Shortest win price
Ocean Tsunami (3)
1.24
Scone prepares for a competitive 1700m test in the Magic Millions Benchmark 74 handicap on a good four surface under fine skies, with the race timed to jump at 2:35 pm AEDT. The win market lines up with Ocean Tsunami heading the quotations, followed closely by Alabama Blitz, Disco Prince, Grandini, and Frenchburg rounding out the order. Fortune favours the bold, and the value sits with taking on the market leader in search of better dividends as this field sorts itself out over the middle distance trip.
The market favourite Ocean Tsunami jumps from barrier three for trainer S I Singleton with Jasmine Urquhart-Warren in the saddle, boasting four wins from eleven career outings and arriving off a tough Randwick win over 1600m before a midfield effort at Rosehill. The pack notes useful form at this track and two wins from the last three starts, though the negative rider change gives a window of opportunity for rivals. Alabama Blitz sits right behind in the betting from barrier two for Cameron Crockett and Alysha Collett, bringing an in-form stable and strong rider metrics despite dropping out at Newcastle last time out following a solid runner-up finish here over 1400m.
Looking further down the order, Disco Prince lines up from barrier four for trainer D J Hatch and Zac Wadick with a hot trainer-jockey combination that outperforms market expectations, coming off a game second-up effort at Muswellbrook over 1500m that suggests stepping up to 1700m will suit. Meanwhile, Grandini is well drawn on the rails for R P Northam and Anna Weatherlake, looking to bounce back from an ordinary performance in a small field here over 1600m. With Ocean Tsunami marked as the lone speed map leader and runners like Disco Prince and Frenchburg settling off the pace, the tactical setup opens the door for a bold play against the shortest runner.
Shortest win price
Ocean Tsunami (3)
1.24
Most career wins
Ocean Tsunami and Grandini
4 each
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
Ocean Tsunami · Negative
Jockey Booking
Jasmine Urquhart-Warren current POT is 6% below Career Avg.
Disco Prince · Negative
Jockey Booking
Less suitable jockey engaged
Grandini · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -27% POT in their L100 Races
Alabama Blitz · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 21% in Last 100 Rides
Rating · IRD
20
AAP
Closed off late from the tail at Dubbo for new stable. Usually gets back. Looks up against it.
ILB
Racing on a quick back up. Came in 4th last time at Warren and goes up in weight.
RSIS
On a short back up. Ran 4th last time at Warren and has to cope with a weight increase.
Rating · IRD
20
AAP
Holding form. Bided his time at the back and let down smartly at Muswellbrook. Distance increase suits.
ILB
Backing up quickly. Started $12.00 and finished 6th last time at Hawkesbury and challenged by more formidable competitors. Andrew Gibbons has a high strike rate on board.
RSIS
On a quick turnaround. Started 11/1 and ran 6th last run at Hawkesbury and facing stiffer opposition. Has won 3 from 6 attempts of late.
Career
11: 4-4-0
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 1-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Rosehill
2: 0-0-0
Track Taree
1: 1-0-0
Track Scone
5: 2-2-0
Distance 1200m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1350m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
5: 3-1-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
5: 1-3-0
Jockey Booking
Negative
Jasmine Urquhart-Warren current POT is 6% below Career Avg.
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 19% POT in L100 Runners
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Won two from last three. Responded well from just off leaders to snare a final bound win at Randwick. Useful form this track. Major player.
ILB
Charged home to win last start at Randwick. Should muster plenty of early toe. Interesting to see the blinkers go off for the first time. Very hard to beat.
RP
C&D has proven suitable before; narrow success in a handicap at Randwick last month; leading contender.
RSIS
Bold effort when winning last time at Randwick. Has shown early pace in races to date. Interesting to see the blinkers go off for the first time. Solid win bet.
Career
12: 3-3-1
Rating · IRD
73
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
2: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Newcastle
1: 0-0-0
Track Mudgee
1: 1-0-0
Track Tamworth
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 2000m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
9: 2-3-1
Going Soft
3: 1-0-0
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 112%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Game effort at Muswellbrook when second-up. Should appreciate stepping up in distance. Can challenge again.
ILB
Just missed last run at Muswellbrook but racing in stronger company. Prefer in something a lot easier.
RP
A proven winner with a career wins-runs record of 3-12; good runner-up at 28-1 over 7½f at Muswellbrook (handicap) last month; a likely player.
RSIS
Narrowly denied victory last start at Muswellbrook but challenged by more formidable competitors.
Career
27: 3-5-4
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
6: 0-2-1
Second-up
4: 1-0-1
Third-up
4: 0-2-0
Fourth-up
3: 1-1-1
Track Wagga
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat
1: 0-1-0
Track Benalla
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1600m
5: 2-0-0
Distance 1615m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
3: 0-2-0
Going Good
18: 2-4-2
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-1
Going Soft
7: 1-1-1
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
AAP
Resuming (25-weeks). Ex Matthew Dale. Tends to race well first-up without winning while having an easy trial in readiness. Big watch under new trainer.
ILB
Fresh today after a break. Came in 8th last run around here. Racing for a new trainer.
RP
Not beaten too far when eighth here over 1m (handicap) in May; first run for trainer; back from an absence here; may have to settle for supporting role.
RSIS
First run back after break. Ran 8th last run at this track. Racing for a new trainer.
Career
27: 4-7-4
Rating · IRD
86
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
5: 0-2-0
Second-up
4: 1-1-1
Third-up
3: 1-0-1
Fourth-up
3: 1-1-0
Track Scone
7: 0-3-0
Track CurrentTrack
7: 0-3-0
Track Bathurst
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1700m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1750m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1800m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
14: 2-4-2
Going Heavy
3: 0-1-0
Going Soft
10: 2-2-2
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -27% POT in their L100 Races
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Up In Weight
Negative
Goes up 5kg weight here
AAP
Ordinary performance in small field this venue second-up. Usually gets back. Sharper now, can play a role.
ILB
Jumped at $10.00 and advanced late into 5th last time at this venue and has drawn the rails. Has a great burst of speed late. Large claim helps. Absolutely right in this.
RP
Has struggled to factor since winning a handicap at Wyong in April; not beaten too far when fifth of seven three weeks ago upped to 1m; others appeal more.
RSIS
At 9/1 made ground when closing off to finish 5th last start here and drawn by the rails. Has a nice turn of foot. Anna Weatherlake takes a large claim. Strong claims.
Career
19: 3-2-1
Rating · IRD
79
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
5: 1-1-0
Second-up
4: 1-0-0
Third-up
4: 1-0-1
Fourth-up
3: 0-1-0
Track Coonabarabran
1: 0-0-0
Track Kilmore
1: 0-0-0
Track Scone
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1514m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1600m
6: 1-0-1
Distance 1890m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
11: 2-1-1
Going Heavy
2: 1-1-0
Going Soft
6: 0-0-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 21% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer Form
Positive
In form stable, out performing market expectations 31%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 19% POT in L100 Runners
Key Jockey
Positive
Alysha Collett winning at 9% POT in last 100 rides
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Winkers On
Positive
Important gear change of winkers on
AAP
In touch but ran out of petrol quickly and finished a long way down the track at Newcastle. Handles all conditions.
ILB
Odds of $3.70 and weakened under pressure when 9th last start at Newcastle but drawn nicely. Interesting gear change of winkers on first time. Not at all out of this race.
RP
Finished last of nine over 7½f at Newcastle (handicap) last month; useful in this grade; has to be respected.
RSIS
Started 11/4 and folded up in the straight when 9th last start at Newcastle but has a positive draw. Interesting gear change of cheekpieces on first time. Watch for a sign in the market.
Rating · IRD
20
AAP
Long time since last saluted. On pace but found little at the business end at Dubbo over longer assignment. Leads, handy. Keener on others.
ILB
Finished 4th last run at Dubbo and back in trip. Matched against a stronger field.
RSIS
Finished 4th last run at Dubbo and competing in a higher grade. Will be facing a significant drop in distance.
Career
29: 2-1-3
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Track Bathurst
1: 0-0-0
Track Wagga
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1410m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1450m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
18: 2-0-0
Going Heavy
4: 0-1-0
Going Soft
7: 0-0-3
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 126%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 21% POT in L100 Runners
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Made late rally from the back at Beaumont. Shapes as a rough place prospect.
ILB
Odds of $91.00 and showed some merit late when 5th last time at Newcastle. Will need its best to find a place.
RP
Solid effort when beaten just under 2l to finish fifth over 6½f at Beaumont (handicap) two weeks ago.
RSIS
Started 90/1 and overtook some late when 5th last run at Newcastle.