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Seymour (VIC) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Seymour (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Thu 12 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Thu, 12 NovSeymour (VIC)Change

Race 6 — Parker Bros Earthmoving (Bm62) 2015m · jumps

Race notes

  • 3yo+,BM62,BM62 HCP,Benchmark 62
  • GOOD3
  • Fine
  • 9 runners

Shortest win price

Sarapo (4)

2.25

Most career wins

Garnacho

3-3-4 from 27 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 11Our Paramour

Midfield

  • 8Wolfess

Offpace

  • 6Lady Thinkabell
  • 9Earthly Crown

Onpace

  • 1Garnacho
  • 4Sarapo
  • 7Fiery Deal
  • 10Catalona

Leader

  • 3Dundonald
  • Garnacho · Positive

    Jockey ROI

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 18% in Last 100 Rides

  • Dundonald · Positive

    Jockey ROI

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 26% in Last 100 Rides

  • Sarapo · Positive

    Trainer ROI

    Runners from this stable currently going at 13% POT in L100 Runners

  • Lady Thinkabell · Positive

    Jockey ROI

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 44% in Last 100 Rides

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1GarnachoJ: Brad Rawiller·T: E & D Browne960.5kg5 1 6 5 227: 3-3-4$5.00$1.60

Career

27: 3-3-4

Rating · IRD

91

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    4: 0-1-1

  • Third-up

    4: 1-1-1

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track Caulfield

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Flemington

    4: 1-0-1

  • Track Warrnambool

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2600m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    17: 2-0-3

  • Going Heavy

    5: 1-2-1

  • Going Soft

    5: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 2Pakenham1600m30 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT50.75L
  2. 5Warrnambool1700m15 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.75L
  3. 6Bendigo1400m4 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SOFT62.65L
  4. 1Sale1746m9 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY9-1
  5. 5Sale1411m28 June 2026 · BM62 · HEAVY82.9L
  6. 3Sale1400m10 June 2026 · BM66 C · HEAVY81L
  7. 2Pakenham1600m29 May 2026 · 2UP BM70 HCP · HEAVY80.1L
  8. 5Pakenham1600m15 May 2026 · 2UP BM66 · SOFT51.6L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 18% in Last 100 Rides

  • Maps Poorly

    Negative

    Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 16%

  • Slow Early LS

    Negative

    Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Awkward Draw

    Negative

    Would have liked a better draw

  • Improved L/S

    Positive

    Improved again last start

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Put in some big strides late at Pakenham. Rising in trip and danger if they get along up front. Big show with even breaks.

ILB

Flashed home late into 2nd last time at Pakenham and displaying improvement over the past few runs. Strong claims in this.

RP

Has been fairly consistent lately; good effort when close up over 1m at Pakenham (handicap) 13 days ago (saddle slipped); much respected.

RSIS

Made considerable ground when 2nd beaten by 3/4L last run at Pakenham and form has been improving over recent runs. Solid claims.

2Kiss My RockScratched2––––

Career

27: 4-3-5

Rating · IRD

79

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    3: 1-1-1

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Track Avoca

    2: 0-1-0

  • Track Pakenham Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Werribee

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1500m

    2: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1608m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1700m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    7: 1-0-2

  • Going Synthetic

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    15: 2-3-2

Last starts

  1. 5Kyneton1887m20 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD32.71L
  2. 6Avoca1860m17 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD37.25L
  3. 6Ballarat1600m30 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD46.27L
  4. 8Seymour2046m10 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT55.5L
  5. 3Seymour2021m27 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY81.4L
  6. 6Seymour1600m7 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SOFT74.9L
  7. 1Echuca1600m24 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY9-0.3
  8. 10Seymour1600m19 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY911.8L

Insights

  • Form At Track

    Negative

    Yet to win here

Comments

AAP

Led, gave away final stages at Kyneton. Goes into wider exotics.

ILB

Started at $11.00 and finished 5th last start at Kyneton but has a good draw.

RP

Finished fifth but only beaten just under 3l over 1m1½f at Kyneton (handicap) last month; should be in the mix if building on last performance.

RSIS

Odds of 10/1 and finished 5th last run at Kyneton but will try to take advantage of the stall.

3DundonaldJ: Patrick Moloney·T: G M Moloney160kg2 3 1 2 1216: 2-3-2$15.00$3.20

Career

16: 2-3-2

Rating · IRD

87

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 1-0-1

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Pakenham

    4: 0-0-0

  • Track Cranbourne

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Werribee

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2500m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2720m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2060m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    9: 1-1-1

  • Going Soft

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    4: 1-2-1

Last starts

  1. 12Pakenham1400m30 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT59.96L
  2. 2Pakenham Synthetic2200m20 July 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC0.3L
  3. 1Ballarat Synthetic2100m14 July 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC-1.8
  4. 3Pakenham Synthetic2200m29 June 2026 · BM66 · SYNTHETIC0.3L
  5. 2Pakenham Synthetic2200m15 June 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SYNTHETIC0.4L
  6. 2Bendigo2200m29 May 2026 · 0 - 62 · GOOD40.4L
  7. 8Werribee2720m14 May 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD48.2L
  8. 4Pakenham2500m23 Apr 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · GOOD42L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 26% in Last 100 Rides

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Nice Barrier

    Positive

    Well drawn from gate 1

  • 2nd Up S/R

    Positive

    Has won 1 from 2 when second up

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Never in the call at Pakenham first run back. Will be fitter and more effective second-up. The firmer the better.

ILB

Below expectations when 12th last run at Pakenham but has drawn to do little work. Shows good early pace. Rising in trip. Could feature here.

RP

Finished last of 12 over 7f at Pakenham (handicap) last month; a few rivals look in good form so easy enough to take on.

RSIS

Underperformed when 12th last time at Pakenham but stepping up in distance. Should jump out and bowl along. Gets the perfect stall. Has some claims.

4SarapoJ: Damian Lane·T: C J Waller659.5kg3 1 7 2 416: 1-2-6$2.25$1.18

Career

16: 1-2-6

Rating · IRD

91

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 1-1-1

  • Second-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    3: 0-1-1

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Track Hawkesbury

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Canterbury

    2: 0-0-1

  • Track Bendigo

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1900m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 2025m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    2: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    11: 0-0-6

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    4: 1-2-0

Last starts

  1. 4Cranbourne2025m23 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD33.52L
  2. 2Geelong1765m7 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT50.75L
  3. 7Geelong1525m23 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD34.35L
  4. 1Bendigo1300m6 Sept 2026 · 4yo+ · SOFT5-0.1
  5. 3Wyong2100m7 May 2026 · BM64 · GOOD41.5L
  6. 3Canterbury1900m22 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD43.4L
  7. 3Warwick Farm1600m15 Apr 2026 · 3yo · GOOD41.65L
  8. 3Newcastle1850m31 Mar 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD45.8L

Insights

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 13% POT in L100 Runners

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

  • Weight Rise

    Negative

    Carrying 4kg more than LS

Comments

AAP

Fair effort without threatening at Cranbourne. Back to country level and makes a strong case in this company.

ILB

Was $5.50 and moved ahead of some to finish 4th last start at Cranbourne but goes up in weight. One of the value chances in this race.

RP

Not beaten that far last month at Cranbourne upped to this distance; a lot on his plate here and others are preferred.

RSIS

Started 9/2 and ran on into 4th last run at Cranbourne but up in weight. Gets a chance against these.

5HeliosonScratched11––––

Career

9: 1-0-1

Rating · IRD

87

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Kyneton

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Wangaratta

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Sandown

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1590m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    7: 1-0-1

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 12Wangaratta1590m26 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD47.87L
  2. 8Colac1200m22 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)5.4L
  3. 8Kyneton1454m8 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · SOFT59.26L
  4. 4Tatura1450m30 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)4.9L
  5. 13Caulfield2400m11 Apr 2026 · 3Y-SWP · SOFT713.7L
  6. 7Mount Gambier2050m22 Mar 2026 · CL1-SW · GOOD412.7L
  7. 3Hobart2200m6 Feb 2026 · 3yo · GOOD41.3L
  8. 6Flemington2000m17 Jan 2026 · 3Y HCP · GOOD36.2L

Insights

  • Current SR

    Negative

    Rider’s recent POT is returning 54% lower than Career Avg.

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -29% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 19% POT in L100 Runners

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 63% in L100 rides

  • Maps Poorly

    Negative

    Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 16%

  • Slow Early LS

    Negative

    Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg

  • Well beaten LS

    Negative

    Not competitive last run

Comments

AAP

Failed to threaten at Wangaratta second-up following market easing. Blinkers go on again and comes into calculations with the rise in trip.

ILB

Started $9.50 and weakened to finish 12th last start at Wangaratta and up against stronger opponents. Suited by the weight drop.

RP

Generally modest form since maiden success at Kyneton a year ago; finished towards the rear of 14 over 1m at Wangaratta (handicap) 17 days ago; Luke Nolen booking heightens interest; makes limited appeal as meeting a number of horses who are in good form.

RSIS

Started at 17/2 and didn't threaten when 12th last run at Wangaratta and up against tougher opponents. Goes down in weight.

6Lady ThinkabellJ: Dylan Dunn·T: J G Symons & S Laxon858.5kg3 5 2 12 514: 1-5-1$5.00$1.60

Career

14: 1-5-1

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-2-0

  • Second-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-2-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Track Morphettville

    2: 0-1-0

  • Track Sunshine Coast

    3: 0-2-0

  • Track Benalla

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1479m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1600m

    3: 0-1-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    8: 1-3-1

  • Going Good

    5: 0-2-0

Last starts

  1. 5Ballarat1600m2 Nov 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY84.3L
  2. 12Morphettville2033m9 May 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT69.2L
  3. 2Morphettville2535m11 Apr 2026 · 0-66 · SOFT60.3L
  4. 5Ballarat2000m3 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD34L
  5. 3Sandown2100m25 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT51.7L
  6. 2Ballarat2000m10 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD30.1L
  7. 1Kyneton1887m27 Feb 2026 · MDN SW · SOFT6-3.5
  8. 2Kyneton1479m10 Feb 2026 · 3UP F&M MDN-SW · GOOD40.8L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 44% in Last 100 Rides

  • Hot Jockey

    Positive

    Dylan Dunn in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 52%

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 29%

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Started $6 when safely held in Benchmark 62 company in testing conditions at Ballarat after lengthy absence. Will be fitter second-up. Can make her presence felt.

ILB

Started $6.00 and ran 5th last start at Ballarat. Looking for an improved run. Strong claims.

RP

Fair effort when beaten just over 4l, finishing fifth of eight over 1m at Ballarat (handicap) last Monday; generally struggled with a record of 1-13; this line-up contains some strong opposition so not one to rely on.

RSIS

Started 5/1 and finished 5th last time at Ballarat. Giving another go here. Very capable of taking this out.

7Fiery DealJ: Lachlan Neindorf·T: Peter Gelagotis558kg1 3 11 9 411: 2-1-1$9.00$2.35

Career

11: 2-1-1

Rating · IRD

82

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Kyneton

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Pakenham Synthetic

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1415m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    8: 2-1-1

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    2: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 4Pakenham Synthetic2200m2 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · SYNTHETIC4.65L
  2. 9Sale1732m13 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD44.9L
  3. 11Pakenham Synthetic1400m16 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SYNTHETIC10.9L
  4. 3Pakenham2000m23 Jan 2026 · 3UP F&M BM70 HCP · GOOD31.8L
  5. 1Cranbourne2025m10 Jan 2026 · 0-62 · GOOD4-1
  6. 6Seymour2000m28 Dec 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD43.4L
  7. 2Kyneton1856m11 Dec 2025 · BM62 · GOOD41.5L
  8. 7Ballarat1400m20 Nov 2025 · 3UP F&M BM62 HCP · GOOD35.7L

Insights

  • Current SR

    Negative

    Rider’s recent POT is returning 37% lower than Career Avg.

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 36% in L100 rides

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Gap In Runs

    Negative

    Not raced for 41 days

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

5 weeks since last run. Fourth in Pakenham jumpout between runs. Could give some cheek.

ILB

Was $15.00 and underwhelming when 4th last run at Pakenham Synthetic. Not hopeless.

RP

This is her level; not beaten that far in fourth (4½l) over 1m3f at Pakenham (handicap) last month; should not be far away if duplicating the form of her most recent win.

RSIS

Odds of 14/1 and mediocre attempt when 4th last run at Pakenham Synthetic.

8WolfessJ: Jackson Radley·T: G Eurell758kg3 12 4 8 521: 2-2-2$14.00$3.10

Career

21: 2-2-2

Rating · IRD

91

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    3: 1-0-1

  • Third-up

    3: 1-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Track Geelong

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Pakenham

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Caulfield Heath

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    5: 0-0-2

  • Distance 1800m

    3: 1-0-0

  • Distance 2000m

    3: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    13: 1-2-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    7: 1-0-2

Last starts

  1. 5Sale2200m25 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · HEAVY102.06L
  2. 8Cranbourne2025m9 Oct 2026 · 3UP F&M HCP · GOOD36.26L
  3. 4Cranbourne2025m25 Sept 2026 · 3UP F&M BM74 HCP · GOOD44L
  4. 12Sandown1800m2 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT57.8L
  5. 3Sandown1600m19 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT71.6L
  6. 7Sandown1400m2 Aug 2026 · BM66 · SOFT710L
  7. 9Sandown1800m11 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD48L
  8. 7Caulfield Heath1600m18 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD44.4L

Insights

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 7%

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 28%

  • Trainer ROI

    Negative

    Trainers runners currently losing 35% Profit on Turnover

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Ran on soundly from midfield on a soft deck at Sale. One for multiples.

ILB

Started $8.50 and ran 5th last start at Sale. Should improve from the last run but bit of extra work to do with more weight. Good enough chance at a very tempting price.

RP

Fair effort when beaten 2l over 1m3f at Sale (handicap) last month; this looks a decent race so others appeal more.

RSIS

Started at 15/2 and came in 5th last start at Sale. Is capable of a resurgence but will have to carry more weight. Must be considered here.

9Earthly CrownJ: Damien Thornton·T: Rhys Archard1057.5kg8 1 5 11 28: 1-1-0$61.00$5.50

Career

8: 1-1-0

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Echuca

    5: 0-1-0

  • Track Kilmore

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Kyneton

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1208m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    5: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    3: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 2Echuca1600m3 Nov 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · SOFT52L
  2. 11Echuca2100m19 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD48.19L
  3. 5Kilmore2000m28 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD35.15L
  4. 1Kilmore1600m13 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-0.5
  5. 8Echuca1400m30 Aug 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT79.5L
  6. 4Bendigo1300m18 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(8)5L
  7. 7Kyneton1208m28 Mar 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · SOFT55.5L
  8. 7Echuca1412m21 Mar 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD46.4L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Maps Poorly

    Negative

    Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 16%

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Awkward Draw

    Negative

    Would have liked a better draw

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

  • Weight Drop

    Positive

    Drops 13kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Kept grinding away for the minors at Echuca in highweight company. Trained here but others carry more punch.

ILB

Strong run when finishing 2nd beaten by 2L last start at Echuca but racing in stronger company. Prefer a return to something a lot easier.

RP

Finished second when beaten 2l over 1m at Echuca (handicap) a week ago.

RSIS

Claimed a spot in the top three when 2nd beaten by 2L last start at Echuca but rising in grade.

10CatalonaJ: Declan Bates·T: Archie Alexander456.5kg4 8 2 5 113: 2-2-0$9.00$2.35

Career

13: 2-2-0

Rating · IRD

78

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Seymour

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Kyneton

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1512m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    5: 1-2-0

  • Going Good

    2: 1-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    3: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    8: 0-2-0

Last starts

  1. 1Wangaratta2000m26 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD4-2
  2. 5Kyneton1856m8 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · SOFT55.9L
  3. 2Echuca1600m30 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT70.5L
  4. 8Geelong1760m10 July 2026 · 2UP BM56 HCP · HEAVY811.6L
  5. 4Geelong1733m19 June 2026 · BM62 · HEAVY94.5L
  6. 5Seymour1600m11 June 2026 · BM62 · SOFT72.8L
  7. 7Ballarat1600m10 May 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT66.9L
  8. 9Cranbourne1400m17 Apr 2026 · 3UP F&M BM62 HCP · SOFT66.4L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -22% POT in their L100 Races

  • Slow Early LS

    Negative

    Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Stationed mid and sustained a strong run at Wangaratta. Tackling stronger now but can't discount.

ILB

Reeled them in when winning last time at Wangaratta but competing in a higher grade. Most likely not today.

RP

Successful by 2l at Wangaratta last month; interesting.

RSIS

Rounded them up to win last start at Wangaratta but competing in a higher grade.

11Our ParamourJ: Jett Stanley·T: Aaron Laing354kg10 11 5 10 716: 1-0-3$81.00$7.00

Career

16: 1-0-3

Rating · IRD

78

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-0-2

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Ararat

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Sandown

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1425m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    3: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1800m

    2: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    11: 1-0-2

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    4: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 7Yarra Valley1514m24 Oct 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT54.83L
  2. 10Moe2050m13 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · HEAVY1034L
  3. 5Traralgon2800m5 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(8)20.8L
  4. 11Swan Hill1600m6 June 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT65.7L
  5. 10Seymour1425m21 May 2026 · 2UP BM62 HCP · SOFT67.6L
  6. 3Moe1214m12 May 2026 · 2UP BM56 HCP · SOFT75.5L
  7. 11Colac2000m6 Feb 2026 · 0 - 62 · GOOD411.6L
  8. 8Sandown1800m21 Jan 2026 · 0 - 62 · GOOD47.2L

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 44%

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Backmarker who doesn't win out of turn. Others more persuasive.

ILB

Jumped at $12.00 and basic showing when 7th last time at Yarra Valley but going up in distance. Might be ridden for luck. Facing stiffer opposition. Prefer to watch.

RP

Just the one victory on her CV; not disgraced when seventh over 7½f at Yarra Glen (handicap) last month on debut for this trainer; meeting some horses in good form and others have more pressing claims.

RSIS

Started 11/1 and had difficulty when 7th last start at Yarra Vstall but racing over more ground. Likely to get back in the field. Testing ability against stronger contenders.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.

Past meetings

  • Sun 11 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 10 races
  • Thu 10 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races