Launceston (TAS) horses tips & previews

15 Nov, 2:44 am AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Launceston (TAS), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Wed 11 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Wed, 11 NovLaunceston (TAS)Change

Race 6 — John Blacker – Premiership Trainer Hcp 1400m · jumps Wed 11 Nov, 8:57 pm AEDT

Race preview

Launceston plays host to a competitive open handicap over the 1400m on a good four surface under fine skies for the John Blacker Premiership Trainer Handicap scheduled at 8:57 pm AEDT. The win market sees Garcon D'Espoir currently heading discussions, closely followed by Mastretta, Earendel, and Sh'Bourne Midnight holding down the next lines in the order. This sets up an intriguing tactical affair with speed anticipated right across the map from key on-pace runners.

Garcon D'Espoir brings compelling form to the race, having put together a string of consistent performances including a solid second over 1220m here at Launceston followed by another placing over 1650m on the Devonport synthetic surface. Drawn well in barrier four, the runner appears to like it at this venue and sits as a major player under Erica Byrne Burke for trainer Yassy Nishitani. Meanwhile, Mastretta lines up from barrier two for Monica Ryan and Anthony Darmanin after grinding out a hard-fought win over 1220m on this track followed by a sound placing in open handicap company.

Further down the market order, Earendel maps to find a suitable position on the pace where runners historically outperform the market slightly, with Barry Campbell's charge heading into this first-up following three barrier trials. Sh'Bourne Midnight is another prominent chance getting in light from barrier seven for Shaun Nichols and Craig Newitt, resuming here after a sixteen-week break following a competitive campaign in Hobart. With several runners tightly bound in the market and speed coming from multiple lanes, opinions are split on where the value sits, making this a race where taking a bold stance against the shorter prices could pay dividends.

Race notes

HCP,Open
GOOD4
Fine
10 runners

Shortest win price

Garcon D'Espoir (9)

2.75

Most career wins

Fast Thinker

14-10-6 from 65 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

4Zulu Angel

Offmidfield

2Wineglass Bay
5Sh'Bourne Midnight
1Distrustful Award

Midfield

9Garcon D'Espoir
6Zewinna

Offpace

10Hurricane Ketut

Onpace

7Earendel

Leader

3Fast Thinker
8Mastretta

Distrustful Award · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Wineglass Bay · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 30% in Last 100 Rides
Fast Thinker · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 98%
Zulu Angel · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -45% POT in their L100 Races

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Distrustful AwardJ: David Pires·T: J F Luttrell1060kg6 3 3 3 231: 4-2-7$31.00$4.60

Career

31: 4-2-7

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
5: 0-0-2
Second-up
4: 0-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-1-0
Track Sandown
1: 0-0-0
Track Longford
2: 1-0-0
Track Mildura
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1695m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1800m
3: 1-0-0
Distance 2040m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
12: 3-0-1
Going Heavy
3: 0-0-2
Going Soft
15: 1-2-4

Last starts

2Launceston2400m13 Mar 2026 · Open · SOFT51L
3Launceston2400m25 Feb 2026 · GROUP 3 HCP · GOOD41.1L
3Hobart2400m8 Feb 2026 · GROUP 3 HCP · SOFT50.3L
3Launceston2150m30 Jan 2026 · OPN HCP · SOFT53.75L
6Hobart2200m18 Jan 2026 · Open · GOOD46.9L
6Longford1800m1 Jan 2026 · OPEN HCP · SOFT510.2L
7Geelong2400m23 Oct 2025 · 3yo+ · SOFT74.3L
6Seymour1600m12 Oct 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.1L

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -56% POT in their L100 Races
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 52% in L100 rides
Ideal Map
Positive
Map position exceeding market by 1%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Back in Dist
Negative
Dropping back to a less suitable distance range
Better for last start
Positive
Improved with last few runs

Comments

AAP

First-up (34-weeks). Ex P H Luttrell Tasmania. Placed first-up last campaign. Again one for exotics fresh in this affair.

ILB

Back from a spell of 34 weeks. Came on strongly when 2nd last start at this track but dropping back to a shorter trip. Prefers to settle towards the tail. Will struggle against these.

Has won at this course; consistent performer; went down by 1l when runner-up over 1m4f here (handicap) in March; returns from a break here; assuming he steps up from most recent effort then is capable of making an impact.

RSIS

Resuming after a break of 34 weeks. Good effort to finish 2nd last run here but down in trip. Might be ridden for luck.

2Wineglass BayJ: Luke P Dempsey·T: J K Blacker557kg4 6 3 9 641: 7-4-6$18.00$3.80

Career

41: 7-4-6

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
9: 1-0-2
Second-up
8: 1-1-1
Third-up
7: 1-2-0
Fourth-up
4: 2-0-1
Track Caulfield
2: 0-0-0
Track Yarra Valley
1: 0-0-0
Track Southwell
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1380m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1401m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1900m
2: 1-0-0
Going Firm
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
24: 3-3-2
Going Heavy
2: 1-0-1

Last starts

6Launceston1400m16 Oct 2026 · BM76 · GOOD44.56L
9Sandown1400m9 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT75L
3Hobart1380m19 July 2026 · OPEN HCP · SOFT51.3L
6Hobart1200m5 July 2026 · OPEN HCP · SOFT55.4L
4Yarra Valley1950m15 Mar 2026 · HCP · GOOD41.6L
5Launceston2400m25 Feb 2026 · GROUP 3 HCP · GOOD43.1L
7Hobart2400m8 Feb 2026 · GROUP 3 HCP · SOFT54.3L
3Hobart2200m18 Jan 2026 · Open · GOOD42.15L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 30% in Last 100 Rides
Key Rider
Positive
Luke P Dempsey 40% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 65%
Hot Jockey
Positive
Luke P Dempsey in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 40%
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Unable to make an impression this course for new stable. Since trialled at Longford 27 Oct. Could give some cheek at odds.

ILB

At $15.00 gave away some ground when 6th last run at the track. Can make a comeback. Displays very good closing speed. Good chance of taking this out.

Not disgraced when sixth of seven on first run for current trainer 26 days ago; has shown glimpses of ability recently and ought to be in the mix.

RSIS

Started 14/1 and gave away some ground when 6th last run around here. Should improve here. Fitter for a trial at Longford on Oct 27th. Displays very good finishing pace. Can take this out.

3Fast ThinkerJ: Codi Jordan·T: K P Hamilton855.5kg1 11 5 7 365: 14-10-6$51.00$6.00

Career

65: 14-10-6

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
8: 0-1-0
Second-up
7: 1-0-1
Third-up
7: 1-1-1
Fourth-up
6: 2-0-1
Track Beaudesert
3: 0-1-0
Track Hobart
10: 3-2-1
Track Sunshine Coast
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1430m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1420m
2: 1-0-0
Going Heavy
6: 2-2-0
Going Soft
26: 4-2-3
Going Synthetic
8: 2-0-1

Last starts

3Launceston1100m5 Nov 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)0.7L
7Longford800m20 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)6.1L
5Launceston2400m13 Mar 2026 · Open · SOFT54.67L
11Launceston2400m25 Feb 2026 · GROUP 3 HCP · GOOD46.7L
1Longford1400m18 Feb 2026 · Barrier Trial-0.8
1Launceston2150m30 Jan 2026 · OPN HCP · SOFT5-3
6Launceston1400m23 Jan 2026 · BM76 · SOFT54.6L
1Longford1800m1 Jan 2026 · OPEN HCP · SOFT5-3.3

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 98%
Stable In Form
Positive
Stable going well. Out performing market by 87%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 32% POT in L100 Runners
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 7%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start
Improver
Positive
Poised to improve on recent form here
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up

Comments

AAP

First-up (34-weeks). Seasoned performer. Given two trials and has placed first-up. Capable of making an impact fresh in this company with even luck.

ILB

Racing fresh today after a 34 week break. Started at $9.50 and came in 5th last run at this track and down in trip. Highly unlikely it will trouble the judge.

Course specialist who has won four times here; close up behind Distrustful Award when fifth over 1m4f here (handicap) in March; returns from a break today; meeting some horses in good form and one to tread carefully with.

RSIS

First run back from a break of 34 weeks. Started 17/2 and finished 5th last time at this track and dropping in distance.

4Zulu AngelJ: Kirra-Lee Lane·T: J K Blacker655.5kg1 8 2 5 649: 8-11-3$34.00$4.80

Career

49: 8-11-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
6: 0-1-0
Second-up
5: 0-1-1
Third-up
4: 2-1-0
Fourth-up
4: 2-1-0
Track Hobart
15: 2-4-3
Track Bendigo
1: 0-0-0
Track Moonee Valley
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1420m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
8: 1-2-1
Distance 2100m
3: 1-1-0
Going Soft
12: 0-7-0
Going Synthetic
6: 1-1-0
Going Good
30: 7-3-3

Last starts

6Launceston1600m30 Oct 2026 · BM76 · GOOD44.75L
5Launceston1400m16 Oct 2026 · BM76 · GOOD44.5L
2Longford770m6 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)0.1L
8Terang2150m12 Apr 2026 · 3UP HCP · HEAVY1015.8L
1Caulfield2400m21 Mar 2026 · BM78 · GOOD4-0.5
2Launceston2400m25 Feb 2026 · GROUP 3 HCP · GOOD41L
8Hobart2400m8 Feb 2026 · GROUP 3 HCP · SOFT58.3L
6Launceston2150m30 Jan 2026 · OPN HCP · SOFT54.12L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -45% POT in their L100 Races
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Ordinary performance in small field this venue when second-up. Drops to shorter trip. Hard to make a case.

ILB

Was $51.00 and not in contention when 6th last run at the track but will appreciate the drop in weight. Will be giving the leaders a big start. Few more classier types in this race.

Specialist here with four wins; not beaten that far over 1m here (handicap) last month; not hard to turn elsewhere with this looking like a hot contest.

RSIS

Was 50/1 and struggled when 6th last run at this track but gets a reduction in weight. Likely to get back in the run.

5Sh'Bourne MidnightJ: Craig Newitt·T: Shaun Nichols754kg2 3 6 2 621: 7-7-2$9.00$2.60

Career

21: 7-7-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
3: 1-2-0
Second-up
2: 1-0-0
Third-up
2: 2-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Hobart
11: 5-2-1
Track Launceston
10: 2-5-1
Track CurrentTrack
10: 2-5-1
Distance 1390m
2: 1-0-1
Distance 1400m
7: 1-4-0
Distance 1420m
3: 2-0-1
Going Soft
13: 4-6-2
Going Good
8: 3-1-0

Last starts

6Hobart1380m19 July 2026 · OPEN HCP · SOFT51.9L
2Hobart1380m7 June 2026 · BM76 · SOFT51.5L
6Launceston1400m20 Mar 2026 · BM76 · GOOD42.1L
3Longford800m10 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)2.1L
2Launceston1400m23 Jan 2026 · BM76 · SOFT50.3L
6Hobart1600m28 Dec 2025 · INEV STAKES · GOOD48.8L
4Launceston1600m3 Dec 2025 · OPEN HCP · GOOD44.6L
1Hobart1390m23 Nov 2025 · BM76 · GOOD4-0.06

Insights

Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 43% lower than Career Avg.
Top Trainer
Positive
Stable in form at present with a S/R of 22%
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

First-up (16-weeks). Nearly won in Benchmark 72 company at Launceston first-up last campaign while showing enough in recent trials. Gets in light. Right in the mix fresh in this company.

ILB

First up after 16 weeks and kept running on late when 2nd first up last preparation at Hobart. Shaun Nichols stable are running hot lately. Some hope in this event.

Possesses winning form at this track; string of consistent efforts of late; favourite but out of the places when sixth (Hobart) in July; can't be ruled out.

RSIS

Resuming and finished well when 2nd resuming last preparation at Hobart. Shaun Nichols stable are on a hot streak. Can go through the gears.

6ZewinnaJ: Lauryn Bingley·T: J K Blacker154kg5 5 3 3 657: 9-10-6$19.00$3.80

Career

57: 9-10-6

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed20%
Rating20%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
5: 0-0-1
Second-up
4: 1-1-0
Third-up
4: 2-0-0
Fourth-up
4: 1-2-0
Track Hobart
28: 7-5-2
Track Launceston
26: 2-5-2
Track CurrentTrack
26: 2-5-2
Distance 1620m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
6: 1-0-0
Distance 1220m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
27: 4-6-4
Going Soft
27: 5-4-0
Going Synthetic
3: 0-0-2

Last starts

6Launceston800m5 Nov 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)6L
3Devonport Synthetic1880m9 Sept 2026 · HCP · SYNTHETIC1.3L
3Devonport Synthetic1650m2 Sept 2026 · HCP · SYNTHETIC2L
5Hobart1600m19 Aug 2026 · OPEN HCP · SOFT51.6L
5Hobart1380m19 July 2026 · OPEN HCP · SOFT51.5L
5Hobart1380m7 June 2026 · BM76 · SOFT52.6L
1Hobart1600m24 May 2026 · BM68 · SOFT5-0.1
2Hobart1600m10 May 2026 · BM74 · SOFT50.4L

Insights

Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 7%
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Let-up (63-days). Reasonably consistent. Sound performance in small field at Devonport Synthetic over longer assignment. Worth a look fresh in this line-up.

ILB

Back from a break. Came on strongly to finish 3rd when beaten by 1 1/4L last start at Devonport Synthetic and will appreciate a good barrier. Very unlikely to shake these.

Admirably consistent; has winning form at this track; far from disgraced (beaten 1½l, Devonport) in September upped to 1m1½f.

RSIS

Fresh after a break. Managed to run into 3rd last run at Devonport Synthetic and has the ideal stall. Ran 6th in a trial around here on Nov 5th.

7EarendelJ: Chloe Wells·T: Barry Campbell354kg5 4 2 2 212: 5-1-0$3.70$1.40

Career

12: 5-1-0

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
3: 2-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Hobart
1: 1-0-0
Track Launceston
5: 1-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
5: 1-1-0
Distance 1420m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
2: 1-1-0
Distance 1650m
2: 1-0-0
Going Good
4: 1-1-0
Going Soft
2: 1-0-0
Going Synthetic
6: 3-0-0

Last starts

2Longford1400m20 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)0.8L
2Devonport Synthetic1009m13 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · SYNTHETIC1L
2Devonport Synthetic1009m29 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SYNTHETIC0.5L
4Launceston1420m17 Apr 2026 · OPEN HCP · GOOD44.5L
5Launceston1400m20 Mar 2026 · BM76 · GOOD41.6L
2Devonport Synthetic800m3 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · SYNTHETIC1L
8Devonport Synthetic1880m7 Jan 2026 · HCP · SYNTHETIC4.7L
4Devonport Synthetic1650m19 Dec 2025 · HCP · SYNTHETIC1.3L

Insights

Map Suits
Positive
Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 2%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
1st Up S/R
Positive
Has won 2 from 3 when resuming

Comments

AAP

First-up (29-weeks). Consistent recent preparation. Handy fresh horse while trialling 3 times ahead of return. Warrants attention fresh in this line-up.

ILB

Proven record first up. Jumped at $3.10 and had difficulty when 4th last time at the track. Capable of bouncing back. Placed in all barrier trials. Winning potential.

Has winning form over this course and distance on the CV; useful at this level; not disgraced in fourth in April; returns from a layoff; strong claims if duplicating the form of his most recent win.

RSIS

Has multiple wins when resuming. Odds of 11/5 and lacked competitiveness when 4th last time at this track. Looking past the last run. Jockey Chloe Wells has been successful previously. Strong chance.

8MastrettaJ: Anthony Darmanin·T: Monica Ryan254kg2 1 3 3 122: 6-4-4$3.30$1.36

Career

22: 6-4-4

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-1-1
Third-up
2: 2-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Hobart
3: 0-0-0
Track Launceston
17: 6-3-3
Track CurrentTrack
17: 6-3-3
Distance 1150m
2: 0-1-1
Distance 1200m
9: 5-1-0
Distance 1220m
3: 1-1-0
Going Good
12: 4-2-3
Going Soft
8: 2-1-0
Going Synthetic
2: 0-1-1

Last starts

1Launceston1220m23 Oct 2026 · BM68 · GOOD4-0.75
3Launceston1100m16 Oct 2026 · HCP · GOOD41.25L
3Launceston1120m25 Sept 2026 · BM76 · GOOD41.75L
1Longford800m8 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)-1
2Longford800m25 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)0.1L
2Devonport Synthetic800m7 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SYNTHETIC1.3L
4Launceston1400m3 Apr 2026 · CL6 SW · GOOD44.3L
1Launceston1200m20 Mar 2026 · CL4 SW · GOOD4-0.5

Insights

Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 7%
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Honest
Positive
Finishing in the money lately
Weight Drop
Positive
Drops 4.5kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Posted a hard fought win this track. Drawn to effect. Worth a look.

ILB

Set the pace when winning by 3/4L last start at this venue and drawn nicely. Should muster plenty of early toe. Matched against a stronger field. Gets some weight relief. Will be tested.

Has won six times here; narrow success in a handicap 19 days ago; despite that Launceston success, hard to recommend.

RSIS

Controlled the pace when winning by a margin of 3/4L last run at this venue and has a good draw. Should jump out and bowl along. Facing stiffer opposition.

9Garcon D'EspoirJ: Erica Byrne Burke·T: Yassy Nishitani454kg2 2 3 2 222: 4-6-3$2.75$1.32

Career

22: 4-6-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating80%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
4: 1-1-0
Second-up
3: 1-1-0
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Hobart
4: 0-1-1
Track Moonee Valley
1: 0-0-0
Track Launceston
7: 1-1-1
Distance 1150m
2: 1-1-0
Distance 1400m
3: 0-1-2
Distance 1420m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
4: 0-1-1
Going Synthetic
10: 3-4-1
Going Good
8: 1-1-1

Last starts

2Launceston1220m23 Oct 2026 · BM68 · GOOD40.75L
2Devonport Synthetic1650m2 Sept 2026 · HCP · SYNTHETIC0.8L
3Hobart1400m19 Aug 2026 · C5 · SOFT51.4L
2Devonport Synthetic1350m12 July 2026 · CL4 SW · SYNTHETIC0.3L
2Devonport Synthetic1350m14 June 2026 · CL4 SW · SYNTHETIC0.1L
2Devonport Synthetic1150m31 May 2026 · CL4 · SYNTHETIC0.02L
11Devonport Synthetic1880m7 Jan 2026 · HCP · SYNTHETIC7.5L
3Devonport Synthetic1350m19 Dec 2025 · CL4 SW · SYNTHETIC5.6L

Insights

Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 8%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 53%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 28%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 43% Profit on Turnover
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Racing Solidly
Positive
In peak form

Comments

AAP

Knocking on the door. Found enough to place in small field this venue. Drawn well and seems to like it here. Major player here.

ILB

Finished well when 2nd beaten by 3/4L last time at the track but up against stronger opponents. Been in the money 6 from 6 attempts this preparation. Strong competitor.

Behind Mastretta over 6f here (handicap) last month when not beaten far; has won at this track; been struggling to get his head in front recently so hard to recommend.

RSIS

Made some ground late when 2nd last run at this venue but up against a higher level of opposition. In the top three at every start recently. Major player who should go very close.

10Hurricane KetutJ: Troy Baker·T: G J Stevenson954kg1 1 2 3 740: 7-4-11$34.00$5.00

Career

40: 7-4-11

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating40%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
7: 0-1-2
Second-up
5: 0-0-1
Third-up
5: 1-1-1
Fourth-up
4: 0-0-2
Track CurrentTrack
8: 4-0-2
Track Sandown
1: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
2: 0-0-2
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1590m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
19: 2-1-4
Going Heavy
4: 1-0-1
Going Soft
15: 4-3-5

Last starts

7Launceston1400m16 Oct 2026 · BM76 · GOOD47.06L
3Hobart1380m7 June 2026 · BM76 · SOFT51.6L
2Hobart1600m24 May 2026 · BM68 · SOFT50.1L
1Hobart1600m10 May 2026 · BM74 · SOFT5-0.4
1Hobart1400m26 Apr 2026 · BM68 · GOOD4-1
3Launceston1400m10 Apr 2026 · BM68 · SOFT52.4L
1Launceston1400m27 Mar 2026 · BM68 · SOFT5-0.3
6Launceston1400m25 Feb 2026 · CL4 SW · GOOD43.9L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Ideal Map
Positive
Map position exceeding market by 1%
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Form At Track
Positive
4 time winner here at Launceston
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Unable to threaten in the small field this track. Building fitness. One for multiples.

ILB

At $7.50 disappointing run when 7th last start at this track. This won't be easy.

Can boast winning form over this C&D; finished last of seven last month; this looks a decent race so can be taken on.

RSIS

Started 13/2 and subpar when 7th last start at this venue.

Odds correct as at Wed 11 Nov, 9:20 pm AEDT. Odds can change.

Past meetings

Fri 30 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 10 races
Fri 23 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races
Fri 16 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races
Fri 9 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races
Fri 2 Oct, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
Fri 25 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 9 races
Wed 16 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races