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Launceston (TAS) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Launceston (TAS), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Wed 11 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Wed, 11 NovLaunceston (TAS)Change

Race 3 — Belle Blacker Hcp (C3) 1200m · jumps

Race preview

Welcome to Launceston for the Belle Blacker Hcp (C3) over 1200m on a Good 4 surface under fine weather conditions, with the jump slated for 7:10 pm AEDT. Looking at how the win market is shaping up, Southern Auroras holds down the early mantle at the head of betting, closely followed by Mcveigh, The Trine, and Berserker in that order.

Digging into the form behind those shorter prices, Southern Auroras comes out of S Gandy's stable with Chloe Wells aboard from barrier 5, having chased hard into second place over this exact track and distance in class 3 company last time out. Mcveigh lines up for Adam Trinder from barrier 1 with Erica Byrne Burke in the saddle, attempting a hat-trick of venue wins after leading throughout to score over 1120m here off a long break. Meanwhile, The Trine returns from a 36-week spell for S Gandy from barrier 2 with Anthony Darmanin taking the ride, boasting a fresh minor placing last campaign and some sharp finishing sectionals.

Further down the order, Berserker represents Stephen Shaw from barrier 3 with Bulent Muhcu engaged, returning fresh off two encouraging barrier trials and holding a win at the first-up stage previously. The speed map points to Mcveigh taking up the running early from the inside alley, while Platinum Reggae brings early speed that could prove handy on this tight circuit. The value sits with stepping up into this race with clear intent, and our opinion leans toward the consistent form lines holding sway.

Race notes

  • CL3,CLASS 3 HCP,Class 3
  • GOOD4
  • Fine
  • 6 runners

Shortest win price

Southern Auroras (4)

2.10

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 7Star Walkin'

Offmidfield

  • 1The Trine

Midfield

  • 5Berserker

Offpace

  • 6Platinum Reggae

Onpace

  • 4Southern Auroras

Leader

  • 2Mcveigh

  • The Trine · Positive

    Fast Finisher

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Mcveigh · Positive

    Trainer Form

    In form stable, out performing market expectations 29%

  • Southern Auroras · Negative

    Trainer SR

    Stuart Gandy striking at just 10%

  • Berserker · Negative

    Jockey Booking

    Less suitable jockey engaged

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1The TrineJ: Anthony Darmanin·T: S Gandy259kg1 3 5 3 312: 3-1-5$3.80$1.75

Career

12: 3-1-5

Rating · IRD

94

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-1-1

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Hobart

    7: 2-1-2

  • Track Launceston

    5: 1-0-3

  • Track CurrentTrack

    5: 1-0-3

  • Distance 1100m

    4: 1-1-1

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 0-0-2

  • Distance 1390m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    7: 1-1-3

  • Going Soft

    5: 2-0-2

Last starts

  1. 3Longford800m20 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)2L
  2. 3Launceston1620m4 Mar 2026 · BM68 · SOFT51.5L
  3. 5Launceston1400m20 Feb 2026 · 3&4Y HCP · GOOD43.4L
  4. 3Hobart1390m6 Feb 2026 · BM64 · GOOD42L
  5. 1Hobart1400m18 Jan 2026 · CL4 SW · GOOD4-2.75
  6. 4Hobart1400m2 Jan 2026 · CL4 SW · GOOD44L
  7. 1Hobart1400m14 Dec 2025 · CL1 · SOFT5-0.2
  8. 3Hobart1200m23 Nov 2025 · CL1 · GOOD43.1L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 10%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are under performing market expectations by -24%

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 29%

  • Trainer Form

    Negative

    Stable out of form, losing 37% Profit on Turnover

  • Tricky Map

    Negative

    Runners with this map, underperform market by 7%

  • Early Splits

    Negative

    Out of races with slow early tempos

  • Nice Barrier

    Positive

    Well drawn from gate 2

Comments

AAP

Resuming (36-weeks). In the minors first-up last campaign while trialling well in the lead-up. Gets all the favours from ace draw. Stacks up well fresh.

ILB

Fresh after a 36 week spell. Came on strongly to finish 3rd last time at this track and has a positive alley. Anthony Darmanin is a bonus. Has every chance.

RP

Possesses winning form at this track; finishing third was a good effort in March upped to 1m; returns from a break here; should figure.

RSIS

First run back after a break of 36 weeks. Came on strongly to finish 3rd when beaten by 1 1/2L last run here and drawn nicely. Will be in the finish.

2McveighJ: Erica Byrne Burke·T: Adam Trinder157.5kg4 2 1 2 15: 2-1-0$3.90$1.85

Career

5: 2-1-0

Rating · IRD

82

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Launceston

    5: 2-1-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    5: 2-1-0

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1220m

    2: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1120m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    3: 2-0-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 1Launceston1120m23 Oct 2026 · CL1 · GOOD4-1
  2. 2Devonport Synthetic800m13 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · SYNTHETIC0.4L
  3. 1Launceston1220m17 Apr 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · GOOD4-3.3
  4. 2Launceston1200m10 Apr 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · SOFT52L
  5. 4Launceston1200m20 Mar 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD41.5L
  6. 9Launceston1220m30 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT58.4L
  7. 1Longford800m13 Jan 2026 · Barrier Trial-2.3

Insights

  • Trainer Form

    Positive

    In form stable, out performing market expectations 29%

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 10% POT in L100 Runners

  • Key Jockey

    Positive

    Erica Byrne Burke winning at 7% POT in last 100 rides

  • Tricky Map

    Negative

    Runners with this map, underperform market by 7%

  • Early Sectionals

    Negative

    Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Draw Suits

    Positive

    Well drawn inside

  • Lightly Raced

    Positive

    Limited race experience but shown potential

Comments

AAP

Attempting hat-trick of wins at this venue. Led, responded strongly to score in small field this course off long break. Won second-up last campaign. Can deliver again.

ILB

Took charge of the race when winning by a margin of 1L last time around here and can save some energy from the barrier. Promising career start. Can measure up against these.

RP

Came out on top by 1l over 5½f here (handicap) three weeks ago; seeking a hat-trick today and has taken a step forward the last twice; just second start in this company; respected.

RSIS

Dictated terms in front when winning by 1L last run at this track and good career start. Should be going forward early. Drawn well. Not out of this.

3Jenni The CatScratched4––––

Rating · IRD

20

Comments

AAP

Gave solid chase in a good effort this track when second-up when fancied. Switching to 1200m.

ILB

Started at $2.05 and outpaced some runners late when 4th last time at the track.

RSIS

Started 21/20 and ran past a few when 4th last run at this track.

4Southern AurorasJ: Chloe Wells·T: S Gandy556.5kg1 1 5 4 214: 3-3-4$2.10$1.28

Career

14: 3-3-4

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 1-1-0

  • Second-up

    2: 2-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Track Hobart

    12: 3-2-4

  • Track Launceston

    2: 0-1-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    2: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1390m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1400m

    2: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    7: 0-3-2

  • Going Soft

    7: 3-0-2

Last starts

  1. 2Launceston1200m16 Oct 2026 · CL3 · GOOD41.75L
  2. 4Launceston1220m25 Sept 2026 · CL3 · GOOD43.5L
  3. 5Hobart1400m19 Aug 2026 · C5 · SOFT52.2L
  4. 1Hobart1200m5 Aug 2026 · CL2 · SOFT7-1.5
  5. 1Hobart1200m19 July 2026 · CL1 · SOFT5-2.5
  6. 2Hobart800m22 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)2L
  7. 2Hobart1390m6 Feb 2026 · CL1 · GOOD41.3L
  8. 4Hobart1200m25 Jan 2026 · CL1 · GOOD41.8L

Insights

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Stuart Gandy striking at just 10%

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 29%

  • Trainer ROI

    Negative

    Trainers runners currently losing 37% Profit on Turnover

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Improved L/S

    Positive

    Improved again last start

Comments

AAP

Came home hot on their heels to grab second Hcp (C3) this venue over this trip. Likes some juice in the track. Rates highly.

ILB

Kept chasing when 2nd beaten by 1 3/4L last start here and suited at this trip historically. Going well this preparation and on an upward trajectory in recent races. Strongly fancied.

RP

Went down by just under 2l when runner-up last month; a proven winner with a career wins-runs record of 3-14; in the mix.

RSIS

Picked up late ground when 2nd last time at the track and strong performer at the trip. Getting better in recent performances. Hard to beat.

5BerserkerJ: Bulent Muhcu·T: Stephen Shaw355kg3 3 4 8 237: 3-6-7$9.00$3.40

Career

37: 3-6-7

Rating · IRD

73

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    6: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    5: 0-1-1

  • Third-up

    5: 1-1-1

  • Fourth-up

    4: 0-1-0

  • Track Hobart

    21: 1-3-4

  • Track Launceston

    9: 1-0-2

  • Track CurrentTrack

    9: 1-0-2

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1150m

    5: 1-2-1

  • Distance 1200m

    4: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    15: 1-3-2

  • Going Soft

    15: 1-0-4

  • Going Synthetic

    7: 1-3-1

Last starts

  1. 2Longford800m20 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)0.1L
  2. 8Hobart1600m7 June 2026 · BM60 · SOFT52L
  3. 4Hobart1420m24 May 2026 · CL4 SW · SOFT51.3L
  4. 3Hobart1600m10 May 2026 · CL3 · SOFT50.9L
  5. 3Hobart1400m27 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.2L
  6. 4Hobart1430m22 Mar 2026 · BM60 · GOOD41.9L
  7. 3Launceston1420m4 Mar 2026 · CL3 · SOFT51L
  8. 2Hobart1390m6 Feb 2026 · BM64 · GOOD40.1L

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Ideal Map

    Positive

    Map position exceeding market by 2%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Increased Dist

    Positive

    Distance rise from last start

  • Improved L/S

    Positive

    Improved again last start

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

First-up (22-weeks). Two solid trials have brought him on nicely and has won first-up. Been competitive this level. Worth a look fresh in this affair.

ILB

First up from a break of 22 weeks and rounded them up to win first up last preparation at Devonport Synthetic. Fitter for placing in all trials. Down in trip. Not likely to be troubling the more fancied runners today.

RP

Has won at this course; finished eighth but only beaten 2l over 1m at Hobart (handicap) in June; returns from a layoff; others are preferred as not in the habit of winning recently.

RSIS

Resuming and flew home to win resuming last preparation at Devonport Synthetic. Has placed in all trials but down in distance. Up in class. Gets some weight relief.

6Platinum ReggaeJ: Codi Jordan·T: Trent Wells454kg3 5 8 7 723: 2-1-4$26.00$5.50

Career

23: 2-1-4

Rating · IRD

73

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    4: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    3: 0-1-1

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Track Yarra Valley

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Devonport Synthetic

    10: 1-1-2

  • Track Geelong

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1150m

    7: 0-1-1

  • Distance 1200m

    4: 1-0-1

  • Distance 1203m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    10: 1-0-1

  • Going Soft

    3: 0-0-1

  • Going Synthetic

    10: 1-1-2

Last starts

  1. 7Launceston1100m30 Oct 2026 · BM60 · GOOD43.01L
  2. 7Launceston1100m9 Oct 2026 · CL2 · GOOD45.61L
  3. 8Devonport Synthetic1150m28 June 2026 · CL4 SW · SYNTHETIC4.96L
  4. 5Devonport Synthetic1150m14 June 2026 · BM64 · SYNTHETIC1.95L
  5. 3Devonport Synthetic1150m31 May 2026 · CL4 · SYNTHETIC5.52L
  6. 2Devonport Synthetic1150m17 May 2026 · CL4 SW · SYNTHETIC3.5L
  7. 4Devonport Synthetic1009m3 May 2026 · BM60 · SYNTHETIC1.6L
  8. 3Launceston1220m17 Apr 2026 · CL2 · GOOD40.7L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Performance just fair this track when second-up at $18. Could get into the placings.

ILB

Jumped at $18.00 and struggled with the pace when 7th last time at this venue. Entitled to be big odds.

RP

A winner over this C&D; has not been firing consistently; didn't run too badly when out of the frame here (beaten 3l) over 5½f (handicap) last month; easy enough to take on as has a lot on her plate here.

RSIS

Was 17/1 and faded to finish 7th last start at the track.

7Star Walkin'J: Craig Newitt·T: Trent Wells654kg6 6 1 5 818: 2-1-0$16.00$4.20

Career

18: 2-1-0

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    3: 1-1-0

  • Third-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Launceston

    15: 2-1-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    15: 2-1-0

  • Track Devonport Synthetic

    3: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    4: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1150m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    8: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    7: 2-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    3: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 8Launceston1200m30 Oct 2026 · CL2 · GOOD44.9L
  2. 5Longford800m20 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)3L
  3. 1Longford770m6 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-0.1
  4. 6Launceston1200m13 Mar 2026 · BM60 · SOFT53.2L
  5. 6Launceston1100m20 Feb 2026 · CL4 SW · GOOD42.1L
  6. 5Launceston1200m14 Jan 2026 · CL2 · SOFT64.3L
  7. 6Launceston1200m26 Nov 2025 · CL2 · GOOD43.52L
  8. 6Launceston1400m12 Nov 2025 · CL4 SW · GOOD44.1L

Insights

  • Current SR

    Negative

    Rider’s recent POT is returning 43% lower than Career Avg.

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 51% in L100 rides

  • Early Sectionals

    Negative

    Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Had all before him at turn and went home tamely this course off long spell. Others with more appeal.

ILB

Odds of $16.00 and basic showing when 8th last time here. Will be giving the leaders a big start. Cannot recommend as a betting proposition.

RP

Likes this combination of C&D; recent form is unremarkable; not beaten that far last month; a lot on his plate here and not easy to fancy.

RSIS

Was 15/1 and not competitive when 8th last start around here. Prefers to settle towards the tail.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.

Past meetings

  • Fri 30 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 10 races
  • Fri 23 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races
  • Fri 16 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races
  • Fri 9 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races
  • Fri 2 Oct, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
  • Fri 25 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 9 races
  • Wed 16 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races