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Launceston (TAS) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Launceston (TAS), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Wed 11 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Wed, 11 NovLaunceston (TAS)Change

Race 4 — Happy 80Th Dennis (Bm68) 1100m · jumps

Race preview

Welcome to Launceston for race four on the card, the Happy 80Th Dennis BM68 over 1100m on a Good 4 track under fine skies. The win market order has Geegees Missile sitting at the head of affairs, closely followed by Novalargo, Taroona, Global Turn, Popilita, Baybougg, and Obviously Good rounding out the list. The bold play and where the value sits in this competitive benchmark test requires a close look at the credentials of these market elect.

Taking a look at the form underpinning those shorter prices, Geegees Missile comes in with solid recent efforts at this level, including a pair of thirds over 1220m here and 1150m on the synthetic surface. Trainer S Gandy's charge has been racing consistently without winning lately, but this assignment looks very achievable. Meanwhile, Novalargo for trainer G J Stevenson maps well from barrier 5 and just missed at this track over 1200m before battling bravely into the minors over 1100m. That runner benefits from a hot jockey and trainer combination that outperforms market expectations significantly, making them a major player here.

Further down the order, Taroona jumps from barrier 2 for Barry Campbell and Troy Baker, arriving fresh off a twenty-week break following an encouraging trial and boasting a strong overall record of five wins from thirteen starts. With speed maps showing Taroona taking up a leader role, and Global Turn resuming from a twenty-one-week break for Stephen Shaw after transferring from South Australia, there are plenty of intriguing angles. The value sits with those runners who can handle the tempo and make the most of their drawn positions in what shapes as a fascinating betting race.

Race notes

  • BM68,BM68 HCP,Benchmark 68
  • GOOD4
  • Fine
  • 7 runners

Shortest win price

Novalargo (6)

2.80

Most career wins

Popilita

6-4-2 from 26 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 4Global Turn

Midfield

  • 7Baybougg

Offpace

  • 3Obviously Good

Onpace

  • 2Geegees Missile
  • 5Popilita

Leader

  • 6Novalargo
  • 1Taroona

  • Taroona · Positive

    Hot J/T Combo

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 58%

  • Geegees Missile · Negative

    Trainer Career

    Trainer Career S/R is 9%

  • Obviously Good · Negative

    Current SR

    Rider’s recent POT is returning 40% lower than Career Avg.

  • Global Turn · Negative

    Rider

    Negative rider change today

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1TaroonaJ: Troy Baker·T: Barry Campbell260kg1 4 1 1 313: 5-1-2$6.00$2.65

Career

13: 5-1-2

Rating · IRD

79

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Hobart

    4: 1-0-0

  • Track Launceston

    6: 1-1-2

  • Track CurrentTrack

    6: 1-1-2

  • Distance 1650m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1120m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    2: 0-0-1

  • Going Soft

    8: 2-1-1

  • Going Synthetic

    3: 3-0-0

Last starts

  1. 3Launceston800m5 Nov 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1L
  2. 1Hobart1390m21 June 2026 · 3Y-SW · SOFT5-0.8
  3. 1Devonport Synthetic1350m14 June 2026 · CL4 SW · SYNTHETIC-0.1
  4. 4Hobart1200m24 May 2026 · 3Y HCP · SOFT53L
  5. 1Devonport Synthetic1350m17 May 2026 · CL2 · SYNTHETIC-1.3
  6. 1Devonport Synthetic1650m3 May 2026 · Class 1 · SYNTHETIC-0.5
  7. 3Launceston1420m17 Apr 2026 · CL1 · GOOD41.4L
  8. 6Launceston1200m27 Mar 2026 · CL1 · SOFT54.4L

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 58%

  • Slow Early LS

    Negative

    Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg

  • Draw Suits

    Positive

    Well drawn inside

  • Increased Dist

    Positive

    Distance rise from last start

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

First-up (20-weeks). Trial was encouraging. Looks a top three chance fresh in this company.

ILB

Fresh today. Made every post a winner when winning by a margin of 3/4L last time at Hobart and has a good draw. Should jump out and bowl along. Potential to run into a place.

RP

Has won here; goes for a hat-trick today; gained narrow success in a conditions race at Hobart five months ago; she's a serious player.

RSIS

Fresh after a break. Gave them all something to chase when winning by a margin of 3/4L last start at Hobart and can find a nice position from the draw.

2Geegees MissileJ: Anthony Darmanin·T: S Gandy657.5kg8 2 2 3 316: 4-4-6$3.40$1.80

Career

16: 4-4-6

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 1-0-1

  • Second-up

    2: 1-1-0

  • Third-up

    2: 1-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Launceston

    4: 1-0-2

  • Track CurrentTrack

    4: 1-0-2

  • Track Devonport Synthetic

    2: 1-0-1

  • Distance 1000m

    5: 1-3-1

  • Distance 1100m

    4: 2-1-1

  • Distance 1150m

    2: 1-0-1

  • Going Good

    5: 0-1-3

  • Going Soft

    9: 3-3-2

  • Going Synthetic

    2: 1-0-1

Last starts

  1. 3Launceston1220m23 Oct 2026 · BM68 · GOOD40.77L
  2. 3Devonport Synthetic1150m26 Aug 2026 · Benchmark 76 · SYNTHETIC3.8L
  3. 2Hobart1100m19 Aug 2026 · BM68 · SOFT50.8L
  4. 2Hobart1000m5 Aug 2026 · BM68 · SOFT70.1L
  5. 8Hobart1200m19 July 2026 · BM68 · SOFT55L
  6. 1Hobart1000m22 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)-0.4
  7. 7Launceston1200m25 Feb 2026 · 3Y-SWP · GOOD47.4L
  8. 2Hobart1000m8 Feb 2026 · CL6 SW · SOFT50.5L

Insights

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 9%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are under performing market expectations by -24%

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 29%

  • Trainer Form

    Negative

    Stable out of form, losing 37% Profit on Turnover

  • Tricky Map

    Negative

    Runners with this map, underperform market by 5%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Honest

    Positive

    Finishing in the money lately

Comments

AAP

Hasn't been all that far away. Pressed on early and stuck on well when supported this course. Form sound this level without winning. This looks very achievable.

ILB

Couldn't maintain the momentum throughout when 3rd beaten by 3/4L last start here and proven runner at this trip. Been in the money multiple times this campaign. Smart type.

RP

A winner over this C&D; recent form has a decent look to it; good effort when beaten into third by three-quarters of a length over 6f here (handicap) last month; if she is able to build on her most recent effort then should get involved.

RSIS

Solid run on the pace before weakening to finish 3rd beaten by 3/4L last time at this track and strong performer at this trip. Can put away most of these.

3Obviously GoodJ: David Pires·T: Sigrid Carr457.5kg4 2 3 5 319: 4-3-1$16.00$4.80

Career

19: 4-3-1

Rating · IRD

72

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 1-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Hobart

    7: 0-2-1

  • Track Launceston

    4: 3-0-0

  • Track Gunnedah

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1350m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1400m

    4: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    8: 0-1-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    9: 3-1-1

Last starts

  1. 3Longford770m6 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.5L
  2. 5Longford800m22 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)4.1L
  3. 3Hobart1420m24 May 2026 · CL4 SW · SOFT51.2L
  4. 2Devonport Synthetic1350m3 May 2026 · BM60 · SYNTHETIC0.8L
  5. 4Hobart1100m12 Apr 2026 · CL4 SW · SOFT53.6L
  6. 1Launceston1200m27 Mar 2026 · CL3 · SOFT5-1
  7. 2Hobart800m23 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)0.2L
  8. 7Launceston1400m25 Feb 2026 · CL4 SW · GOOD46.1L

Insights

  • Current SR

    Negative

    Rider’s recent POT is returning 40% lower than Career Avg.

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -56% POT in their L100 Races

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 52% in L100 rides

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 23%

  • Increased Dist

    Positive

    Distance rise from last start

  • Form At Track

    Positive

    3 time winner here at Launceston

  • Ready To Strike

    Positive

    Can be rewarded for recent consistent form

Comments

AAP

Resuming (24-weeks). Given two trials and has placed first-up. Back to weaker company. Right in the mix again fresh in this line-up.

ILB

First up after a break. Nice run when 3rd last time at Hobart but coming back in distance. Placed 3rd in a barrier trial at Longford on Oct 6th. Tough ask.

RP

Has been fairly consistent lately and knows how to win here with three course wins; produced an encouraging effort (third of nine, beaten just over 1l) in May at Hobart in a conditions race.

RSIS

First run back after a break. Tidy effort when 3rd last start at Hobart but dropping in distance. Ran 3rd in a trial at Longford on Oct 6th.

4Global TurnJ: Bulent Muhcu·T: Stephen Shaw355.5kg2 1 8 3 430: 4-4-6$5.50$2.50

Career

30: 4-4-6

Rating · IRD

73

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-1-1

  • Second-up

    3: 2-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Geelong

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Morphettville

    15: 2-1-2

  • Track Benalla

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1350m

    3: 2-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    3: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    22: 3-3-5

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    7: 1-1-1

Last starts

  1. 4Longford800m20 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)2.2L
  2. 3Murray Bridge1200m13 June 2026 · F&M 0-64 · SOFT60.3L
  3. 8Morphettville1250m16 May 2026 · Benchmark 64 · SOFT53.3L
  4. 1Strathalbyn1350m29 Apr 2026 · BM62 · SOFT5-0.5
  5. 2Murray Bridge1200m10 Apr 2026 · 0-62 · SOFT50.9L
  6. 7Murray Bridge1200m7 Mar 2026 · F&M 0-62 · GOOD42.7L
  7. 7Morphettville1200m7 Feb 2026 · BM68 · GOOD44.9L
  8. 3Murray Bridge1200m17 Jan 2026 · 4UP M 0-66 · GOOD40.4L

Insights

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Early Splits

    Negative

    Out of races with slow early tempos

  • Up In Dist

    Positive

    Racing at a more suitable distance

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

First-up (21-weeks). Ex P Stokes in SA. Has performed well previously first-up without winning while having an easy trial in readiness. Big watch under new trainer.

ILB

Resuming. Competed in a tight contest last time at Murray Bridge. Racing for a new trainer. Finished 4th in a trial at Longford on Oct 20th. Likely to get back. Not interested.

RP

Missed out by a head over 6f at Murray Bridge Gh (handicap) five months ago; first start for stable.

RSIS

Resumes after a break. Right in contention last start at Murray Bridge. Racing for a new trainer. Finished 4th in a trial at Longford on Oct 20th.

5PopilitaJ: Indi Bowles·T: G J Mcculloch755.5kg6 5 7 2 126: 6-4-2$9.00$3.70

Career

26: 6-4-2

Rating · IRD

72

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    3: 2-0-0

  • Track Devonport Synthetic

    3: 1-0-0

  • Track Hobart

    11: 2-1-2

  • Track Launceston

    11: 2-3-0

  • Distance 800m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    3: 1-1-0

  • Distance 1009m

    3: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    8: 0-1-0

  • Going Synthetic

    3: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    14: 5-3-2

Last starts

  1. 1Launceston1100m30 Oct 2026 · BM60 · GOOD4-0.35
  2. 2Longford800m20 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)0.1L
  3. 7Launceston1100m2 Oct 2026 · BM60 · SOFT51.72L
  4. 5Longford800m25 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)3.6L
  5. 6Devonport Synthetic1009m14 June 2026 · OPEN HCP · SYNTHETIC8.5L
  6. 12Hobart1200m7 June 2026 · BM68 · SOFT56.1L
  7. 10Hobart1200m24 May 2026 · BM68 · SOFT58.1L
  8. 7Launceston1220m4 Mar 2026 · BM68 · SOFT56.1L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Key Rider

    Positive

    Indi Bowles 24% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 205%

  • Stable In Form

    Positive

    Stable going well. Out performing market by 37%

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 20% POT in L100 Runners

  • Tricky Map

    Negative

    Runners with this map, underperform market by 5%

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

Comments

AAP

Gritty on pace victory (Bm60) this track when second-up. Has early speed. One for multiples.

ILB

Dashed home to win last start at this venue. The large claim from Indi Bowles helps. Can't entertain a bet.

RP

Successful by a neck to claim second C&D win last month; must be respected.

RSIS

Was eating up the ground late to win last time around here. The large claim from Indi Bowles helps.

6NovalargoJ: Kirra-Lee Lane·T: G J Stevenson554.5kg6 2 2 2 310: 2-2-3$2.80$1.60

Career

10: 2-2-3

Rating · IRD

89

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-1-1

  • Second-up

    2: 1-0-1

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Hobart

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Launceston

    8: 2-2-2

  • Track CurrentTrack

    8: 2-2-2

  • Distance 1100m

    3: 1-1-0

  • Distance 1150m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1200m

    4: 1-1-1

  • Going Good

    5: 1-1-2

  • Going Soft

    4: 1-1-0

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 3Launceston1200m30 Oct 2026 · CL2 · GOOD41.4L
  2. 2Launceston1100m9 Oct 2026 · CL2 · GOOD40.5L
  3. 2Devonport Synthetic800m15 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SYNTHETIC3.5L
  4. 2Longford800m8 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)0.4L
  5. 6Launceston1220m17 Apr 2026 · CL2 · GOOD41.5L
  6. 3Launceston1400m3 Apr 2026 · CL3 · GOOD41.3L
  7. 2Launceston1200m27 Mar 2026 · CL3 · SOFT51L
  8. 5Launceston1200m13 Mar 2026 · BM60 · SOFT52.8L

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 59%

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 23%

  • Early Splits

    Negative

    Out of races with slow early tempos

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Just missed at Launceston 9 Oct. On speed, had enough in the tank for the minors Hcp (C2) this venue second-up. Has early speed. Sharper now, major player here.

ILB

Was outmatched at the end of the race when 3rd beaten by 1 1/2L last time here and gets a reduction in weight. Should give this a shake.

RP

Third here when evens over 6f (handicap) last month; has been consistent of late; brings winning C&D form to the table.

RSIS

Even though fading late still grabbed 3rd beaten by 1 1/2L last time at the track and will appreciate the drop in weight. Will be in the finish.

7BaybouggJ: Lauryn Bingley·T: J K Blacker154kg6 4 6 1 429: 4-5-2$13.00$4.20

Career

29: 4-5-2

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    2: 0-2-0

  • Third-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    8: 1-2-0

  • Track Longford

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Devonport Synthetic

    8: 0-1-1

  • Distance 1200m

    4: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    4: 2-1-0

  • Distance 1430m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    9: 3-3-0

  • Going Synthetic

    8: 0-1-1

Last starts

  1. 4Launceston1100m30 Oct 2026 · BM60 · GOOD41.85L
  2. 1Longford770m6 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-0.2
  3. 6Devonport Synthetic1150m26 July 2026 · CL4 SW · SYNTHETIC3.62L
  4. 4Devonport Synthetic800m7 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SYNTHETIC2.4L
  5. 6Devonport Synthetic1350m9 Mar 2026 · BM68 · SYNTHETIC4.8L
  6. 4Launceston1400m20 Feb 2026 · 3&4Y HCP · GOOD42.4L
  7. 5Hobart1600m6 Feb 2026 · BM60 · GOOD42.3L
  8. 2Launceston1400m9 Jan 2026 · BM64 F&M · SOFT51.8L

Insights

  • Tricky Map

    Negative

    Runners with this map, underperform market by 7%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Nice Barrier

    Positive

    Well drawn from gate 1

  • Form 3rd Up

    Positive

    Has won 1 from 2 when third up

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

  • Down In Weight

    Positive

    Drops 4kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Closed off late from the tail this track off spell. Strips fitter. Could add some value to exotics.

ILB

At $11.00 crept into 4th last start around here and gets the perfect barrier. Might have to make up considerable ground. Gets some weight relief. Very hard to have.

RP

Has won here; generally modest form since handicap success at Longford on New Year's Day; respectable effort when behind the reopposing Popilita 12 days ago; facing a testing assignment and is passed over.

RSIS

Started 10/1 and passed some rivals in the late stages when 4th last time at this track and has a nice advantage with a good stall. Gets some weight relief.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.

Past meetings

  • Fri 30 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 10 races
  • Fri 23 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races
  • Fri 16 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races
  • Fri 9 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races
  • Fri 2 Oct, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
  • Fri 25 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 9 races
  • Wed 16 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races