2. 1Tamworth2100m1 Oct 2026 · CL1-SW · GOOD4-2.99
  3. 6Tamworth2100m14 Sept 2026 · BM58 · GOOD46.9L
  4. 4Scone2200m1 Sept 2026 · CL1-SW · SOFT56.2L
  5. 3Newcastle1900m22 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.5L
  6. 9Gunnedah1400m14 Aug 2026 · CTRY MDN · SOFT68.2L
  7. 4Tamworth1000m5 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)0.3L
  8. 2Tuncurry2105m18 Apr 2026 · CL1-SW · SOFT61.6L

Insights

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 19% POT in L100 Runners

  • Nice Barrier

    Positive

    Well drawn from gate 1

Comments

AAP

Cleared maiden ranks at Tamworth 1 Oct. Started $3.60 when battled home in Class 1 company this track. Not out of this.

ILB

Was $3.60 and finished 4th last time here but will be aiming for a soft run from the draw. Will be hitting the line strongly. Watching with interest.

RP

Behind Tasman Deel when finishing fourth three weeks ago; has raised her game the last twice and can be a player at this level; deserves respect given she won a conditions race two runs back and had excuses last time (crowded).

RSIS

Started at 13/5 and came in 4th last start here but gets the perfect draw. Should be swooping on the field late.

6AphelionScratched7––––

Career

13: 0-2-1

Rating · IRD

77

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-2-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Dubbo

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Orange

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Gilgandra

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    5: 0-0-1

  • Distance 2100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Heavy

    4: 0-1-1

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Unknown

    1: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 9Dubbo1600m31 Oct 2026 · CL1-SW · GOOD37.29L
  2. 4Dubbo1600m2 Oct 2026 · CL1-SW · HEAVY83.72L
  3. 4Narromine1600m21 Sept 2026 · CL1-SW · GOOD32.75L
  4. 3Narromine1600m23 Aug 2026 · CL1-SW · HEAVY80.9L
  5. 6Gilgandra1200m1 Aug 2026 · MDN · GOOD43.7L
  6. 2Carinda1000m18 July 2026 · MDN0.4L
  7. 7Orange2100m9 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY1017.7L
  8. 8Parkes1600m24 Jan 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD45.9L

Comments

AAP

Failed to threaten at Dubbo. Super fit from racing, looks a safer place proposition.

ILB

At $15.00 ran 9th last run at Dubbo but facing a rise in trip.

RP

Still winless and defeats stacking up (13 on the bounce); held when ninth beaten 7l over 1m at Dubbo (conditions race) 11 days ago; trainer has been going through a quiet spell; others appeal more.

RSIS

Started 14/1 and finished 9th last start at Dubbo but facing a rise in trip.

7Mission StrikeJ: Andrew Gibbons·T: Adam Duggan256.5kg9 5 10 5 212: 0-2-1$4.60$1.32

Career

12: 0-2-1

Rating · IRD

83

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Muswellbrook

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Happy Valley

    6: 0-1-1

  • Track Sha Tin

    4: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1800m

    6: 0-1-1

  • Distance 2000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    10: 0-2-1

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 2Gosford2030m5 Nov 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.67L
  2. 5Muswellbrook1500m19 Oct 2026 · MDN · GOOD49.27L
  3. 10Happy Valley2200m3 Dec 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD4.5L
  4. 5Happy Valley1800m2 Nov 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD3.3L
  5. 9Sha Tin1800m19 Oct 2025 · 3UP CL4 RTG 60-40 HCP · GOOD5.3L
  6. 9Sha Tin1600m21 Sept 2025 · 3yo+ · SOFT4.5L
  7. 2Conghua1600m12 Sept 2025 · Barrier Trial · GOOD0.1L
  8. 8Conghua1200m29 Aug 2025 · Barrier Trial · GOOD5L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Stable In Form

    Positive

    Stable going well. Out performing market by 28%

  • Key Jockey

    Positive

    Andrew Gibbons winning at 12% POT in last 100 rides

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Nice Barrier

    Positive

    Well drawn from gate 2

  • Backup

    Positive

    Racing again inside one week

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Second run now in Australia. Ridden back and never a factor at Muswellbrook for new trainer. Better conditioned.

ILB

Backs up quickly. Did well to place 2nd last time at Gosford and has a good draw. Can go through the gears. Respect the betting.

RP

Good effort when 1½l second over 1m2f at Gosford (conditions race) on Thursday; winless in ten starts overseas.

RSIS

Backing up quickly. Did well to finish 2nd beaten by 1 3/4L last run at Gosford and has a good draw. Will be trying to topple them late. Can win.

8WoollenScratched6––––

Rating · IRD

20

Comments

AAP

Settled back and didn't figure in the Plate (C1) at Dubbo. Unexposed at trip. Not out of it.

ILB

Started at $5.00 and finished 8th last start at Dubbo but going over more ground.

RSIS

Started 4/1 and ran 8th last run at Dubbo but going over extra ground.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.

Past meetings

  • Mon 9 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT · 7 races
  • Fri 23 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races
  • Fri 25 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
  • Tue 1 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races