Shortest win price
Won'Thearmecoming (4)
3.00
Scone plays host to a competitive Class 1 handicap over 1100m on a Good 4 track under fine skies, with the race scheduled to jump at 4:54 pm AEDT. Looking at the early win market order, Won'Thearmecoming holds sway at the top of betting, followed closely by Cosmic Jinks, Putinacall, and Pure Motive leading the charge in what shapes as an intriguing betting puzzle for punters hunting some overs.
The market favorite Won'Thearmecoming is prepared by Angela Davies, who is performing above market expectations, and comes here second-up after a game effort at this venue when resuming behind a maiden win at Muswellbrook, boasting solid first-up and track stats. Alongside her, Putinacall for T S Howlett brings strong recent minor placings in Class 1 grade at Port Macquarie, while Cosmic Jinks from the Brett & Georgie Cavanough yard has been racing solidly in peak form, narrowly missing last time out at Muswellbrook after bolting in prior.
Deeper into the race, Pure Motive represents the Brett & Georgie Cavanough stable and enters with winning debut form after scoring by a big margin at Muswellbrook over 900m, suggesting the extra trip here will suit nicely. Meanwhile, runners like Cosmic Jinks and Waveton map to push forward early as leaders, while Mia Amore shows early speed from barrier one that could prove advantageous on this Scone circuit, making the value sit with those map-favored runners who can dictate terms.
Shortest win price
Won'Thearmecoming (4)
3.00
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Midfield
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
Steel Knight · Negative
Current SR
Rider’s recent POT is returning 18% lower than Career Avg.
Thorsten · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Won'Thearmecoming · Positive
Top Stable
Angela Davies performing 6% above market expectation
Pure Motive · Positive
Margin LS
Won by a big margin last start
Career
10: 1-2-0
Rating · IRD
86
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
4: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Canberra
4: 1-2-0
Track Gold Coast
1: 0-0-0
Track Newcastle
3: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
4: 1-2-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
5: 1-1-0
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 18% lower than Career Avg.
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 37% in L100 rides
Ideal Map
Positive
Map position exceeding market by 4%
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Started $2.10 when battled home in Class 1 company at Beaumont. Others rate stronger.
ILB
Jumped at $2.10 and ran 4th last time at Newcastle. Nice chance at a very tempting price.
RP
Flopped by finishing fourth when sent off 11-10 at Beaumont 16 days ago; facing a testing assignment and may have to settle for supporting role at best.
RSIS
Started 11/10 and came in 4th last start at Newcastle. One of the punters top hopes.
Career
5: 1-0-2
Rating · IRD
74
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
2: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Canberra
1: 0-0-1
Track Kembla Grange
2: 0-0-1
Track Newcastle
1: 1-0-0
Distance 900m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1000m
4: 0-0-2
Going Good
5: 1-0-2
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -49% POT in their L100 Races
Ideal Map
Positive
Map position exceeding market by 4%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Racing Solidly
Positive
In peak form
AAP
Displayed a fine change of gears running home to just miss in the (Bm60) at Canberra. Goes into wider exotics.
ILB
Missed by a narrow margin last run at Canberra and has a good draw. Been in the money 3 from 3 attempts this campaign. Might be ridden for luck. Tough ask.
RP
Has kicked on in his last couple of races; went down by a head over 5f at Canberra (handicap) last month.
RSIS
Close to claiming the win last start at Canberra and has a positive stall. Been in the money 3 from 3 attempts recently. Might be ridden for luck.
Rating · IRD
20
AAP
Fronting up for second campaign (29-weeks). Given time to develop physically and has shown promise in trials. One for exotics fresh in this company.
ILB
Backing up quickly for this race. Competitive effort when 3rd last run at Armidale and showing consistent performance in races. Matched against a stronger field.
RSIS
On a quick turnaround. Ran 3rd last time at Armidale and showing consistent performance in races. Competing at a higher class.
Career
3: 1-2-0
Rating · IRD
91
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
3: 1-2-0
Track Muswellbrook
2: 1-1-0
Track Scone
1: 0-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-1-0
Distance 900m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
2: 1-1-0
Going Good
2: 1-1-0
Going Soft
1: 0-1-0
Top Stable
Positive
Angela Davies performing 6% above market expectation
Ideal Map
Positive
Map position exceeding market by 4%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Racing Strongly
Positive
Racing in great shape
AAP
Cleared maiden ranks at Muswellbrook 1 May. Game effort this venue after lengthy absence. Will be fitter second-up.
ILB
Competed in a tight contest last start at the track and honest performer putting a tidy record together. Andrew Gibbons and Angela Davies are a proven combination. Good enough chance at a very tempting price.
RP
Beaten a neck here over 5f (handicap) three weeks ago; cannot be ignored.
RSIS
Close to a win last time at this venue and promising career start. Jockey Andrew Gibbons and trainer Angela Davies can't be overlooked. Win will not surprise.
Career
1: 1-0-0
Rating · IRD
91
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Muswellbrook
1: 1-0-0
Distance 900m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
1: 1-0-0
Margin LS
Positive
Won by a big margin last start
Raceday Experience
Positive
Wiser for debut run
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Straight into the black book after a terrific debut at Muswellbrook. Extra trip may assist. Stays under notice.
ILB
Gave them a lesson when winning by 3 3/4L last run at Muswellbrook and was on debut last time. Facing stiffer opposition. Capable of winning this.
RP
Was well on top at the line first time out at Muswellbrook over 4½f at 11-8 23 days ago; just second start in this company; strong claims.
RSIS
Kicked clear when winning by a margin of 3 3/4L last start at Muswellbrook and having second career run. Racing against tougher rivals. Has a good chance.
Career
4: 1-1-2
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 1-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Port Macquarie
2: 0-1-1
Track Tamworth
2: 1-0-1
Distance 1000m
4: 1-1-2
Going Good
3: 1-0-2
Going Soft
1: 0-1-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 16% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer SR
Negative
Todd Howlett striking at just 8%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -37% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 21%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential
Racing Solidly
Positive
In peak form
AAP
Super run coming from back half in Class 1 company at Port Macquarie at $1.90. Can fill the minors here.
ILB
Missed by a narrow margin last run at Port Macquarie and promising career start. Has run into the placings all attempts this campaign but up against a more competitive field. Winning chance.
RP
Near miss at 9-10 at Port Macquarie over 5f (handicap) two weeks ago.
RSIS
Missed by a narrow margin last start at Port Macquarie and good career start. Has run into the money all attempts in recent runs. Major player who should go very close.
Rating · IRD
20
AAP
Outgunned but did enough for third at $5.50 at Muswellbrook. Could get into the placings.
ILB
Managed to finish 3rd last time at Muswellbrook but facing a stronger group of contenders.
RSIS
Managed to run into 3rd last start at Muswellbrook but competing at a higher level of competition.
Rating · IRD
20
AAP
Just missed at Scone 25 Sep. Reasonable effort without seriously threatening this course. Generally around the mark in this grade.
ILB
At $10.00 came in 5th last run at this track. Showing great form this preparation.
RSIS
Odds of 9/1 and finished 5th last run at this venue. Performing impressively of late.
Career
8: 1-3-0
Rating · IRD
76
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Port Macquarie
2: 1-1-0
Track Wellington
2: 0-1-0
Track Muswellbrook
3: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
4: 1-1-0
Distance 1004m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1100m
3: 0-1-0
Going Good
3: 1-1-0
Going Soft
5: 0-2-0
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Racing Solidly
Positive
In peak form
AAP
Genuine campaigner. Bolted in at Port Macquarie two back. Looked likely but had a real fight on her hands and just missed at Muswellbrook. Right in this.
ILB
Narrowly denied victory last start at Muswellbrook. Should jump out and bowl along. Displaying good ability this preparation. May find these too slick.
RP
Has displayed improved form on last two starts; went close when runner-up over 5f at Muswellbrook (handicap) ten days ago.
RSIS
Threw down a serious challenge last run at Muswellbrook. Expecting to settle positively. In top racing shape recently.
Career
7: 1-1-0
Rating · IRD
73
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Newcastle
1: 0-0-0
Track Wyong
1: 0-0-0
Track Tamworth
1: 1-0-0
Distance 900m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
4: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-1-0
Going Good
4: 1-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-1-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 21% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 4%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 63%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Settled midfield, ran on fairly without troubling 3yo+ (Bm64) at Newcastle. Shapes as a rough place prospect.
ILB
At $31.00 ran on into 4th last run at Newcastle. Should race on the speed. Would be more keen on the chance of others.
RP
Been generally quiet since successful in a maiden at Tamworth in April; didn't run too badly when out of the frame at Newcastle (beaten 4½l) over 4½f (handicap) three weeks ago; facing a testing assignment and makes little appeal.
RSIS
Started at 30/1 and ran past a few when 4th last time at Newcastle. Likely to be well placed early.
Career
8: 1-1-2
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 1-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Gunnedah
1: 0-0-0
Track Muswellbrook
2: 0-0-1
Track Quirindi
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
4: 1-0-1
Distance 1200m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
5: 1-1-2
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Trainer Form
Positive
In form stable, out performing market expectations 27%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 19% POT in L100 Runners
Map Suits
Positive
Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 4%
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start
Ready To Fire
Positive
Shown something in last few runs
1st Up S/R
Positive
Has won 1 from 2 when resuming
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
AAP
Resuming (19-weeks). Saluted at Dubbo first-up last prep while returning off a Muswellbrook trial. Home track advantage but has a tricky draw for return.
ILB
First up and rocketed home when winning first up last preparation at Dubbo. Interesting to see the blinkers go off for the first time. Needs significant improvement.
RP
Performed below market expectations when eighth at Dubbo in June; useful at this level; returns from a break here.
RSIS
Resuming and ran on strongly to win resuming last preparation at Dubbo. Interesting to see the blinkers go off for the first time.
Career
2: 1-0-0
Rating · IRD
73
Speed map
Leader
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Muswellbrook
1: 0-0-0
Track Coonabarabran
1: 1-0-0
Distance 900m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 1-0-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 78%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Accounted for rivals smartly at Coonabarabran at second start. Drawn to effect. Goes to a Class 1 now and well in the mix again.
ILB
Charged home to win last time at Coonabarabran and will appreciate a good barrier. Displays good tactical speed. Racing against tougher rivals. Will be tested in this.
RP
Scored by a slim margin in a maiden at Coonabarabran when getting off the mark at the second time of asking last month; has to be considered.
RSIS
Charged home to win last start at Coonabarabran and drawn by the rails. Has shown early pace in races to date. Up in class.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Leader
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
AAP
Back for second campaign (22-weeks). Lone career win was over 1000m at Dubbo in last campaign. Brought on with two trial hitouts.
ILB
First up from a spell. Jumped at $13.00 and didn't find the line when 11th last run at Dubbo.
RSIS
Resuming after a break. Started at 12/1 and couldn't stay in touch when 11th last run at Dubbo on a heavy track.
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Offpace
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 15% in Last 100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Key Jockey
Positive
Gabrielle Johnston winning at 16% POT in last 100 rides
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Back for second campaign (20-weeks). Broke his maiden over 1400m at Gulgong last campaign. Fair recent tune-up at the trials. Others with stronger claims.
ILB
First up today. Was well beaten when 11th last run at Coonabarabran and competing at a higher grade. Dropping in distance. Gets a reduction in weight.
RSIS
Back from a break. Weakened to finish 11th last start at Coonabarabran on a heavy surface and up against a higher level of opposition.