Shortest win price
Wolf Junior (4)
2.50
Welcome to Launceston for race five on the program, featuring the No Deed = No Future In Tassie Racing BM60 over 1400m on a good4 surface with fine weather expected. The action gets underway at 8:20 pm AEDT. Looking at the early win market order, Wolf Junior sits as the shortest runner, closely followed by Kakia, Sevillana, and Get 'Em Warrior holding down the next lines in betting.
Wolf Junior brings solid claims from barrier two for trainer Barry Campbell and jockey Luke P Dempsey, coming off a strong Class 1 win over this distance two starts back before an ordinary run over 1600m here. Kakia maps as the leader from barrier nine for Robyn Lynch and Jessie Bazan, carrying the top weight of 62.5kg after a consistent string of placings including a sound effort over this course and trip last time. Sevillana is another on-pacer who will look to bounce back after finishing down the track in stronger grade here second-up, having previously put together a solid minor placing over 1200m on a soft track.
Further down the market order, Get 'Em Warrior presents as an interesting runner from barrier seven for L A Wells and Codi Jordan, stripping fitter after battling home okay over 1200m here first-up and boasting a notable second-up record. With Kakia setting up the speed map from the inside lane as the lone designated leader, and runners like Zurich and Sevillana pressing forward from their respective barriers on the pace, this 1400m contest shapes as an intriguing tactical puzzle where value certainly appears to be on offer.
Shortest win price
Wolf Junior (4)
2.50
Most career wins
Kakia
5-6-6 from 28 starts
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Midfield
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
Kakia · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Zurich · Negative
Jockey Booking
David Pires current POT is 40% below Career Avg.
Sevillana · Negative
Jockey Booking
Less suitable jockey engaged
Wolf Junior · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 30% better than Career Avg.
Career
28: 5-6-6
Rating · IRD
87
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
4: 0-0-1
Second-up
3: 0-0-2
Third-up
3: 1-0-1
Fourth-up
3: 0-3-0
Track Hobart
13: 2-2-3
Track Launceston
10: 2-2-2
Track CurrentTrack
10: 2-2-2
Distance 1390m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
12: 4-4-1
Distance 1410m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
10: 1-3-3
Going Soft
15: 4-2-2
Going Synthetic
3: 0-1-1
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 27%
Map Suits
Positive
Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 1%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Ready To Fire
Positive
Shown something in last few runs
Winless Prep
Negative
Expect the drought to continue
AAP
Ready to win. Found enough to place in small field this course over this trip. Sticky gate but has early pace. Lands in a suitable contest.
ILB
Gave a strong sight when 3rd last time around here. Has shown early pace in races to date. The large claim from Robyn Lynch should help. Has a good chance.
RP
Not beaten far last month; admirably consistent; arguably the one to beat if reproducing most recent effort.
RSIS
Applied plenty of pressure when 3rd beaten by 1/2L last run around here. Has shown early pace in races to date. Large claim helps. One for the value hunters.
Career
19: 4-2-2
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
3: 1-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-1-1
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
8: 3-0-1
Track Kyneton
1: 0-0-0
Track Longford
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1430m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1450m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
4: 0-0-1
Going Good
6: 1-0-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
11: 3-2-1
Jockey Booking
Negative
David Pires current POT is 40% below Career Avg.
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -56% POT in their L100 Races
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 52% in L100 rides
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 7%
Back in Dist
Negative
Dropping back to a less suitable distance range
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
First-up (37-weeks). Ex P H Luttrell Tasmania. Solid form at this level last campaign. Fresh winner last campaign.
ILB
First up and romped home to win first up last preparation at this venue. Will be dropping in distance. Rising in weight. Couldn't have in this.
RP
No impression when ninth of 13 over 1m2½f here (handicap) in February; boasts a creditable three from eight record at this track; returns from a layoff here; winner three starts back and too soon to write him off; should go close.
RSIS
Resuming and reeled them in when winning resuming last preparation around here. Coming back in trip. Rises in weight.
Career
27: 4-6-4
Rating · IRD
96
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
5: 0-0-2
Second-up
4: 1-1-0
Third-up
2: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Geelong
1: 0-0-0
Track Warrnambool
5: 0-2-1
Track Ararat
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1528m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1620m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
5: 1-1-0
Going Good
25: 3-6-3
Going Soft
2: 1-0-1
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Form 3rd Up
Positive
Has won 1 from 2 when third up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Freshened. Unable to make an impression this course second-up. Pace influence. Will be looking to bounce back here.
ILB
Was $3.90 and lost ground in the run home when 6th last run at the track. Should improve here. Akimasa Phanthura takes a large claim. Strong chance to be considered.
RP
Last of six last month; useful at this level; she knows the task at hand and needs to be respected.
RSIS
Started at 3/1 and didn't attack the line when 6th last time at this venue. Has the potential to improve sharply. Akimasa Phanthura takes a large claim. Will be in the finish.
Career
18: 2-3-6
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-2
Third-up
2: 0-1-1
Fourth-up
2: 1-1-0
Track Hobart
6: 0-1-2
Track Launceston
8: 2-1-2
Track CurrentTrack
8: 2-1-2
Distance 1009m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
3: 1-0-1
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-1
Going Good
7: 1-1-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
6: 1-1-3
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 30% better than Career Avg.
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 7%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Won a 1400m Class 1 at Launceston two back. Ordinary performance in small field this venue. Good draw. Can show more here.
ILB
Jumped at $6.50 and weakened under pressure when 5th last run at this track. Likely to bounce back and gets a favourable draw. Will go close today.
RP
Beaten a fair way when fifth here over 1m (handicap) two weeks ago; others are preferred.
RSIS
Odds of 11/2 and couldn't maintain the pace when 5th last run around here. Can show a better performance this time and will try to take advantage of the stall. Holds a major chance.
Career
23: 3-3-2
Rating · IRD
72
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
5: 1-1-0
Second-up
4: 0-2-0
Third-up
4: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Hobart
11: 1-1-1
Track Launceston
7: 1-2-0
Track CurrentTrack
7: 1-2-0
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1390m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
6: 1-0-1
Going Good
3: 1-1-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
14: 1-2-1
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Map Suits
Positive
Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 1%
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Resuming (23-weeks). Effective at this level last campaign. Trialed up super at Launceston 5 Nov and has won first-up. One for exotics fresh in this affair.
ILB
Racing fresh today after a break. Odds of $6.50 and tailed off to finish 7th last start at Devonport Synthetic and coming back in trip. Would rather look at others.
RP
Not beaten that far in seventh (5l) over 1m1½f at Devonport (handicap) in May; this is his grade; back from an absence here.
RSIS
First run back after a break. Started at 11/2 and couldn't stay in touch when 7th last time at Devonport Synthetic and back in trip.
Career
25: 3-5-4
Rating · IRD
79
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
4: 1-0-1
Second-up
3: 0-1-0
Third-up
3: 0-1-1
Fourth-up
3: 1-1-0
Track Hobart
12: 2-4-1
Track Launceston
10: 1-0-3
Track CurrentTrack
10: 1-0-3
Distance 1150m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
12: 2-2-2
Distance 1220m
1: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
1: 1-0-0
Going Soft
11: 1-4-1
Going Synthetic
3: 0-1-0
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 10%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 29%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature
AAP
Settled back and didn't figure in the (Bm60) this course. Handles all conditions. Capable of making an impact.
ILB
Started at $9.00 and weakened to finish 10th last run at this venue but has the ideal alley. Returning to an increased distance. Considerable improvement needed.
RP
Last of ten here over 5½f (handicap) last month; not the most consistent of horses lately; hard enough to fancy.
RSIS
Started 8/1 and looked outclassed when 10th last start around here but returning to a longer distance. Will appreciate a good draw.
Career
41: 4-5-3
Rating · IRD
74
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
5: 0-0-0
Second-up
3: 1-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-1-1
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-1
Track Hobart
17: 3-3-2
Track Launceston
21: 1-2-1
Track CurrentTrack
21: 1-2-1
Distance 1400m
7: 1-0-0
Distance 1880m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 2000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
26: 2-5-1
Going Soft
12: 2-0-2
Going Synthetic
3: 0-0-0
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Form at Dist
Negative
Poor strike rate over this distance
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Unable to make an impression this track after lengthy absence. Fitter second-up. Can play a role.
ILB
Was $31.00 and didn't find the line when 5th last time at the track and up in weight. Tongue tie go off for the first time. Can't back with any confidence.
RP
Last of five over 6f here (handicap) when dropped in distance three weeks ago; may have to settle for supporting role.
RSIS
Was 30/1 and faded away to finish 5th last run at this track and bit of extra work to do with more weight.
Career
26: 3-4-3
Rating · IRD
88
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
6: 0-1-0
Second-up
4: 0-0-1
Third-up
4: 1-2-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-1-0
Track Hobart
5: 0-0-1
Track Launceston
17: 3-4-2
Track CurrentTrack
17: 3-4-2
Distance 2100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
3: 0-1-0
Distance 1150m
3: 0-0-0
Going Good
14: 3-4-1
Going Soft
8: 0-0-2
Going Synthetic
4: 0-0-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 37% in Last 100 Rides
Key Rider
Positive
Kelvin Sanderson 41% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -21% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Form
Positive
In form stable, out performing market expectations 37%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 20% POT in L100 Runners
Key Jockey
Positive
Kelvin Sanderson winning at 28% POT in last 100 rides
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
AAP
Finished it off only fairly this venue over today's trip under betting interest. Others with greater appeal.
ILB
Started $5.50 and faded away to finish 6th last time at this venue. Has the ability to turn things around. Chance and can measure up.
RP
Multiple course winner but wins infrequently; finished just behind Kakia when last last month; others appeal more.
RSIS
Started at 9/2 and faded to finish 6th last start around here. Looking for an improved run. Forward showing expected.
Career
23: 2-3-2
Rating · IRD
76
Speed map
Leader
First-up
6: 0-0-0
Second-up
4: 1-1-1
Third-up
4: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
7: 0-2-1
Track Devonport Synthetic
12: 2-1-1
Track Hobart
4: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
6: 0-1-0
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-0
Going Soft
8: 0-2-1
Going Synthetic
12: 2-1-1
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 6%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 28%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Battled home okay this venue off spell. Strips fitter and generally improves second-up. Been competitive this level. Could give some cheek at odds.
ILB
Jumped at $8.50 and couldn't stay in touch when 6th last time here. Not threatening these.
RP
Out of the frame (beaten just under 4l in sixth) over 6f here (handicap) last month; patchy form recently; others more persuasive.
RSIS
Started 15/2 and weakened to finish 6th last start around here.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Offmidfield
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 52% lower than Career Avg.
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 63% in L100 rides
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 31%
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Drawn Poorly
Negative
Unfavourable barrier draw
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Showed plenty of fight winning Hcp (C1) this track. Useful form this track. Can again play a role with even luck.
ILB
Picked up nicely to win last run at this track.
RSIS
Picked up late to win last run here.