Scone (NSW) horses tips & previews

15 Nov, 2:38 am AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Scone (NSW), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Wed 11 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Wed, 11 NovScone (NSW)Change

Race 5 — Scone Equine Hospital Mdn Hcp 1100m · jumps Wed 11 Nov, 4:19 pm AEDT

Race preview

Welcome to Scone for the fifth event on the card, the Scone Equine Hospital Mdn Hcp over 1100m. The track is rated a good 4 with fine weather overhead, setting up a fair contest for these maidens. Looking at the early win market order, Umbusi holds the shortest quote, followed closely by Vaguely Red, Tickelova, and Shasort as the next in line to figure in the market. Punters have gravitated towards this bunch, but there are plenty of angles to unpack in this full field before the jump at 4:19 pm AEDT.

The form behind the market leaders points to some intriguing chances for the bold punter. Umbusi sits right at the top of the order for trainer S I Singleton, coming off a fourth placing over 1000m here on a soft 5 surface where it gave a sight on debut and should appreciate the extra trip. Tickelova represents the K A Lees stable with Aaron Bullock in the saddle, arriving here after sticking to her guns to fill the minors at Newcastle over 900m when second up on a good 4. Vaguely Red is another drawing plenty of attention on debut for the P Messara and L Gavranich yard with Ashley Morgan steering, bringing a handy Muswellbrook trial effort and an appealing pedigree out of a sister to the stakes winner Amber Sky.

Digging deeper into the race reveals further clues from the speed maps and stable insights. Shasort is listed in the offpace speed group and wasn't disgraced here at double-figure odds at the career opener over 1000m on soft going, with Alysha Collett retaining the ride for Annabel and Rob Archibald where a longer trip could assist its chances. Fake Fiction maps as the lone leader from barrier 2 with Jenny Duggan taking the mount, while speed maps show a heavy contingent of first starters including Vintage Bell, Brave Archie, Flying Evidence, Vaguely Red, and Midnight Revolt. The value might just sit with those who bring local experience and race fitness to an 1100m test.

Race notes

MDN,MDN HCP,Maiden
GOOD4
Fine
11 runners

Shortest win price

Umbusi (7)

3.00

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Firststart

1Vintage Bell
4Brave Archie
5Flying Evidence
6Vaguely Red
8Midnight Revolt

Backmarker

3Take It On

Offpace

12Shasort

Onpace

7Umbusi
13Something Sweet

Leader

10Fake Fiction
2Tickelova

Vintage Bell · Negative
Jockey Booking
Less suitable jockey engaged
Tickelova · Negative
Trainer Recent
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 32%
Take It On · Negative
Trainer SR
Simon Casey striking at just 10%
Brave Archie · Negative
1st Up
May need this run

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Vintage BellJ: Nick Palmer·T: Brett & Georgie Cavanough559kg3$10.00$2.80

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed50%
Rating50%
Closing Speed50%

Last starts

3Scone1000m10 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)6.6L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 44%
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Watch Betting
Negative
If supported, follow in

Comments

AAP

Trials (2:1-0-1). Ready to greet the starter after some decent trial work. Look to market for a further guide.

ILB

First appearance at the races 4yo by Ringerdingding for Brett Cavanough & Georgie Cavanough. Won a trial at this venue on Oct 7th. Watch early betting.

Related to 6f winner Muscadelle; stable has a good record with newcomers here; possible squeak as some good aspects to his profile.

RSIS

4yo first starter by Ringerdingding for trainer Brett Cavanough & Georgie Cavanough. Winner in a trial at this venue on Oct 7th.

2TickelovaJ: Aaron Bullock·T: K A Lees858.5kg4 14 1 5 22: 0-1-0$4.00$1.60

Career

2: 0-1-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating50%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
2: 0-1-0
Track Scone
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Track Newcastle
1: 0-1-0
Distance 900m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-1-0

Last starts

2Newcastle900m6 Oct 2026 · 4UP MDN HCP · GOOD40.51L
5Gosford1000m31 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)4.9L
1Muswellbrook800m19 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-0.1
14Scone1100m15 May 2026 · 2&3Y MDN · GOOD411.9L
4Wyong1000m24 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)4.6L
3Gosford800m13 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.2L
6Gosford1000m25 Nov 2025 · Barrier Trial1.6L
4Wyong845m10 Nov 2025 · Barrier Trial2.5L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 32%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 12%
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 36 days
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Stuck to her guns to fill the minors at Newcastle at second start. Positive last start and may take another step. A leading chance.

ILB

Nice run when 2nd last run at Newcastle. Has shown early pace in races to date. Aaron Bullock is a suitable booking. Capable type.

Cracking effort in defeat over 4½f at Newcastle (handicap) last month.

RSIS

Did well when 2nd last time at Newcastle. Should race on the pace. More confidence with jockey Aaron Bullock guiding the horse. Good chance of taking this out.

3Take It OnJ: Daniel A Northey·T: Simon Casey958kg4 5 4 101: 0-0-0$101.00$12.00

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating50%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Muswellbrook
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1280m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

10Muswellbrook1280m19 Oct 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD413.39L
4Tamworth1000m23 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)3L
5Scone900m9 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)11.7L
4Muswellbrook800m6 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)1.1L

Insights

Trainer SR
Negative
Simon Casey striking at just 10%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -32% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 20%
Map Suits
Positive
Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 4%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

AAP

A long way off them at Muswellbrook on debut at wide odds. Switching to 1100m. Big lift needed from there.

ILB

Jumped at $81.00 and gave away some ground when 10th last start at Muswellbrook but was a debutant last start. Expected to settle towards the tail. A difficult test here.

Beaten 14l on his debut at Muswellbrook at 80-1 last month; progress needed on this second career run.

RSIS

Was 80/1 and folded up in the straight when 10th last start at Muswellbrook but was a debutant last start. Does take a while to get into stride.

4Brave ArchieJ: Christian Reith·T: R E Ollerton1057.5kg2 1$14.00$3.50

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed50%
Rating50%
Closing Speed50%

Last starts

1Scone800m10 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)-1.3
2Newcastle800m3 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)0.7L

Insights

1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Watch Betting
Negative
If supported, follow in

Comments

AAP

Trials (2:1-1-0). Looked smart winning most recent trial this track. Awkward draw a concern.

ILB

First time at the races 3yo by Shalaa for Rodney Ollerton. Success in a trial at the track on June 10th. Respect the betting.

Already gelded; first start under rules for this three-year-old son of Shalaa; needs considering.

RSIS

3yo by Shalaa on debut for trainer Rodney Ollerton. Success in a trial at this track on June 10th.

5Flying EvidenceJ: Mitchell Bell·T: K A Lees757.5kg4 1$7.50$2.45

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed50%
Rating50%
Closing Speed50%

Last starts

1Muswellbrook1000m21 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-0.3
4Newcastle800m3 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)1.4L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 32%
Still Learning
Negative
No race experience

Comments

AAP

Trials (4:1-0-0). Dam won two races. In astute yard and signalled was ready to go now with latest improved Muswellbrook trial win. Odds may prove best guide here.

ILB

3yo by Flying Artie first starter for Kris Lees. Won a barrier trial at Muswellbrook on Oct 21st. Keep your eye on the market.

Already a gelding; Kris Lees newcomers always need to be taken seriously at Scone; can figure.

RSIS

Kris Lees trained 3yo first starter by Flying Artie. Success in a trial at Muswellbrook on Oct 21st.

6Vaguely RedJ: Ashley Morgan·T: P Messara & L Gavranich657.5kg6 5 2$7.50$2.45

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed50%
Rating50%
Closing Speed50%

Last starts

2Muswellbrook1000m21 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1L
5Newcastle800m23 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)1.6L
6Scone900m9 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)6.1L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 16% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer Career
Positive
Proven stable with a S/R of 28%
Jockey Booking
Positive
Ashley Morgan 21% above market expected in L100 Rides
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 6% POT in L100 Runners
Debutant
Positive
First race day appearance

Comments

AAP

Trials (4:0-1-0). Out of a sister to the stakes winner Amber Sky. Makes debut after a handy Muswellbrook trial. Locally trained. Odds may prove best guide here.

ILB

Maurice 3yo having first start for Leah Gavranich & Paul Messara. Jockey Ashley Morgan is a plus. Placed 2nd in a trial at Muswellbrook on Oct 21st. Market as guide.

Course debutants for this trainer should be taken seriously; gelded already; related to Villa Castina, winning form over 1m-1m2f; whether he'll be sufficiently clued up remains to be seen so a watching brief the best policy.

RSIS

3yo debutant by Maurice for Leah Gavranich & Paul Messara. Good to see Ashley Morgan is jumping on. Fitter for a trial at Muswellbrook on Oct 21st. Watch early betting.

7UmbusiJ: Mikayla Weir·T: S I Singleton157kg2 4 41: 0-0-0$3.00$1.38

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating50%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Scone
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

4Scone1000m23 Oct 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT52.14L
4Muswellbrook900m15 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)13.2L
2Scone800m1 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(8)1.1L

Insights

Hot Trainer
Positive
Scott Singleton in good form, out performing market 27%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 19% POT in L100 Runners
Ideal Map
Positive
Map position exceeding market by 4%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Raceday Experience
Positive
Wiser for debut run

Comments

AAP

Gave a sight on debut this course 23 Oct. Better for it. Extra trip may assist. Commands attention here.

ILB

Jumped at $9.00 and moved ahead of some to finish 4th last start at this venue and having second career run. Should muster plenty of early speed. Gets a solid chance here.

Respectable debut effort (beaten just over 2l, over 5f here, 8-1) last month (had two of these rivals behind); could improve but still hard to see him winning here.

RSIS

Odds of 8/1 and ran past a few when 4th last start around here and was a debutant last start. Shows good early pace. Gets the perfect stall. Should go very close.

8Midnight RevoltJ: L P Beuzelin·T: G Waterhouse & A Bott1155.5kg7$20.00$4.00

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed50%
Rating50%
Closing Speed50%

Last starts

7Randwick740m6 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)3L

Insights

Key Rider
Positive
L P Beuzelin 22% above market expected in L100 Rides
Watch Betting
Negative
If supported, follow in

Comments

AAP

Trials (2:0-0-0). $30k purchase. Out of a stakes-placed mare. Trial form uninspiring but obviously better for the experience. Check betting.

ILB

Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott 3yo by Russian Revolution having first race appearance. Interesting to see the tongue tie go on for the first time. Unplaced in all trials. Watch for a sign in the market.

Sibling of October Manifesto (7f winner); trainer gets fair share of winning newcomers over this sort of trip; can make her presence felt with signs of encouragement in profile and the hot form of the stable is a bonus.

RSIS

3yo debutant by Russian Revolution for Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott. Interesting to see the tongue strap go on for the first time. Has not placed in all trials.

9ValkyraScratched12––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed50%
Rating50%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 39% lower than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 48% in L100 rides
Watch Betting
Negative
If supported, follow in

Comments

AAP

Trials (2:0-0-1). Latest trial was fair but this looks tough. Would need to see some market confidence.

10Fake FictionJ: Jenny Duggan·T: Wes Boyd255kg3 6 2 4 58: 0-1-1$34.00$5.50

Career

8: 0-1-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating50%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Dunkeld
1: 0-0-0
Track Warracknabeal
1: 0-1-0
Track Ballarat Synthetic
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
3: 0-1-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
3: 0-0-1
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
4: 0-1-0
Going Synthetic
2: 0-0-1

Last starts

5Mount Gambier1200m20 Sept 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT56.05L
4Casterton1400m30 Aug 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT53.4L
2Warracknabeal1200m15 Aug 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT64.5L
6Ballarat Synthetic1200m27 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC4.3L
3Ballarat Synthetic1000m3 July 2026 · MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC3.3L
7Stawell1100m13 Dec 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD44.8L
4Dunkeld1000m15 Nov 2025 · 3Y MDN-SW · SOFT65.8L
11Terang1000m13 Apr 2025 · Maiden · GOOD426.16L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 49% better than Career Avg.
Key Rider
Positive
Jenny Duggan 58% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot Jockey
Positive
Jenny Duggan in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 58%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Fresh
Positive
Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Ex Tom Dabernig. Trained here now. Set tempo, offered little resistance when challenged at Mt Gambier. Big watch under new trainer.

ILB

Freshened for this. Started $2.00 and didn't find the line when 5th last start at Mount Gambier. Should bounce back and drawn nicely. First start for a new trainer. Definite claims for punters.

First-time blinkers no help at Mt Gambier over 6f (maiden) 52 days ago; still winless and defeats stacking up (eight on the bounce) and form has an up and down look to it; first start for new trainer; may have to settle for supporting role.

RSIS

Let up. At Evens didn't threaten when 5th last time at Mount Gambier. Can show a better performance this time and gets a favourable stall. Capable type.

11Halcyon BelleScratched13––––

Rating · IRD

Comments

AAP

Midfield, no rally and went to line tamely this venue at second start. Right in this.

ILB

Was $4.40 and ran 6th last run around here.

RSIS

Was 10/3 and ran 6th last time at this venue.

12ShasortJ: Alysha Collett·T: Annabel & Rob Archibald455kg6 2 51: 0-0-0$7.00$2.40

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating50%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Scone
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

5Scone1000m23 Oct 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT53.46L
2Tamworth1000m23 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)3.8L
6Muswellbrook800m6 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)15.5L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 21% in Last 100 Rides

Comments

AAP

Not disgraced this course at double-figure odds at career opener 23 Oct. Experience a positive. Longer trip may help. More a minor money chance here.

ILB

Odds of $31.00 and made up ground when 5th last run here and was on debut last time. Could feature here.

Beaten 3½l to finish fifth on debut (here, 5f) at 28-1 last month; might be better for the experience although not hard to turn elsewhere.

RSIS

Started at 30/1 and picked up some ground to run 5th last run here and having second career run. Watch the betting.

13Something SweetJ: Andrew Gibbons·T: Angela Davies355kg4 4 91: 0-0-0$41.00$6.00

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed100%
Rating50%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Scone
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

9Scone1000m23 Oct 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT56.87L
4Newcastle800m12 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)3.7L
4Newcastle800m23 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)6.6L

Insights

Trainer Career
Positive
Proven stable with a S/R of 24%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out

Comments

AAP

Had no answers when the pressure went on this course debut at wide odds 23 Oct. May improve with racing but others better for now.

ILB

Jumped at $81.00 and didn't attack the line when 9th last start around here but having second race start. Should muster plenty of early toe. Very unlikely to shake these.

Could not finish better than ninth on her debut over 5f here at 80-1 last month; should improve with a run under her belt although it was only a modest start.

RSIS

Odds of 80/1 and lost ground in the run home when 9th last start at the track but was on debut last time. Has early pace and positions nicely.

Odds correct as at Wed 11 Nov, 4:20 pm AEDT. Odds can change.

Past meetings

Mon 9 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT · 7 races
Fri 23 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races
Fri 25 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
Tue 1 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races