Sandown (VIC) horses tips & previews

15 Nov, 2:08 am AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Sandown (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Sat 14 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Sat, 14 NovSandown (VIC)Change

Race 2 — MRC Membership Black Friday Sale (Bm74) 1300m · jumps Sat 14 Nov, 12:50 pm AEDT

Race preview

Mrc Membership Black Friday Sale (Bm74): where the value sits. Sandown hosts this 1300m Benchmark 74 handicap on a Heavy 8 track with showers about. The win market order places Karren at the top of betting, closely followed by Bacash and Befuddle, with Skippers Canyon, Parvenu, Ruska Roma, and Just A Journey filling out the remainder of the market order as they prepare to jump at 12:50 pm AEDT.

The case for the shorter-priced runners reveals some interesting form angles to dissect. Karren sits at the head of the market for Lloyd Kennewell and Jamie Melham, bringing a lightly raced profile with two wins from four starts. This runner took out a 1300m Class 1 at Bendigo two runs back before finishing fourth at Cranbourne over 1400m on a good surface, and the drop back in distance with a lighter weight could suit. Bacash for the Hayes stable shares an on-pace speed map position and comes off solid placings, including finishing just half a length away at Kyneton on a Heavy 10 and a minor placing at Morphettville, though a wider draw brings a tougher test here.

Looking further into the field, the speed map points to Befuddle pressing forward as the leader from barrier four for J D Sadler and Jackson Radley, coming off a fourth at Pakenham where a big weight told. Meanwhile, Skippers Canyon resumes from a twenty-week break for Phillip and Tommy Stokes off the back of a recent jump-out win at Pakenham, boasting a sound fresh record that suggests a bold play could emerge if the heavy conditions suit the resuming galloper.

Race notes

3UP BM74 HCP,3yo+,BM74,Benchmark 74
HEAVY8
Showers
7 runners

Shortest win price

Karren (12)

3.20

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

2Skippers Canyon

Offmidfield

9Parvenu
6Ruska Roma

Onpace

12Karren

Leader

3Just A Journey
13Befuddle
5Bacash

Skippers Canyon · Negative
Current SR
Rider’s recent POT is returning 52% lower than Career Avg.
Just A Journey · Positive
Maps Well
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 7%
Bacash · Positive
Trainer ROI
Runners from this stable currently going at 8% POT in L100 Runners
Ruska Roma · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 11% in Last 100 Rides

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1AleroScratched1––––

Career

19: 6-2-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
4: 1-0-0
Second-up
3: 1-0-1
Third-up
3: 2-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Caulfield
3: 1-1-0
Track Sandown
3: 1-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
3: 1-0-1
Distance 1100m
3: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
7: 2-1-1
Distance 1300m
3: 2-0-0
Going Good
11: 5-1-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
7: 1-1-1

Last starts

1Bendigo1300m28 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-1.75
8Flemington1200m3 Oct 2026 · BM78 · HEAVY1010.7L
1Bendigo1100m6 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT5-0.2
10Bendigo1300m2 May 2026 · BM70 · GOOD38.3L
2Caulfield1400m4 Apr 2026 · 3UP BM70 HCP · GOOD30.4L
5Sandown1400m25 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT52.9L
1Pakenham1400m5 Mar 2026 · BM62 · GOOD4-2.3
4Pakenham1200m12 Feb 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · GOOD41.46L

Insights

Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
In Form
Positive
Racing in top form recently

Comments

AAP

Won in dominant fashion at Bendigo over this distance. Nice gate and big weights don't seem to worry him. Ticks the track and distance win box. Take beating.

ILB

Assumed control from the start when winning by 1 3/4L last time at Bendigo and has the ideal gate. Has won 2 from 3 attempts this preparation.

Scored by just under 2l at Bendigo last month; has winning C&D form to his name; should get involved.

RSIS

Showed a clean pair of heels when winning by a margin of 1 3/4L last time at Bendigo and drawn well. Tracking very well lately.

2Skippers CanyonJ: Lachlan Neindorf·T: Phillip & Tommy Stokes260.5kg3 2 2 6 621: 3-6-2$6.50$2.80

Career

21: 3-6-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
4: 2-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-1-1
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Trentham
2: 0-1-0
Track Sandown
2: 1-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1600m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1700m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1800m
4: 0-2-1
Going Good
8: 1-1-2
Going Heavy
5: 0-4-0
Going Soft
8: 2-1-0

Last starts

6Caulfield2000m27 June 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT76.2L
6Sandown2400m13 June 2026 · BM84 · HEAVY85L
2Caulfield2000m30 May 2026 · BM84 · HEAVY80.4L
2Flemington1800m16 May 2026 · BM84 · GOOD40.2L
3Flemington1800m25 Apr 2026 · 3UP BM74 HCP · GOOD32.6L
4Caulfield1400m4 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD32L
7Pakenham2500m13 Dec 2025 · LISTED HCP · GOOD44.7L
4Caulfield1800m29 Nov 2025 · BM74 · SOFT62.7L

Insights

Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 52% lower than Career Avg.
Trainer SR
Negative
Phillip & Tommy Stokes striking at just 8%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are under performing market expectations by -37%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 36%
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 56% in L100 rides
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Track Stats
Positive
Excels at this track
1st Up S/R
Positive
Has won 2 from 4 when resuming

Comments

AAP

Resuming (20-weeks). Has run well fresh. Recent jump-out winner at Pakenham. Can make his presence felt fresh.

ILB

Has multiple wins first up. Started $4.60 and finished 6th last time at Caulfield but will try to take advantage of the draw. Has a great burst of speed late. Solid chance.

Left backers at 7-2 frustrated when sixth over 1m2f at Caulfield (handicap) dropped back in distance five months ago; track has proven suitable before; returns from a layoff; facing a testing assignment and unlikely to do better than a supporting role.

RSIS

Goes well when fresh. Was 7/2 and came in 6th last time at Caulfield but drawn nicely. Has a nice turn of foot. Coming back in distance. Could win this.

3Just A JourneyJ: Damian Lane·T: A & S Freedman560kg2 1 2 2 119: 3-3-1$11.00$3.80

Career

9: 3-3-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
2: 0-1-1
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Flemington
2: 0-1-0
Track Kembla Grange
1: 1-0-0
Track Canterbury
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1550m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 2000m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
5: 2-2-0
Going Heavy
1: 1-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-1-1

Last starts

11Flemington2500m6 Nov 2025 · 3yo · GOOD319.7L
2Caulfield2000m18 Oct 2025 · 3yo · GOOD40.8L
2Flemington1600m4 Oct 2025 · 3yo · GOOD30.1L
1Canterbury1550m17 Sept 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-0.6
2Warwick Farm1400m3 Sept 2025 · 3yo+ · SOFT50.8L
5Randwick1044m7 Aug 2025 · Barrier Trial7.9L
5Eagle Farm1500m7 June 2025 · 2yo · SOFT53L
1Randwick1400m14 May 2025 · 2Y HCP · HEAVY8-1.4

Insights

Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 7%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Dist Drop
Negative
Distance decrease from last start
Long Break
Negative
Resumes from a 373 day break (> 300 days)
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Resuming (53-weeks). In the minors at Warwick Farm first-up last campaign. Unplaced at past couple of jump-outs. One for the multiples fresh.

ILB

First up and ran 2nd first up last preparation at Warwick Farm. Has plenty of early speed. Taking on easier opposition. Back to a shorter trip. Up in weight. Good value.

Well held in the VRC Oaks at Flemington upped to 1m4½f a year ago; long absence to overcome; unlikely to achieve more than just a supporting role despite this looking a little easier than last time.

RSIS

Resuming and was competitive when 2nd resuming last preparation at Warwick Farm. Has shown early pace in races to date. Stepping down to a lower level. Expect a forward showing.

4MometzScratched4––––

Career

21: 4-2-6

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
3: 0-1-2
Second-up
2: 2-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Flemington
6: 0-0-2
Track Kilmore
1: 0-0-1
Track Morphettville
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1700m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 2000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
3: 0-1-2
Going Soft
6: 0-1-3
Going Good
12: 4-1-2
Going Heavy
3: 0-0-1

Last starts

7Caulfield1700m11 July 2026 · BM84 · SOFT74.7L
3Caulfield1700m27 June 2026 · BM78 · SOFT70.9L
7Flemington1600m6 June 2026 · BM78 · HEAVY81.6L
2Sandown1400m23 May 2026 · BM84 · SOFT72.3L
15Flemington1400m25 Apr 2026 · 3UP BM78 HCP · GOOD35.4L
3Flemington1600m28 Feb 2026 · BM84 · GOOD44.5L
1Caulfield Heath1600m18 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-0.1
1Pakenham1600m29 Jan 2026 · BM70 · GOOD4-0.4

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 72% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 6%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 55%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 63% Profit on Turnover
Key Jockey
Positive
Luke Cartwright winning at 52% POT in last 100 rides
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 26%
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start

Comments

AAP

Resuming (18-weeks). Effective at this level last campaign. 3rd at most recent jump-out. Can play a role first-up.

ILB

First up and attacked the line when 3rd first up last preparation at Pakenham. Up against a less competitive field. Coming back in distance. Carrying more weight than last time.

Has not been firing consistently; not disgraced when seventh of 11 at Caulfield over 1m½f (handicap) in July; returns from a layoff; others appeal more with this looking like a hot contest.

RSIS

Resuming and made considerable ground when 3rd resuming last preparation at Pakenham. Dropping in class. Coming back in trip. Has to carry more weight this time.

5BacashJ: Craig Williams·T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes759.5kg7 7 8 2 218: 3-5-4$4.80$2.25

Career

18: 3-5-4

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
4: 1-0-1
Second-up
3: 0-2-1
Third-up
3: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Morphettville
2: 1-1-0
Track Cranbourne
1: 1-0-0
Track Bendigo
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
4: 1-1-0
Distance 1000m
3: 0-1-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-2
Going Good
10: 2-3-2
Going Heavy
2: 0-1-1
Going Soft
6: 1-1-1

Last starts

2Kyneton1203m4 Nov 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY100.5L
2Morphettville1200m17 Oct 2026 · BM70 · GOOD30.08L
8Mornington1200m26 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM70 HCP · SOFT52.73L
7Flemington1200m16 May 2026 · 3Y HCP · GOOD45.1L
7Bendigo1400m2 May 2026 · 3yo · GOOD34.8L
3Caulfield1200m11 Apr 2026 · 3Y HCP · SOFT73.3L
3Flemington1100m28 Mar 2026 · 3yo · HEAVY80.2L
10Flemington1400m4 Nov 2025 · 3yo · SOFT55.9L

Insights

Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 8% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 7%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Went close at Morphettville 17 Oct. Stuck to his guns to fill the minors when in the market at Kyneton. Tougher test from the draw. Again one for exotics.

ILB

Even though fading late still grabbed 2nd beaten by 1/2L last run at Kyneton. Shows good early pace. Craig Williams is in form for this stable. Should go well.

Normally pretty consistent; beaten half a length over 6f at Kyneton (handicap) last Wednesday; Craig Williams booked; not dismissed as recent performance was encouraging.

RSIS

Although fading at the finish still grabbed 2nd beaten by 1/2L last time at Kyneton. Jockey Craig Williams and trainer Will Ben & Jd Hayes are a strong team. Well respected contender.

6Ruska RomaJ: Jordan Childs·T: G M Begg159kg4 1 6 4 1410: 2-0-1$8.00$3.30

Career

10: 2-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed100%
Rating80%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
3: 1-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Flemington
5: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham
1: 0-0-1
Track Seymour
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
4: 1-0-1
Distance 1400m
4: 1-0-0
Distance 1600m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
7: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
2: 1-0-0
Going Soft
1: 1-0-0

Last starts

14Flemington1400m3 Nov 2026 · 4yo+ · GOOD410.95L
4Flemington1200m3 Oct 2026 · BM78 · HEAVY106.9L
6Flemington1200m12 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM84 HCP · GOOD34.7L
1Caulfield1400m29 Nov 2025 · 3yo · SOFT6-1.25
4Flemington1400m1 Nov 2025 · 3yo · GOOD32.85L
7Moonee Valley1600m25 Oct 2025 · 3yo · GOOD44.3L
5Flemington1600m4 Oct 2025 · 3yo · GOOD32.8L
6Caulfield1400m20 Sept 2025 · 3yo · GOOD32.9L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 11% in Last 100 Rides
Hot Jockey
Positive
Jordan Childs in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 8%
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 26%
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Failed to threaten at Flemington as an outsider. First time around Sandown-Hillside. Leaning towards others here.

ILB

Didn't threaten when 14th last start at Flemington. Can show a better performance this time and lining up against easier rivals. Expected to be flashing home. Must respect.

Towards the rear of 16 last week at Flemington in a Group 3; has to be taken seriously if replicating her best form and down in class.

RSIS

Didn't threaten when 14th last time at Flemington. Has the potential to improve sharply and matched against a less competitive field. Should be swooping on the field late. Capable type.

7Charming NicScratched6––––

Career

12: 3-2-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating50%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
2: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Ipswich
1: 0-0-0
Track Sunshine Coast
2: 0-1-0
Track Cranbourne
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1110m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
6: 1-0-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-1-0

Last starts

8Cranbourne1200m23 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD37.11L
9Flemington1200m3 Oct 2026 · BM78 · HEAVY1011.95L
1Ballarat Synthetic1200m31 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC-3
2Ballarat Synthetic1200m6 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM70 HCP · SYNTHETIC0.2L
5Sunshine Coast1000m17 Aug 2025 · 3&4Y BM65 HCP · GOOD42.4L
2Sunshine Coast1000m5 July 2025 · 3Y-QLTY HCP · SOFT60.3L
8Doomben1110m18 June 2025 · CL5 HCP · GOOD42L
5Ipswich1350m31 May 2025 · 3Y BM65 HCP · HEAVY85.5L

Insights

Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out

Comments

AAP

Off pace, only battled home at Cranbourne. Others more persuasive.

ILB

At $5.50 lost ground in the run home when 8th last time at Cranbourne. Harry Coffey rates highly aboard.

Was held in eighth over 6f at Cranbourne (handicap) last month, behind Nation State; has managed three wins from 12 career runs; others have more pressing claims with several rivals in good nick.

RSIS

Started at 9/2 and couldn't maintain the pace when 8th last time at Cranbourne. Harry Coffey is a key booking.

8Nation StateScratched5––––

Career

28: 6-2-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
7: 2-1-2
Second-up
5: 1-0-0
Third-up
5: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 1-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
8: 2-0-0
Track Pakenham Synthetic
2: 0-1-0
Track Flemington
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
4: 2-0-0
Distance 1100m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1108m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
20: 5-1-0
Going Soft
6: 1-0-2
Going Synthetic
2: 0-1-0

Last starts

2Cranbourne1200m23 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD31L
9Sandown1400m31 May 2026 · BM70 · SOFT77.8L
4Bendigo1400m13 May 2026 · 2yo+ · GOOD42.1L
7Bendigo1300m2 May 2026 · BM70 · GOOD34.6L
1Sandown1200m6 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-0.5
5Sandown1200m25 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT52.6L
8Flemington1100m7 Mar 2026 · BM84 · GOOD37.7L
7Pakenham1000m19 Feb 2026 · BM66 · GOOD41.4L

Insights

Trainer SR
Negative
John Moloney striking at just 6%
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 68%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 27%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Forwardly placed, continued to stick on at Cranbourne first up. Strips in better shape. On pacer. Big show.

ILB

Was overpowered late when 2nd beaten by 1L last run at Cranbourne.

Finishing second was a good effort three weeks ago at Cranbourne over 6f (handicap); has won here before; not a great record second time out after a break and unlikely to do better than a supporting role.

RSIS

Displayed a strong effort throughout the race when 2nd beaten by 1L last run at Cranbourne.

9ParvenuJ: Daniel Stackhouse·T: G M Begg357.5kg1 2 1 5 106: 2-1-0$7.50$3.20

Career

6: 2-1-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Doomben
1: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham
2: 0-1-0
Track Cranbourne
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-1-0
Going Soft
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
4: 1-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-1-0

Last starts

10Eagle Farm2200m6 June 2026 · 3yo · GOOD45.1L
5Doomben2000m23 May 2026 · 3yo · GOOD42.2L
1Caulfield Heath1800m29 Apr 2026 · 3Y BM70 · GOOD4-0.5
2Pakenham1600m16 Apr 2026 · 3UP CL1 HCP · HEAVY82.5L
1Cranbourne1400m27 Mar 2026 · 3YF MDN-SW · SOFT6-4
10Pakenham1200m6 Mar 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD44.8L

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 58%
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Kicks off second campaign (23-weeks). Did a terrific job in her first campaign. Best viewed as a rough place hope.

ILB

Back from break. Started at $9.00 and ran 10th last run at Eagle Farm but facing a weaker group of contenders. Coming back in trip. Needs to improve.

No impression when tenth of 18 five months ago at Eagle Farm in a Group 1; returns from an absence here; this is a step down in class but unlikely to do better than a supporting role.

RSIS

First run back. Started 8/1 and ran 10th last start at Eagle Farm but facing a weaker group of contenders. Jockey Daniel Stackhouse is in top form for this stable.

10Chicago BluesScratched9––––

Career

13: 3-1-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating20%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
3: 1-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Mildura
1: 0-0-0
Track Wodonga
1: 0-0-0
Track Kilmore
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
3: 0-1-1
Distance 1112m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
6: 2-0-0
Going Soft
7: 1-1-1

Last starts

5Bendigo1400m28 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD43.35L
8Seymour1400m11 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT55.05L
1Morphettville1250m19 Sept 2026 · BM64 · GOOD4-1.17
1Mornington1200m4 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SOFT5-1.8
2Wangaratta1100m23 Aug 2026 · BM56 · SOFT70.1L
10Seymour1100m7 Aug 2026 · 3UP CL1 HCP · SOFT75.5L
5Mildura1200m17 July 2026 · BM66 · GOOD42.8L
7Pakenham Synthetic1000m7 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SYNTHETIC9.5L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -65% POT in their L100 Races
Hot Trainer
Positive
Jason Warren in good form, out performing market 71%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 50% POT in L100 Runners
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Got back and ran home steadily at Bendigo. First time around Sandown-Hillside. Hard to make a case.

ILB

Advanced late into 5th last time at Bendigo.

Not beaten too far when fifth at Bendigo over 7f (handicap) two weeks ago; resume shows that he is a proven winner (seeking a fourth career win); probably unlikely to trouble the principals in what appears to be a competitive contest.

RSIS

Moved through the field into 5th last time at Bendigo.

11FluentScratched11––––

Career

17: 4-2-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
4: 1-1-0
Second-up
3: 1-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
3: 1-2-0
Track Caulfield Heath
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat Synthetic
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
5: 2-1-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
3: 1-1-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
4: 0-1-0
Going Synthetic
1: 1-0-0

Last starts

5Seymour1100m11 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT55L
6Caulfield Heath1000m16 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.22L
5Flemington1100m28 Mar 2026 · 4UP MARES HCP · HEAVY81.4L
5Cranbourne1200m13 Mar 2026 · 3UP BM78 HCP · GOOD44.9L
1Cranbourne1200m6 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD3-0.8
1Sandown1200m8 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-0.8
2Sandown1200m26 Dec 2025 · BM66 · GOOD41.5L
5Ballarat1200m6 Dec 2025 · 3-4yo · SOFT64L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -30% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 6%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Freshened. Settled back and passed a few late in the 3yo+ (Bm74) at Seymour when second-up. One for your exotics.

ILB

Started at $20.00 and overtook some late when 5th last time at Seymour.

Not beaten that far over 5½f at Seymour (handicap) last month; a previous winner here; struggled a bit since winning a handicap at Cranbourne in February; this looks a decent race so is passed over.

RSIS

Was 19/1 and ran past a few when 5th last time at Seymour.

12KarrenJ: Jamie Melham·T: Lloyd Kennewell655kg1 3 2 1 44: 2-1-0$3.20$1.70

Career

4: 2-1-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
2: 1-1-0
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Geelong
1: 0-1-0
Track Cranbourne
1: 0-0-0
Track Bendigo
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
3: 1-1-0
Going Soft
1: 1-0-0

Last starts

4Cranbourne1400m23 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD31.75L
1Bendigo1300m4 Oct 2026 · 3UP CL1 HCP · SOFT6-2
2Geelong1100m11 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.4L
3Caulfield Heath1000m26 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.9L
1Sandown1200m10 Dec 2025 · 3YF MDN-SW · GOOD4-0.5
3Caulfield1000m20 Nov 2025 · Barrier Trial1.5L

Insights

Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 7%
Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Down In Weight
Positive
Drops 4kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Early form good and a nice weight drop. Won a 1300m Class 1 at short odds Bendigo two back. Short odds but a tad disappointing at Cranbourne. Can figure with improvement.

ILB

Started at $1.80 and outmuscled in the run home when 4th last time at Cranbourne and honest performer putting a tidy record together. Displays good tactical speed. Expect a forward showing.

Has won at this course; favourite but out of the places when fourth over 7f at Cranbourne (handicap) three weeks ago; she's a serious player.

RSIS

Was 4/5 and lost momentum late when 4th last time at Cranbourne and good career start. Should muster plenty of early toe. Showing great form since returning from a break. Strong prospects in this race.

13BefuddleJ: Jackson Radley·T: J D Sadler454.5kg3 8 7 1 413: 2-1-3$6.50$2.80

Career

13: 2-1-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating20%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
3: 1-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Ballarat
1: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham
1: 0-0-0
Track Caulfield
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
7: 2-1-2
Going Good
9: 1-1-2
Going Soft
4: 1-0-1

Last starts

4Pakenham1200m30 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT51.2L
1Seymour1200m11 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT5-0.5
7Sale1400m3 May 2026 · 2yo+ · GOOD37L
8Mornington1200m18 Apr 2026 · 3YF HCP · GOOD45L
3Sandown1200m6 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.3L
3Sandown1400m25 Mar 2026 · 3YF BM64 · SOFT52.9L
11Flemington1100m28 Feb 2026 · 3Y FILLIES HCP · GOOD416L
4Caulfield Heath1000m9 Feb 2026 · 3UP F&M BM66 HCP · GOOD42.4L

Insights

Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 7%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Weight Drop
Positive
Drops 6kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Big weight took its toll at Pakenham when second-up. Should press forward. Warrants attention.

ILB

At $3.60 peaked on the run when 4th last run at Pakenham but racing against tougher rivals. Will be positive in the run early. Gets a reduction in weight. May find these too slick.

Out of the money, beaten just over 1l, when fourth over 6f at Pakenham (handicap) last month; this line-up contains some strong opposition so only limited appeal.

RSIS

Started 13/5 and couldn't stay in touch when 4th last run at Pakenham and suited by the weight drop. Won't be far away during the run.

14SuspectScratched3––––

Rating · IRD

Comments

AAP

Emerged from midfield to get up in final strides at Warrnambool.

ILB

Backing up quickly for this race. Ran well when 2nd last run at Geelong but challenged by more formidable competitors. Showing positive results this preparation.

RSIS

On a short back up. Ran 2nd last start at Geelong but matched against a stronger field. In fine form since coming back from a break.

Odds correct as at Sat 14 Nov, 12:50 pm AEDT. Odds can change.

Past meetings

Wed 9 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 10 races
Sat 5 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 10 races
Wed 2 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races