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Seymour (VIC) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Seymour (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Thu 12 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Thu, 12 NovSeymour (VIC)Change

Race 1 — New Crossing Place Motel & Apartments Mdn Plate 2015m · jumps

Race preview

We head to Seymour for a 2015m maiden plate on a Good 4 track under fine skies. Looking at the early win market order, Chocolate Freckles holds the mantle as the shortest priced runner, closely followed by Princess Of Sol, My Rosalie, and Zverev rounding out the leading market fancies for this test over the staying trip.

The value sits with Chocolate Freckles, who comes in with solid credentials after a vastly improved performance when running into the minors at Mornington over 1500m last time out. That effort yielded the fastest overall finishing sectionals, suggesting the step up in distance will suit as an emergency that missed out on an Oaks berth last week. Zverev is another capturing attention in the market despite a stable running below market expectations, having done the heavy lifting before dropping anchor at Yarra Glen previously while boasting a prior placing at this exact track. Meanwhile, Princess Of Sol showed plenty of grit when giving her all to finish third at Bendigo over 1600m, and the rapid rise in trip poses an intriguing test for her staying credentials.

Further down the order, My Rosalie brings sound campaign form including a fourth at Warrnambool and a fifth at Wangaratta, though map considerations suggest she may need some luck from her backmarker speed group lane. Grey Sabre is expected to roll forward from barrier 5 to take up the leader role early, which could prove advantageous on this circuit if allowed to dictate terms. While several runners come via stables or combinations currently struggling to hit market expectations, the bold play is to lean into the progressive profile of Chocolate Freckles building on that strong Mornington minor placing.

Race notes

  • 3yo+,MDN,Maiden
  • GOOD4
  • Fine
  • 14 runners

Shortest win price

Princess Of Sol (12)

4.20

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 5Dun Dirt Sweet
  • 11My Rosalie

Offmidfield

  • 8Musical Journey
  • 14Chocolate Freckles
  • 15Rein Me In

Midfield

  • 3Windsor Chariot
  • 2Vadar
  • 10Bling Baby
  • 16Rat Pack

Offpace

  • 12Princess Of Sol
  • 9Soaring Legend

Onpace

  • 4Zverev
  • 7High Performance

Leader

  • 1Grey Sabre
  • Grey Sabre · Negative

    Cold J/T Combo

    Combo are under performing market expectations by -69%

  • Vadar · Positive

    Fast Finisher

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Windsor Chariot · Positive

    Rider SR

    Jockey recent POT is 18% better than Career Avg.

  • Zverev · Negative

    Trainer Career

    Trainer Career S/R is 7%

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1Grey SabreJ: Logan Mcneil·T: D M Noonan559.5kg6 7 2 3 716: 0-1-1$61.00$7.50

Career

16: 0-1-1

Rating · IRD

76

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Geelong

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Ararat

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Murtoa

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1717m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1968m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1980m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    9: 0-0-1

  • Going Heavy

    5: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 7Mornington2450m22 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD310.45L
  2. 3Moe2050m24 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.75L
  3. 2Moe2069m8 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY81.25L
  4. 7Moe1600m13 Aug 2026 · MDN-SW · HEAVY1010.1L
  5. 6Murtoa1600m25 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT72.8L
  6. 8Sale1429m9 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY913.9L
  7. 8Geelong2412m14 Nov 2025 · MDN-SW · GOOD415.6L
  8. 5Wangaratta2000m4 Nov 2025 · 3yo+ · HEAVY95.1L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are under performing market expectations by -69%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Every chance but compounded at Mornington over longer assignment. Looks a safer place proposition.

ILB

Jumped at $8.00 and didn't find the line when 7th last start at Mornington and will be dropping in distance. Should jump out and bowl along. A 16 start maiden. Needs a mighty effort to win this.

RP

Form has been a bit up and down of late and still winless and defeats stacking up (16 on the bounce); seventh beaten 10l at Mornington over 1m4f (maiden) last month; a lot on his plate here and passed over.

RSIS

At 7/1 gave away some ground when 7th last start at Mornington and dropping back to a shorter trip. Will be pushing for a forward position early.

2VadarJ: Joe Bowditch·T: Aaron Laing459.5kg11 9 8 4 211: 0-1-0$18.00$3.80

Career

11: 0-1-0

Rating · IRD

76

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Swan Hill

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Terang

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Horsham

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    8: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    3: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 2Traralgon1900m31 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT73.25L
  2. 4Horsham2100m18 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD34.52L
  3. 8Cranbourne1400m25 Sept 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD44.9L
  4. 9Kilmore1600m6 Mar 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD418.6L
  5. 11Terang1406m20 Feb 2026 · 4yo+ · GOOD48.8L
  6. 12Sandown1600m4 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD49.7L
  7. 5Cranbourne1600m22 Jan 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD35.3L
  8. 4Sale1611m14 Sept 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD34.4L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Ready To Strike

    Positive

    Can be rewarded for recent consistent form

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Solid rally into the placings on a soft deck at Traralgon. This is a deeper affair.

ILB

Good effort to run 2nd beaten by 3 1/4L last start at Traralgon and getting better in recent performances. Trying to win after 11 runs. May find these too slick.

RP

Signs of improvement on last two runs but still winless and defeats stacking up (11 on the bounce); solid second over 1m1½f at Traralgon (maiden) two weeks ago.

RSIS

Good performance to run into 2nd last start at Traralgon and demonstrating upward trajectory in recent races. Trying to win after 11 runs.

3Windsor ChariotJ: Brad Rawiller·T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes759.5kg7 52: 0-0-0$10.00$2.90

Career

2: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

95

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Swan Hill

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Pakenham Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 5Swan Hill1600m27 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD44.2L
  2. 7Pakenham Synthetic1400m5 Oct 2026 · 4yo+ · SYNTHETIC4.37L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 18% better than Career Avg.

  • Hot Trainer

    Positive

    Ben, Will & Jd Hayes in good form, out performing market 34%

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 21% POT in L100 Runners

  • Maps Poorly

    Negative

    Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 16%

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Supported in early runs although went home tamely at Swan Hill at second appearance at $4.40. Significantly up in distance and can play a role.

ILB

Jumped at $4.40 and came in 5th last start at Swan Hill. Should improve here. Commands respect.

RP

Not beaten that far at Swan Hill over 1m (maiden) last month; unlikely to achieve more than just a supporting role.

RSIS

At 10/3 finished 5th last run at Swan Hill. Expected to rebound. Should go well.

4ZverevJ: Damian Lane·T: G Eurell1059.5kg8 3 4 63: 0-0-1$6.00$2.20

Career

3: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Seymour

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Yarra Valley

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1429m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1600m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1968m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-0-1

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 6Yarra Valley1968m24 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT59.46L
  2. 4Pakenham Synthetic1600m5 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC3.25L
  3. 3Seymour1429m10 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT53.5L
  4. 8Warwick Farm789m16 Feb 2026 · Barrier Trial9L

Insights

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 7%

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 28%

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 29%

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Did the donkey work then dropped anchor at Yarra Glen latest outing. Has figured In the placings here. Right in this.

ILB

Was $4.40 and couldn't maintain the pace when 6th last start at Yarra Valley. Overlooking the last run. Has plenty of early speed. Will attract plenty of interest.

RP

Held in sixth upped to this distance (Yarra Glen) behind Bling Baby, last month; must be high on list as shown he can be competitive fairly recently.

RSIS

Was 10/3 and folded up in the straight when 6th last run at Yarra Vstall. Happy to forgive that run. Should muster plenty of early pace. Has to be in the finish.

5Dun Dirt SweetJ: Cian Macredmond·T: Matthew Cumani158kg8 7 83: 0-0-0$81.00$11.00

Career

3: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

75

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Hamilton

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track St Arnaud

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 8St Arnaud2000m24 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD39.91L
  2. 7Hamilton1400m10 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT56.07L
  3. 8Hamilton1200m14 Sept 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · SOFT69L

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Nice Barrier

    Positive

    Well drawn from gate 2

  • Blinkers On

    Positive

    Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Failed to threaten at St Arnaud last outing. Keener on others.

ILB

Odds of $10.00 and tailed off to finish 8th last time at St Arnaud but has a good draw. Likely to get back. Entitled to be a big price.

RP

Out of the frame when eighth (St Arnaud) upped to this distance three weeks ago; attempting to open his account at the fourth time of asking; he can be taken on.

RSIS

At 9/1 tailed off to finish 8th last run at St Arnaud but has a positive stall. Likely to get back in the run.

6Fiorente CharmScratched1––––

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

86

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Wangaratta

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1590m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 5Wangaratta1590m26 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD42.3L
  2. 5Colac1200m22 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)12.6L
  3. 6Tatura1100m30 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)9.4L

Insights

  • Raceday Experience

    Positive

    Wiser for debut run

Comments

AAP

Left a decent impression on debut at Wangaratta when fancied 26 Oct. Significantly up in distance for second outing. Sound claims.

ILB

Was $3.50 and improved when 5th last run at Wangaratta and was on debut last time. Will be aiming for a soft run from the draw.

RP

Far from disgraced (beaten just over 2l) on his debut at Wangaratta at 5-2 last month; hard to see him getting off the mark second time up.

RSIS

Was 5/2 and ran on into 5th last time at Wangaratta and having second career run. Drawn by the rails.

7High PerformanceJ: Lachlan King·T: Shawn Mathrick1358kg5 72: 0-0-0$81.00$11.00

Career

2: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

75

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Swan Hill

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Mildura

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    2: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 7Swan Hill1600m27 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD47.41L
  2. 5Mildura1400m6 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD48.4L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 44% better than Career Avg.

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 272%

  • Hot Jockey

    Positive

    Lachlan King in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 55%

  • Maps Poorly

    Negative

    Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 16%

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Blinkers On

    Positive

    Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

On pace but soon under pressure and he knocked up badly at Swan Hill at second outing. Quickly up in trip but others carry more punch.

ILB

Started $15.00 and was well beaten when 7th last start at Swan Hill. Should be rolling forward early from the wide barrier. Rough chance.

RP

Finished behind Windsor Chariot at Swan Hill over 1m (maiden) when beaten 7l (seventh of eight) last month; cannot be ignored.

RSIS

Was 14/1 and struggled with the pace when 7th last run at Swan Hill. Should be rolling forward early from the wide stall.

8Musical JourneyJ: Declan Bates·T: Matthew Cumani658kg2 9 93: 0-1-0$34.00$5.50

Career

3: 0-1-0

Rating · IRD

79

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Echuca

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Kilmore

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Donald

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 2100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1350m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1450m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    3: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 9Echuca2100m19 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD410.96L
  2. 9Kilmore1450m28 Sept 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD37.05L
  3. 2Donald1350m12 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.5L

Insights

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Blinkers On

    Positive

    Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Raced in back half and never likely at Echuca last start. Blinkers first time and needs to put best foot forward now.

ILB

Odds of $4.40 and couldn't stay in touch when 9th last start at Echuca. Gets back and needs luck. Needs to find a lot more.

RP

Without a win in three attempts although has finished second; finished just behind Lady Of Alsace when ninth last month at Echuca upped to 1m2½f; others more likely.

RSIS

Odds of 10/3 and couldn't stay in touch when 9th last time at Echuca. Will be giving the leaders a big start.

9Soaring LegendJ: Luke Currie·T: T & C Mcevoy858kg6 42: 0-0-0$6.50$2.40

Career

2: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

82

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Bendigo

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Wangaratta

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1500m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 4Wangaratta2000m26 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD44.2L
  2. 6Bendigo1500m4 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT65.5L

Insights

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 8%

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 50%

  • Maps Poorly

    Negative

    Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 16%

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Went home fairly at Wangaratta at $3.80. Among the dangers.

ILB

Started $3.80 and moved through the field into 4th last time at Wangaratta. Could be in the mix.

RP

Performed below market expectations when fourth two weeks ago (Wangaratta) upped to this trip; others appeal more.

RSIS

Odds of 11/4 and outpaced some runners late when 4th last start at Wangaratta. Betting is the best guide.

10Bling BabyJ: Damien Thornton·T: Brian Mcgrath1257.5kg3 7 10 5 49: 0-0-1$17.00$3.90

Career

9: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

78

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Yarra Valley

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Werribee

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Moe

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1968m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    4: 0-0-1

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    3: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 4Yarra Valley1968m24 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT53.5L
  2. 5Pakenham Synthetic1600m5 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC5L
  3. 10Moe1614m8 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY812.8L
  4. 7Sale1400m21 Aug 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT69.7L
  5. 3Werribee1625m24 Apr 2026 · 4UP MDN-SW · GOOD40.4L
  6. 5Pakenham1400m9 Apr 2026 · F&M MDN-SW · SOFT53.6L
  7. 12Ballarat2000m2 Apr 2025 · Maiden · GOOD314.5L
  8. 4Cranbourne1600m14 Mar 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD45.8L

Insights

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Brian McGrath striking at just 8%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 26%

  • Maps Poorly

    Negative

    Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 16%

  • Drawn Poorly

    Negative

    Unfavourable barrier draw

  • Improver

    Positive

    Poised to improve on recent form here

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Not disgraced at Yarra Glen at $14. Goes into wider exotics.

ILB

Odds of $14.00 and moved ahead of some to finish 4th last run at Yarra Valley. Will need everything to go right.

RP

Out of the frame (beaten 3½l in fourth) last month at Yarra Glen upped to this distance; yet to open her account after nine starts; others appeal more with several rivals in good nick.

RSIS

Started at 13/1 and advanced late into 4th last time at Yarra Vstall.

11My RosalieJ: Neil Farley·T: P Koumis1157.5kg9 3 5 4 59: 0-1-2$6.00$2.25

Career

9: 0-1-2

Rating · IRD

79

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Caulfield

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Kyneton

    2: 0-0-1

  • Track Swan Hill

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1218m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1450m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1700m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    8: 0-1-2

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 5Wangaratta2000m26 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD44.95L
  2. 4Warrnambool1700m15 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.25L
  3. 5Kilmore1450m28 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD39.5L
  4. 3Swan Hill2400m21 Apr 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD32L
  5. 9Caulfield2400m11 Apr 2026 · 3Y-SWP · SOFT75.5L
  6. 2Ararat2206m30 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD36L
  7. 3Kyneton1862m13 Mar 2026 · BM56 · GOOD40.37L
  8. 10Kilmore1450m6 Mar 2026 · 3YF MDN-SW · GOOD411L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 29% better than Career Avg.

  • Maps Poorly

    Negative

    Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 16%

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Form sound so far this campaign. Can make her presence felt.

ILB

Odds of $5.50 and got going late when 5th last time at Wangaratta. Likely to get back in the run. Others make far more appeal.

RP

Yet to get off the mark and losing run stands at nine; close up behind Soaring Legend when fifth at Wangaratta two weeks ago upped to this distance; this is competitive and hard enough to fancy.

RSIS

Was 9/2 and closed off nicely when 5th last run at Wangaratta. Does take a while to get into stride.

12Princess Of SolJ: Luke Nolen·T: Mark & Levi Kavanagh357.5kg6 6 3 11 39: 0-1-2$4.20$1.75

Career

9: 0-1-2

Rating · IRD

78

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Werribee

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Ballarat Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Geelong

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1887m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2007m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    5: 0-1-1

  • Going Soft

    3: 0-0-1

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 3Bendigo1600m17 Oct 2026 · 4yo+ · GOOD31.9L
  2. 11Bendigo1300m6 Sept 2026 · 4yo+ · SOFT56L
  3. 3Kilmore2007m31 Mar 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT62L
  4. 6Geelong1715m14 Mar 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD45.6L
  5. 6Kyneton1887m27 Feb 2026 · MDN SW · SOFT67.5L
  6. 2Werribee1618m1 Feb 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD40.5L
  7. 8Geelong1412m14 Jan 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD35.5L
  8. 4Yarra Valley1209m29 Dec 2025 · 3YF MDN-SW · GOOD47.3L

Insights

  • Current SR

    Negative

    Rider’s recent POT is returning 54% lower than Career Avg.

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    M & L Kavanagh striking at just 2%

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 67%

  • Trainer ROI

    Negative

    Trainers runners currently losing 71% Profit on Turnover

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 63% in L100 rides

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Handily placed and gave her all at Bendigo second-up at double-figure odds. Quickly up in trip. First four player.

ILB

Did well to finish 3rd last time at Bendigo. Appears tested in this event.

RP

Not beaten far when third at 20-1 over 1m at Bendigo (maiden) last month; has arguably shown improved form the last twice but yet to open her account after nine starts; Luke Nolen booked.

RSIS

Strong effort when finishing 3rd last run at Bendigo.

13A Rus In GrinzingScratched16––––

Career

3: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Kilmore

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Warrnambool

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Ballarat

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1450m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1700m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    3: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 8Warrnambool1700m15 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD45.2L
  2. 6Kilmore1450m28 Sept 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD35.1L
  3. 7Ballarat1200m18 Sept 2026 · 3UP F&M MDN-SW · GOOD48.92L

Insights

  • Gap In Runs

    Negative

    Not raced for 28 days

Comments

AAP

Now 4 weeks between runs. Started $26 when safely held at Warrnambool last outing. Horror draw and will need luck.

ILB

Finished 8th last run at Warrnambool.

RP

Finished just behind My Rosalie when eighth over 1m½f at Warrnambool (maiden) last month; hard to dismiss.

RSIS

Ran 8th last run at Warrnambool.

14Chocolate FrecklesJ: Celine Gaudray·T: Pat Carey & Harris Walker956kg6 8 23: 0-1-0$5.00$2.00

Career

3: 0-1-0

Rating · IRD

80

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Mornington

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Kyneton

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Moe

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1203m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1500m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    2: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 2Mornington1500m22 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD30.4L
  2. 8Kyneton1203m8 Oct 2026 · 3UP F&M MDN-SW · SOFT54.86L
  3. 6Moe1000m24 Sept 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD410.25L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 28% better than Career Avg.

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    P & H Carey & Walker striking at just 3%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -30% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 61%

  • Maps Poorly

    Negative

    Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 16%

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Better for last start

    Positive

    Improved with last few runs

Comments

AAP

A vastly improved performance when the Impending 3year-old ran into the minors at Mornington latest outing. Was an emergency and didn't get a start in the Oaks last Thursday. Looks to have ability.

ILB

Just shy of the win last run at Mornington and going up in trip. Likely to get back in the field. Watch betting.

RP

Went off 18-1 when good runner-up over 7½f at Mornington (maiden) last month; career moving upwards; big chance.

RSIS

Right in the mix last time at Mornington and racing over a longer distance. Likely to get back. Watch for a sign in the market.

15Rein Me InJ: Patrick Moloney·T: Ben Brisbourne257.5kg9 5 83: 0-0-0$126.00$15.00

Career

3: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Echuca

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Manangatang

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Wangaratta

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1312m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1550m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1590m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    3: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 8Wangaratta1590m26 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD47.3L
  2. 5Manangatang1550m10 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD32.7L
  3. 9Echuca1312m19 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD46.25L

Insights

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 8%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -39% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 23%

  • Well beaten LS

    Negative

    Not competitive last run

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Failed to flatter at Wangaratta last outing. First real test of stamina here. Looking elsewhere.

ILB

Started $81.00 and clearly outclassed when 8th last start at Wangaratta. Will be giving the leaders a big start. Best to watch and see.

RP

Behind Fiorente Charm over 1m at Wangaratta (maiden) when beaten 7l (eighth of ten) two weeks ago.

RSIS

At 80/1 moderate showing when 8th last run at Wangaratta. Gets back and needs luck.

16Rat PackJ: Teodore Nugent·T: Mark & Levi Kavanagh1459.5kg7 8 7 7 86: 0-0-0$81.00$11.00

Career

6: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Seymour

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Ballarat

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1500m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1525m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    4: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 8Kilmore1612m30 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT510.48L
  2. 7Bendigo1600m17 Oct 2026 · 4yo+ · GOOD34.52L
  3. 7Geelong1525m23 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD38L
  4. 8Bendigo1300m6 Sept 2026 · 4yo+ · SOFT54.4L
  5. 7Ballarat1500m10 Mar 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD313.7L
  6. 11Seymour1300m20 Feb 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD46.1L

Insights

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    M & L Kavanagh striking at just 2%

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 67%

  • Trainer ROI

    Negative

    Trainers runners currently losing 71% Profit on Turnover

  • Maps Poorly

    Negative

    Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 16%

  • Needs To Imp

    Negative

    Finished towards the tail last start

  • Wide Draw

    Negative

    Likely to get caught wide

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Ridden cold and never in the picture at Kilmore. Nugent sticks but is hard to warm to here.

ILB

Jumped at $26.00 and disappointing run when 8th last start at Kilmore. Hard to see it being competitive today.

RP

Beaten 10l in eighth over 1m at Kilmore (maiden) two weeks ago.

RSIS

Started 25/1 and unsatisfactory performance when 8th last time at Kilmore.

17Lady Of AlsaceScratched17––––

Career

9: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

76

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Echuca

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Mornington

    4: 0-0-0

  • Track Cranbourne

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    5: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 5Echuca2100m19 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD48.75L
  2. 7Pakenham Synthetic1600m5 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC7.5L
  3. 7Mornington1500m17 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD46.15L
  4. 8Bendigo1300m6 Sept 2026 · 4yo+ · SOFT54.5L
  5. 9Cranbourne1400m21 June 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT77.7L
  6. 7Mornington1200m8 June 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · SOFT79.8L
  7. 5Echuca1400m31 Dec 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD36.3L
  8. 10Mornington1200m17 Dec 2025 · 3YF MDN-SW · GOOD47.2L

Insights

  • Limited

    Negative

    Hasn’t featured at all in all career runs

  • Had Chances

    Negative

    Still in maiden grade after several runs

Comments

AAP

Safely held but not totally disgraced at Echuca when drifting in the betting. Prefer others.

ILB

Started at $10.00 and came in 5th last start at Echuca.

RP

Held when fifth beaten 9l (Echuca) three weeks ago upped to 1m2½f.

RSIS

Started 9/1 and finished 5th last start at Echuca.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.

Past meetings

  • Sun 11 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 10 races
  • Thu 10 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races