Shortest win price
King Candy (7)
3.00
Launceston hosts a competitive Ladbrokes Flex Your Multi Stays Alive Mdn Plate over 1200m on a good4 surface under fine weather conditions. The win market order places King Candy at the head of affairs, closely followed by Mr Tod, Nine Choirs, and Pipe Down Ellie in the early betting sequence. Punters assessing this maiden field will find plenty of tactical intrigue as the runners line up for this afternoon test at 6:05 pm AEDT.
King Candy sits prominently in the market after a bold second over this exact 1200m course at Launceston following a lengthy absence, and natural improvement second-up should keep them right in the mix. Mr Tod is another prominent market elect, bringing solid Launceston track experience with minor placings and a brave third in a 3yo+ maiden here off an extended spell. Meanwhile, Nine Choirs comes back in distance after leading and feeling the pinch late over 1400m at this venue, suggesting a safer place configuration might apply here.
Further down the line, runners like Pipe Down Ellie return from a long break following an encouraging trial, though barrier ten and a second campaign start point towards needing the run. The speed map points to solid early pressure with leaders and onpace runners like Mr Tod and King Candy prominent in the initial stages, so the bold play relies on those better-conditioned types handling the tempo and finding clear air when it counts.
Shortest win price
King Candy (7)
3.00
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Midfield
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
Alpine Alfie · Negative
Trainer Career
Trainer Career S/R is 5%
Eucumbene · Negative
Trainer Career
Trainer Career S/R is 1%
Mr Tod · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -45% POT in their L100 Races
Remis Award · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 72%
Career
5: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
75
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Hobart
2: 0-0-0
Track Launceston
3: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 5%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 32%
AAP
Settled back and didn't figure second-up in the 3yo+ Mdn this track. Can't enthuse.
ILB
Odds of $19.00 and came in 8th last start at this venue. Won't find this easy.
RP
Best he's managed so far is fifth from five career starts; held when eighth of 12 last month; probably unlikely to trouble the principals.
RSIS
Started 18/1 and ran 8th last run at the track.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Onpace
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 30% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer SR
Negative
Bradley Franklin striking at just 7%
Jockey Booking
Positive
Luke P Dempsey 40% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 28%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Winkers On
Positive
Important gear change of winkers on
Up In Weight
Negative
Goes up 4kg weight here
AAP
Went close at Launceston 2 Oct. Off pace and comfortably beaten this track second-up. More a minor money chance here.
ILB
Was $3.00 and tailed off to finish 6th last time at this venue and goes up in weight.
RSIS
Odds of 2/1 and didn't attack the line when 6th last start at this venue and carrying more weight than last time.
Career
2: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
71
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Devonport Synthetic
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1150m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
2: 0-0-0
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 1%
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -28% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 74%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 79% Profit on Turnover
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Let-up (77-days). Raced in back half and was never in a position to mount a serious challenge at Devonport Synthetic. Since trialled at Longford 20 Oct. Sharper now, outside place prospect at best fresh in this company.
ILB
First up after a break. At $101.00 couldn't stay in touch when 7th last start at Devonport Synthetic. Should be rolling forward early from the wide alley. Cannot have in this race.
RP
Not disgraced in seventh at Devonport over 6½f (maiden) in August; passed over.
RSIS
Fresh today. Odds of 100/1 and struggled with the pace when 7th last start at Devonport Synthetic. Should be rolling forward early from the wide stall.
Career
4: 0-0-2
Rating · IRD
88
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Launceston
4: 0-0-2
Track CurrentTrack
4: 0-0-2
Distance 1200m
4: 0-0-2
Going Soft
3: 0-0-1
Going Good
1: 0-0-1
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -45% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 27%
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 52% in L100 rides
Ideal Map
Positive
Map position exceeding market by 2%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
AAP
Fought bravely to the wire in the 3yo+ Mdn this venue off extended spell. Better conditioned. Tactical speed, inside draw. Highly rated in this line-up.
ILB
Looked good when 3rd last start at this venue. Expecting to settle positively. Good chance and definitely has claims.
RP
Was thereabouts (third of 12, 28-1) two weeks ago; one to consider.
RSIS
Tidy effort when 3rd last run here. Shows good early pace. Good enough chance at a very tempting price.
Career
1: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Launceston
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 72%
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start
AAP
In strong stable however well down the track this course on debut at double-figure odds. Since trialled at Launceston 5 Nov. Has a fair bit to find.
ILB
Jumped at $26.00 and looked outclassed when 11th last start at this track but having second career run. Ran 5th in a barrier trial here on Nov 5th. A long shot.
RP
Finished last of 11 on his debut last month finishing a fair way behind two of these over C&D; could improve but still hard to see him winning here.
RSIS
Was 25/1 and tailed off to finish 11th last start at this venue but having second career run. Ran 5th in a trial here on Nov 5th.
Rating · IRD
20
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
AAP
Kicks off second campaign (26-weeks). Not too far off the mark in his first preparation. Tuned up with a couple of trials. Open to further progress. Treat warily.
ILB
Fresh after break of 26 weeks. At $2.60 was overrun when 4th last run at Hobart and will try to take advantage of the draw.
RSIS
Resuming after a 26 week break. Started 8/5 and lost ground late when 4th last run at Hobart and gets a favourable stall.
Career
5: 0-2-0
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-2-0
Track CurrentTrack
4: 0-2-0
Track Hobart
1: 0-0-0
Track Launceston
4: 0-2-0
Distance 1100m
3: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-1-0
Going Good
4: 0-2-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 20% POT in L100 Runners
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
AAP
Raced well in Stakes company. Came home hot on their heels to grab second 3yo+ Mdn this track after lengthy absence. Will be fitter second-up. Among the dangers again.
ILB
Flashed home late into 2nd beaten by 1L last time around here. Winning chance.
RP
Signs of improvement on last two runs; went down by 1l when runner-up had four of the horses he faces behind two weeks ago.
RSIS
Good run when finishing 2nd last run here. Will go close today.
Career
8: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
76
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Launceston
3: 0-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
3: 0-0-1
Track Devonport Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1150m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
5: 0-0-1
Going Good
2: 0-0-1
Going Soft
5: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 37% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 1%
Key Rider
Positive
Kelvin Sanderson 41% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 69%
Hot Jockey
Positive
Kelvin Sanderson in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 41%
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
AAP
On speed, had enough in the tank for the minors 3yo+ Mdn Plate this venue first run back. Not fancied.
ILB
Set a strong tempo before weakening to place 3rd beaten by 1L last run at this venue and can save some energy from the barrier. Slim chance.
RP
Had two of these rivals behind her when beaten 1l into third at 150-1 four weeks ago; has raised her game the last twice but still winless and defeats stacking up (eight on the bounce).
RSIS
Grabbed towards the finish when 3rd last run around here and drawn nicely.
Career
5: 0-1-1
Rating · IRD
87
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Mornington
1: 0-0-0
Track Devonport Synthetic
4: 0-1-1
Distance 1150m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1650m
2: 0-1-1
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
4: 0-1-1
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Trainer SR
Negative
Yassy Nishitani striking at just 7%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 28%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Dist Drop
Negative
Distance decrease from last start
Improver
Positive
Poised to improve on recent form here
AAP
Let-up (63-days). Ran on late into the placings at Devonport Synthetic over longer test. Not out of it fresh in this company.
ILB
First up. Ran on when 2nd beaten by 3/4L last time at Devonport Synthetic and has a good draw. Dropping in distance. Definite claims for punters.
RP
Has found improvement of late; not beaten far over 1m at Devonport (maiden) in September.
RSIS
Fresh after a break. Nice effort to run into 2nd last run at Devonport Synthetic and will try to take advantage of the stall. Will be down in distance. Has strong claims.
Career
3: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
95
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
1: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Launceston
3: 0-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
3: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-1
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 10%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 29%
AAP
Led, gave away final stages this track latest outing. Coming back in distance. Looks a safer place proposition.
ILB
Jumped at $7.50 and finished 5th last run around here. Looking past the last run. Can win.
RP
Far from disgraced (beaten just under 2l) over 7f here (maiden) last month; respected as shown she can be competitive fairly recently.
RSIS
At 13/2 finished 5th last run here. Expecting improvement here. Has a good chance.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Onpace
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 52% lower than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 63% in L100 rides
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 23%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Improver
Positive
Poised to improve on recent form here
AAP
Shown some ability. Trailed pace and ran on gamely this venue over this distance. Sound claims.
ILB
Amongst the placegetters when 2nd beaten by 1/2L last run at this venue.
RSIS
Improved to place when 2nd last time around here.
Career
23: 0-0-4
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
4: 0-0-2
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Hobart
13: 0-0-1
Track Launceston
10: 0-0-3
Track CurrentTrack
10: 0-0-3
Distance 1430m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
3: 0-0-1
Going Good
11: 0-0-1
Going Soft
12: 0-0-3
Trainer SR
Negative
Stephen Lockhart striking at just 2%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 55%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Form Revival
Positive
Turning form around with last couple
Weight Increase
Negative
Rises 4kg now
AAP
Restrained from wide gate, let down late into the minors this venue. Harder to warm to here.
ILB
Produced an eye catching run when 3rd beaten by 3L last start here. The large claim from Robyn Lynch helps. Could feature here.
RP
Finished ahead of three of these here over 5½f (maiden) when beaten 3l into third at 28-1 19 days ago; has displayed improved form on last two starts but winless with run of consecutive defeats standing at 23.
RSIS
Flashed home late into 3rd last time at the track. The large claim from Robyn Lynch helps. Betting is the best guide.
Career
4: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Launceston
3: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
3: 0-0-0
Track Devonport Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1009m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1120m
1: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-0
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 43% lower than Career Avg.
Trainer SR
Negative
Barry Baker striking at just 1%
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 69%
Winkers On
Positive
Important gear change of winkers on
AAP
Made some headway without troubling this course. Looks a safer place proposition.
ILB
Was $7.50 and inched into 4th last start around here. Should muster plenty of early speed. Interesting to see the winkers go on for the first time. Respect the betting.
RP
Not disgraced in fourth over 5½f here (maiden) last month; has been on the scene in the recent past and some hopes.
RSIS
Odds of 13/2 and made some ground when 4th last start at this venue. Should muster plenty of early toe. Not at all out of this race.
Career
2: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Launceston
2: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1120m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1220m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -23% POT in their L100 Races
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Winkers On
Positive
Important gear change of winkers on
AAP
In strong stable however two runs to date have been lacklustre. Hard to make a case.
ILB
Disappointing effort when 9th last start at this venue.
RP
Finished last of nine over 5½f here (maiden) when behind three of these last month; in the mix.
RSIS
Just average when 9th last time at this venue.
Career
2: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Launceston
2: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 30% better than Career Avg.
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 5%
Jockey Booking
Positive
Luke P Dempsey 40% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 25%
Map Suits
Positive
Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 1%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Long Break
Negative
Resumes from a 336 day break (> 300 days)
AAP
Second campaign (48-weeks). Trial was encouraging. Expect will need the run.
ILB
First run back from a spell of 48 weeks. Jumped at $151.00 and faded away to finish 11th last run at this venue. Can't have in this.
RP
Finished towards the rear of 13 last December; back from an absence here.
RSIS
First run back after a break of 48 weeks. At 150/1 didn't threaten when 11th last start at the track. Success in a trial at Longford on Oct 27th.
Career
3: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
75
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Track Launceston
3: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1120m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Map Suits
Positive
Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 1%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Winkers Off
Positive
Winkers coming off this start
AAP
Inexperienced and showing little. Well back and never a factor this track off long spell. Looks up against it.
ILB
At $51.00 appeared lacklustre when 7th last run at the track. Winkers go off for the first time. Displays good tactical speed. Will be tested.
RP
Not beaten that far over 5½f here (maiden) three weeks ago.
RSIS
Started 50/1 and basic showing when 7th last time at this venue. Should race on the pace. Cheekpieces go off for the first time.
Career
3: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
71
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Hobart
2: 0-0-0
Track Launceston
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 41%
Map Suits
Positive
Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 1%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature
AAP
Safely held at long odds in early career starts. Finished down the track in three runs.
ILB
Started at $101.00 and performed below standard when 10th last run here. Might be ridden for luck. Cannot have today.
RP
Tenth of 12 last month.
RSIS
Was 100/1 and below par when 10th last time at the track. Might be ridden for luck.
Career
5: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Launceston
5: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
5: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1620m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-0
Track Stats
Negative
Tends to struggle at this track
AAP
No threat as a $101 chance in 3yo+ Mdn this course. Poor career figures and facing another uphill task.
ILB
Folded up in the straight when 12th last time at the track and hoping that the added weight won't hurt.
RP
Finished last of 12 when dropped back to this trip last month.
RSIS
Was well beaten when 12th last time at this venue and has to cope with a weight increase.
Career
6: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Leader
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Hobart
5: 0-0-0
Track Devonport Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1009m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
5: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 92%
Stable In Form
Positive
Stable going well. Out performing market by 92%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 64% POT in L100 Runners
Ideal Map
Positive
Map position exceeding market by 1%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
First-up (12-weeks). Ex Jessie Bazan Tasmania. Latest trial was solid enough. Others rate stronger.
ILB
Resuming after a spell. Was $11.00 and lost ground in the run home when 11th last run at Hobart. First start for a new trainer.
RP
Towards the rear of 13 over 5½f at Hobart (maiden) in August; first run for trainer.
RSIS
Fresh after a break. Was 10/1 and couldn't stay in touch when 11th last run at Hobart. Change in trainer.